German Intelligence Agency says Y2K Threatens Breakdown

[Guest guest]

> Canada seems to the BND to set the example. Leave reportedly would be

> cancelled for the police and the army, in some cases until the middle of

> March; military forces would be on alert; and members of the government

> would come together in a "war room" on New Years Eve.

 

 

The United States knows what's going to happen, but it is keeping the

population in ignorance. Besides setting up command posts underground in the

major cities, it has also restricted leaves within the military, national

guard and police agencies.

 

The following info came out a month ago, and the Navy is now denying it:

 

 

 

 

The Pentagon Papers of Y2K

Cities At Risk From The Year 2000 Computer Crisis

 

Secret Government Study Reveals Massive Y2K Problems in American Cities

 

How many days could New York City survive without water and sewer services?

How long would it take to evacuate eight million people in the dead of winter?

Would thousands die in the process? Tens of thousands? More? When would the

rioting and looting begin? How many National Guard troops would it take to

control the largest city in the nation? What unthinkable devastation would be

wrought on the global financial system? How might our enemies seize on the

ensuing panic and confusion?

 

Are these the crazed speculations of a Y2K alarmist? Not if you know what the

US Navy and Marine Corps know. According to a June 1999 report titled, "Master

Utility List," they believe "total failure is likely" for New York City’s

water and sewer systems because of Y2K problems.

 

And they’re holding this information back.

 

The Navy Department assessment is not limited to New York City; it covers all

their shore facilities in the world—nearly 500 locations. The results are

horrifying. They expect more than 26 million American citizens in 125 cities

to be without electricity, water, gas or sewer services next January. Many

more would be affected in foreign countries. London, England for example is

expected to experience failures of all four types of utilities. Many of the

people impacted by these failures would be military personnel and their

families.

 

And the Navy Department isn’t telling anyone.

 

Forty-five of the cities named in the survey have population greater than

100,000. Eight of the nation’s dozen largest metropolitan areas are affected.

Here’s what the Navy expects:

 

Dallas—no water.

 

Washington DC and Philadelphia—no gas

 

Baltimore, Houston, New York and Miami--no water or sewer.

 

Atlanta—no water or gas

 

San Antonio—no water or electricity.

 

Fort Worth and New Orleans—no water, gas or sewer services.

 

And the Navy Department is saying nothing.

 

Cities at Risk

 

The information presented below is based on a US Navy/Marine Corps survey

dated June 1999. The survey was conducted to determine the risk of utility

failures at military facilities worldwide. Only United States information is

shown.

 

Each of the three tables below shows a list of cities and the Y2K exposure of

the major utilities in each city. The columns labeled E, W, G and S refer to

the Electrical, Water, Gas and Sewer utilities. An "x" in the column indicates

that utility is expected to fail.

 

Three levels of possible failure are indicated in the Navy document. Each

table in this summary lists one of these levels.

 

1) Partial failure is probable.

 

2) Partial failure is likely.

 

3) Total failure is likely.

 

 

The terms "probable,likely,partial," and "total" are Navy terminology

and were not clearly defined in the documentation. The terms "likely" and

"total" however, represent the worst condition.

 

Cities in bold have populations greater than 100,000. Many of the utilities

listed service many more customers than shown here.

 

43 cities where "partial failure is probable."

 

City

Population

E

W

G

S

 

Amarillo TX

158,000

x

x

x

x

 

Annapolis MD

33,000

x

Arlington VA

171,000

x

Avoca PA

3,000

x

Baton Rouge LA

220,000

x

Bethesda MD

63,000

x

Broussard LA

3,000

x

Carderock MD

x

Charlotte NC

396,000

x

x

 

Columbus OH

633,000

x

Corpus Christi TX

257,000

x

Crane IN

x

Dallas TX

1,007,000

x

Dayton OH

182,000

x

x

Duluth MN

85,000

x

x

 

El Paso TX

515,000

x

x

 

Forest Park IL

15,000

x

x

 

Greensboro NC

184,000

x

Highland Park IL

31,000

x

Houston TX

1,631,000

x

x

 

Ingleside TX

6,000

x

Key West FL

25,000

x

x

x

 

Knoxville TN

165,000

x

x

x

Lewisville AR

1,000

x

Lexington Park MD

10,000

x

Millington TN

18,000

x

x

 

Mobile AL

196,000

x

x

Montgomery AL

187,000

x

x

 

Newport News VA

170,000

x

Norfolk VA

261,000

x

x

Pascagoula MS

26,000

x

x

x

 

Peoria IL

114,000

x

 

Philadelphia PA

1,586,000

x

Portsmouth VA

104,000

x

San Antonio TX

936,000

x

x

Sheboygan WI

50,000

x

x

 

Sugar Grove WV

x

Truth or Conseq. NM

6,000

x

Tulsa OK

367,000

x

x

 

Washington DC

610,000

x

Waukegan IL

69,000

x

West Palm Beach FL

68,000

x

x

 

Yorktown VA

x

 

38 cities where "partial failure is likely."

