2020 Vision - Why we will all be care workers

[Guest guest]

Copyright Ian Pearson, BT Futurologist

 

 

In the future, our lives will be greatly enhanced by the global

superhighway. Ultra-smart computers, sophisticated robotics and unlimited

capacity communications will make every aspect of our everyday lives

pleasant. Machines will do all the work while we enjoy the results. We will

be always in touch, always in control. But sometimes, technology has a habit

of turning out different than planned. Let's remember that the telephone was

once thought to be useless except for listening to opera. Here's how it

might be on a bad day in 2020 if we get it wrong. But don't worry, we are

working on getting it right.

 

At Home

 

You wake up. Beautiful original music is being composed in real time by

computer and is coming out of the flat panel speakers that are cunningly

disguised as paintings. Except that it is House instead of Mozart because

the kids were up first.

 

You need to visit the loo, but it's a smart loo with built in health

diagnostics. You're developing a loo phobia and have started eating to

please it. You have also bought a chemical kit designed to fool it into

leaving you alone. But the loo is also in collaboration with the smart

fridge, conspiring to make you healthier. The fridge has time locks on the

door and a video camera watching what you take out. It won't allow the

microwave to cook it because it contains too many calories. Kitchen rage is

becoming a major social problem. But you can't break anything. The insurance

companies insist on proof of accident in the form of video of the event

before they will pay up.

 

The videophone rings and you put on your video bathrobe. This is a complete

body suit made of flexible polymer screen. It allows you to use a

video-conferencing terminal when you have just crawled out of the bath. It

actually simulates what you look like after two hours putting on makeup and

two months with a plastic surgeon.

 

Your living room is devoid of black boxes, full instead of huge screens,

virtual fish tanks and electronic paintings. You've flushed all the real

fish down the loo.

 

You can talk to the home manager program via speech interfaces, using

natural language, gesture interfaces etc. Unfortunately it remembers what

you say and isn't very good at keeping secrets. When the wife says she told

you to empty the bin, she will be able to prove it. Computers will latch

onto keywords to monitor significant conversations. In divorce proceedings,

all those romantic interludes at the office party were recorded, digitally

enhanced, and are used as evidence.

 

We will need personal screens to avoid conflict between the kids - one

screen for everything would be unthinkable. We will also need 3d sound

positioning to provide personal sound zones.

 

In the old box room, you now have a Star Trek holodeck, lined with screens,

fractal robotic matter, T1000 technology, with direct sensory links. Some of

this is already in development. Social problems are arising, real world

withdrawals are commonplace, you just surface to breathe, eat and sleep.

 

In public buildings, this same technology is used to simulate oak beams,

sawdust and dirt, with pubs changing period regularly. This allows them to

filter out the real world and block cellphones.

 

Digital TV gradually learns what you like to watch and automatically finds

us something suitable when you switch it on. Unfortunately this is not a

good idea when the vicar comes round. 'Let's see a nature programme'. The TV

starts showing 'Emmanuel in the Amazon'.

 

You have a robotic cat with video-camera eyes and microphone ears. It is

stuffed with electronics, and its batteries are recharged when it goes back

to its rug in the corner. The robotic cat is the centre of home automation

and is linked by radio to the global superhighway. It teases the real cat,

while everybody teases it, trying to confuse its AI. So there is a strong

demand for robotic psychiatrists (the world's first was Joanne Pransky). You

will also need robotic vet when the dog eats it.

 

Insect-like robots are supposed to cut the grass and do the cleaning, but

all the cleaning robots are stuck to the carpet where little Johnny has left

his half eaten lollipop, and the grass cutting robots have all been

kidnapped by the local magpie. The baby magpies are suffering from severe

indigestion and the RSPCA are on their way.

 

Your kids regularly spend hours, planning ambushes for the surviving robots,

laying trails of hundreds and thousands to a cliff with a bowl of water

under it.

 

Food shopping is helped by the smart waste bin that scans beans cans as they

are thrown away. Of course it won't work because your toddler peals all the

labels off. We would also need a whole new field of custard proof

electronics.

 

Safeway delivers to your door, but leaves the ice cream melting outside

because you've rushed the cat to the robotic vet at the last minute. Only

the cat knows their number to arrange delivery times. Now you will have to

go shopping yourself.

 

Clothes shopping will use computer simulations of you instead of Leonardo

Di-Caprio or Kate Moss. Your body is scanned by laser, recording every bit

of cellulite, every pimple. The shop becomes a try-on outlet with mass

customisation, while the data on your figure is sold to plastic surgeons

that later swamp you with junk email with pictures of how you could look.

People have never been less happy about their shape. With smart materials we

can of course have extra Lycra to smooth out the various folds until the

surgery.

 

You give your kids electronic pocket money. Being digital cash, it can all

be labelled: only two quid for sweets, none for booze; but kids will not be

dictated to and a playground black market is becoming a problem at the local

school;

 

Digital cash can have provenance too. This dollar was once spent by Bill

Clinton. Electronic cash is truly global and is used on the net and in the

street, so the Euro is almost an irrelevance

 

Out and About

 

But at least you are up and dressed. You are on the way to the supermarket.

