problems in Indonesia - strategic implications ........

[Guest guest]

...... for Bharata and all people of Bhartiya origin.

 

http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/asia-

pacific/newsid_1453000/1453160.stm

 

http://janes.com/regional_news/asia_pacific/news/jid/jid010723_1_n.sht

ml

 

I do not have exact details on the problems besiging Indonesia.

However, I am aware that -

 

1. Dayaks and Madurese are engaged in internicine fights,

 

2. people from Irian Jaya and Acehnese want secession (strangely,

they are waging Jihad against the world's largest Muslim populated

country).

 

3. Buddhists, Animists and Hindus in Indonesia are mainly

concentrated on Bali island - currently, far from the troubled

regions of Indonesia.

 

4. There has already been a heavy outflow of job seekers and refugees

from Indonesia to Malaysia, Brunei and Australia. Malaysia considers

the refugees not only a burden but also a security threat. This is

apparently because the refugees from Indonesia are agressive settlers

and relatively fast-breeders. Many "refugees" are Jehadist elements/

have connections with Jehadists who are fighting in Moro

(Phillipines) and Irian Jaya and Aceh.

 

5. A lot of electronic goods are still manufactured in Indonesia.

 

6. We have the Mallaca Strait - an important and busy route for

commerical ships - controlled (jointly?) by Singapore, Malaysia,

Phillipines, Indonesia and Phillipines. Chinese Navy is growing its

presence in the Mallaca Strait.

 

7. The South Eastern tip of Nicobar Islands (part of Bharata) is

merely 30 miles (or is it km?) from the North Western parts of

Indonesia.

 

8. China has been providing military and logistical support to

sepratists and terrorists from Indonesia (I can't get a hand on the

report that appeared in stratfor.com a few months back that discussed

China's interest in financing terrorists in Indonesia).

 

9. A civil war on Java Island and an increase in intensity in

sepratist movements in Indonesia is imminent.

 

Now for some questions -

 

1. what would be the short term effect of Indonesia's break-up on

Bharata's security environment?

 

2. what would be the long term effect of Indonesia's break-up on

Bharata's use of Sea routes that are in Indonesia's backyard?

 

3. Bharata's security is global - does not confine to merely the

political entity called "Bharata". Bhartiya are almost everywhere. In

this context, how will the security of people of Bhartiya origin

staying in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore be affected on both, a

long term and a short term basis.

 

4. What games could China be playing in Indonesia that will directly

and adversely affect our trade and strategic security?

 

5. How will businesses of PIOs in Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia

be affected in the long term if Indonesia breaks up?

 

6. Any comments on the possiblity of attacks, in the long term, on

PIOs living in Indonesia?

 

7. Can Bharata do anything to prevent a bad situation in Indonesia

from turning into a disaster? We sure must be concerned - almost all

(current) separatist organizations are Muslim terrorist

organizations.

 

Amit

 

PS: Should anyone need references, please let me know. I will be glad

to dig them up