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dear group members,

iam sending new year predictions for indian- 2002jan

to dec31.

thank you

gopalMundane predictions-

Economic –

Stock markets –

It will increase in the later part of the year and the

first part of the year there will be bearish trends.

Month of may will be a significant one for the bears.

Computer industry will not turn about immediately it

is going to take time. The later half of the year

situation will be better and it will turn about

dramatically they will start doing better. But whether

they will be bale to do it the level which was earlier

is highly questionable. Still it is worth it to

speculate in the computer stocks .the sensex will

touch the 4000 mark easily and few wild swings with

high range can be expected.

There is going to boom in the service sectors. Also

the manufacturing scenario is bound to become better

after the beginning of august. The labor who have had

privilege will be forced to get in to better working

modes. Lot of people will start business in small and

medium scale. There will be a sense of

entrepreneurship will be on the increase.

Regulation in education sector can be expected or

there will be changes after the month of September.

Performance of the Indians in the higher education

will be good. There will be few prizes won in the

international levels. The government wills go-ahead

reforms in history textbooks that can once again

become source of controversy.

Television, sports, consultancy, educational services,

travel, printing will be better.

.. Coffee, which has faced lot of problems, will be

better in later half of the year. The gdp will

increase marginally with inflation increasing in

lesser percentage. , Cotton (clothes) sugar, sesame

oils and tea and other essential prices will go up

drastically till the month of august. Real estates

will do better. More money will be available to public

in form of debts. Banking and financial sectors bound

undergo sea change and definition though the speed

will slow down .the pharma sector performance will be

good till the next independence day. Relationship

with neighbors will improve and our name and prestige

in the international circuits will increase a lot.

Also the life style of the west with increase in

people participation in self-help and occult programme

will multiply. The aptly called moksha industry and

alternative healing will be taken in bigger way by the

masses from classes. There will be controversies with

regard to allopathic corporate hospital. The news and

television will become more independent. Government

will tilt towards privatization in a slower phase but

will take very decisive steps. The cinema industry

will have troubles till the month of July. there will

be changes in structure and function of industry in a

big way across bolly wood and other major film

producing southern states. Retailing wills de better

than last year but the high end retailers will start

redefine new innovative concepts in marketing and

selling will be increased. Ad industry recession will

pass way in the last few month of the year.

Cars segments will do better but the cyclic nature

will continue. Iron, steel, leather and black articles

will do better after the month of October. Back wards

classes will become every stronger. There will be

increase in income in all the sectors in the last

quarter of the year and government will increase

income tax limits. Taxation collection will be better

in later half of the year. The fmcg sectors will limp

towards the growth and many will increase the prices

of the goods. Few speculator victories in field of

sports other than cricket can be expected. Mass deaths

in the month of May and July.

Indian export will be better. We will continue gain

success due to Pakistan mistakes 11 Th lord in sixth

house. Gain due to enemies. Politically India will

face lot of tension. They will be strong differences

with Pakistan, which will lead to skirmishes in the

border. The government of vajapee will survive.

Pakistan will play hide and seek game. It will be game

of diplomacy. Jaylalitha will make a come back in the

politics of Tamil nadu though it can get delayed.

Water problems in the later half of the year will be

there in the month of may there can be problems in the

northeastern states. Hits will be less. Failures of

movies will be higher. One or two lower end television

channel will wind up. Accidents and mishaps can

increase in the first half of the year. Leading

industrialist will pass away in the later half of the

year, more towards year ending. Finally the monsoon

will not be very favorable in many states.

 

 

 

=====

Gopalakrishnan.k.b.

 

 

 

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