Your cars has full RTI and in car entertainment, and runs on fuel cells.

Tourist information is provided on the way. Unfortunately you are on the M25

and you don't want to hear yet again how many cars travel every day on the

A12, coming up on your right. So you turn it off. You've been plotting a

scam for your next holiday. Planes can carry 1000 people 10000km in 10

hours, so they have jogging tracks and cinemas on board. You can spend so

much time on board doing other things you can sub-let your seat and make a

profit on the trip.

 

Before it died, your cat booked you a slot on M25, and you need the computer

to drive you because otherwise you'll miss it if a rabbit jumps out on the

way and have to wait a day for another slot.

 

E-cash and electronic tolling has evolved to allow paid overtaking. Your

agent negotiates with other car's agents to pull over and let you past. It

is the same in queues at shops. You can make a living just by clogging up

queues and waiting for people to pay to get past

 

You are wearing a video T-shirt, with cartoons or adverts showing depending

where you are. In Safeway, store positioning makes ads appear on your

T-shirt as you walk past other shoppers, depending on their customer

profile. You get paid in extra loyalty points for this.

 

In the shop, in store positioning allows precise alerts to special offers

etc. With an electronic shopping list, you could almost shop blind. Active

contact lenses give you information wherever you go. There are arrows for

navigation and robocop style information overlays, so the beans shelf could

be flashing so you can actually find it. The chips in the products

themselves can write onto this lens, with competing brands trying hard to

attract your attention as you walk past. With another piece of software, you

can actually watch them slug it out in a cyber-boxing match.

 

The lenses actually communicate via your Star Trek com-badge that doubles as

an Ego badge. This stores various aspects of your personality, hobbies, job,

marital status, sexual preferences etc. It cuts through the ice at parties,

and you spend a lot less time chatting up the wrong people and much more

time getting to know the partner of your dreams.

 

Some of your shopping takes place in shared computer generated spaces, where

you make new friends as well as meeting various computer generated

personalities, again offering the means of withdrawal from dull reality. The

computer is intent on introducing you to every compatible person in the

country. This is often used by government to keep people off the streets.

But later you go to a real party anyway.

 

At the party, there is always a bore, but at least now, digital bore

enhancement uses the latest sound cancellation and 3D sound positioning

technology to replace his boring voice and boring message with much more

stimulating conversation, and your active lenses can even make him look

fashionably dressed. A new era of apparent tolerance will result where

everyone seems to be nice to everyone else regardless of their actual

behaviour.

 

Surveillance technology is everywhere. It is of course linked to traffic

control and collects photos of you speeding. Fines are replaced by blackmail

since they can now identify the passenger too, and The Shame Show is one of

the most popular on digital TV. Government know everywhere you've been, who

with, what you did, everything.

 

At Work

 

We will all be care workers in 2020, partly because of the extreme stress

caused by the technology around us trying to make our lives more fulfilling,

and partly because all the other jobs are automated. Tech-free zones are the

main holiday camps where you go for technology detox.

 

When you go to Macdonald's, the meal comes out of a vending machine, but in

the French restaurant down the road, you are paying for the French waiter to

sneer down his nose at you when you choose the wrong wine. Some jobs just

can't be automated. When you are in hospital, you will still prefer a nice

cuddly nurse to R2D2.

 

We need human child care workers too. Nothing is 3-year-old proof, they put

digestive biscuits in the CD player, dismantle the cat, and pull the legs of

the grass cutting robots, while repeating the mantra "Daddy will fix it".

Kids only love technology because they haven't lived long enough for

experience to take over. They are simply too young to know any different.

 

 

 

People either work in virtual companies or virtual co-operatives. Many

companies don't have any human employees but you can't tell which ones

because they all use synthetic personalities at the customer face. It is

only by trying to make someone angry that you can tell if they are human.

Consequently, most humans are frequent victims of aggression, keeping the

care workers busy, while the computers don't mind at all.

 

For non-caring jobs, agents are used mostly instead of people, computers

dominate the board, pocket calculators replaced half the BT board in 2017.

 

Information companies are just roaming algorithms so they don't pay taxes

any more, making industrial companies rather miffed.

 

 

And finally, Homo Machinus

 

When you are very old and very grey, we will be able to link your brain to a

computer that will be thousands of times faster. Surprisingly, at one atom

per bit, it will only take one ten thousandth of a pinhead to store your

whole mind. Then it won't matter if a bus runs you down, you will be backed

up on the network. Your kids will still have a parent, but best of all, your

company just gets you for free afterwards. In fact, this is an irresistible

side-line for bus companies, which will use satellite positioning and

tracking to hit you at exactly the right point to ensure a clean kill with

minimal damage to the bus.

 

But you won't mind. Your body has died and your soul cleared off to Heaven.

Meanwhile down here, once you have become entirely electronic, you can

travel around the world at light speed and pick up a hire android at the

other end. You can make multiple versions of yourself. Everyone is linked

together in a single global mind. With immortality, infinite intelligence

and mobility, keeping up with the Jones's will ensure that everyone will

make the jump to Homo Machinus. Biological humans will eventually become

extinct. Resistance is futile. You will be assimilated.