 

 

City

Population

E

W

G

S

 

Albany GA

78,000

x

x

x

x

 

Atlanta GA

394,000

x

x

Atlantic Beach FL

12,000

x

x

x

 

Augusta GA

234,000

x

Beaufort SC

10,000

x

x

 

Bessemer AL

33,000

x

x

x

x

 

Bossier City LA

53,000

x

Cape Canaveral FL

8,000

x

Charleston SC

80,000

x

x

x

 

Chattanooga TN

152,000

x

x

 

Clearwater FL

99,000

x

x

x

 

Columbia SC

98,000

x

x

x

 

Columbus GA

179,000

x

Fort Lauderdale FL

149,000

x

x

x

 

Fort Worth TX

448,000

x

x

x

 

Greenville NC

45,000

x

Gulfport MS

41,000

x

x

x

 

Harlingen TX

49,000

x

Hawkinsville GA

4,000

x

Hollandale MS

4,000

x

Jacksonville FL

635,000

x

x

x

 

Kingsville TX

25,000

x

Meridian MS

41,000

x

x

 

Miami FL

359,000

x

x

 

Milton FL

7,000

x

x

x

x

 

Nashville TN

488,000

x

x

x

 

New Orleans LA

497,000

x

x

x

 

Orange City FL

x

x

x

 

Orlando FL

165,000

x

x

x

x

 

Panama City FL

35,000

x

x

x

 

Pensacola FL

58,000

x

x

x

 

Raleigh NC

208,000

x

x

 

Slidell LA

24,000

x

x

x

 

Smyrna GA

31,000

x

x

 

St Marys GA

8,000

x

Sullivans Island SC

2,000

x

x

 

Waco TX

104,000

x

 

Wetumpka AL

5,000

x

 

 

44 cities where "total failure is likely."

 

 

City

Population

E

W

G

S

 

Baltimore MD

736,000

x

x

 

Bethlehem PA

71,000

x

x

 

Bremerton WA

38,000

x

x

 

Brunswick ME

15,000

x

 

Buffalo NY

328,000

x

x

 

Coronado CA

27,000

x

 

Dahlgren VA

1,000

x

x

 

Earl NJ

x

x

 

Erie PA

109,000

x

x

 

Fallbrook CA

22,000

x

 

Glen Falls NY

15,000

x

x

 

Great Falls MT

55,000

x

x

x

 

Hartford CT

140,000

x

x

 

Huntington WV

58,000

x

Imperial Beach CA

27,000

x

 

Kearney NJ

35,000

x

x

x

 

Lakehurst NJ

3,000

x

x

 

Mechanicsburg PA

9,000

x

x

 

Morehead City NC

6,000

x

x

National City CA

54,000

x

 

New London CT

29,000

x

x

x

x

 

New York City NY

7,323,000

x

x

 

Newport RI

29,000

x

x

 

Oak Grove NC

x

Oak Harbor WA

17,000

x

x

 

Ogden UT

64,000

x

 

Pacific Beach WA

1,000

x

 

Plaineville CT

16,000

x

x

 

Pomona CA

132,000

x

x

 

Port Hadlock WA

3,000

x

Port of Seattle WA

x

x

x

 

Portsmouth NH

26,000

x

x

 

Providence RI

161,000

x

x

 

Quantico VA

1,000

x

x

x

 

Reading PA

78,000

x

x

 

Reno NV

134,000

x

 

Rochester NY

232,000

x

x

 

San Jose CA

782,000

x

 

Seal Beach CA

25,000

x

x

 

Trenton NJ

89,000

x

x

 

Warminster PA

36,000

x

x

 

Watertown NY

29,000

x

x

x

 

Weymouth MA

x

x

x

 

Williamsport PA

32,000

x

x

 

Taking it Public

 

There’s a great scene in the movie, "A Few Good Men" where Navy lawyer Tom

Cruise verbally battles Marine Colonel Jack Nicholson. Trapped and finally

broken by the relentless interrogation, Nicholson snarls (as only he can

snarl),

 

 

"You can’t handle the truth."

 

 

 

The disgraced Colonel, of course, doesn’t mean Tom Cruise--he means us. We the

People. We’re the ones who can’t take it. We, the unwashed masses, are too

lazy, too stupid, too irrational. In his twisted world, only the anointed few,

the chosen leaders, deserve access to the truth.

 

The Federal Government is withholding the truth about Y2K for the same

reason—they don’t think we can take it. They think we’ll panic and,

 

Take all our money out of the banks.

 

Cash in all our mutual funds and burst the stock market balloon.

 

Break the economic system by hoarding everything in sight.

 

Incite turmoil, chaos and riots.

 

There are many reasons why their strategy is wrong but only two need to be

mentioned. 1) This country belongs to us. 2) These people work for us. If

something’s wrong, we have a right to know and they have a responsibility to

tell us. Will the truth result in riots, shortages and disruptions to the

financial system? Possibly so but if our fractional reserve banking system and

our Just-in-Time manufacturing and retail processes are so dangerously

fragile, don’t we need to know now rather than in the middle of the Y2K

Crisis?

 

I’m fed up with being told that institutions must be protected even if it

means we have to be sacrificed. We are more important than the banks. We have

a higher priority than the stock market. We’re grown-ups and we have a right

to the truth. We the People of this great nation have faced every challenge

thrown at us in the past. It’s time to take this one on.

 

We can handle it.

 

Where It Came From

 

This information came from the US Navy and Marine Corps (Department of the

Navy). They were apparently tasked to conduct a study of the Y2K exposure of

their worldwide shore facilities. A copy of this study made its way into my

hands.

 

Military bases in the United States are rarely self-sufficient when it comes

to utilities such as electricity, water, gas and sewer. These services are

almost always provided by the local economy. From a Y2K standpoint, this

leaves the bases at the mercy of the local utility providers. Nearly five

hundred bases were assessed; approximately one third are expected to

experience utility failures.

 

These figures are completely out of whack with the federal government’s August

1999 Y2K assessment which says,

 

 

"It is highly unlikely that there will be national disruptions in electric

power service on January 1, 2000. … (I)t is expected that any(gas disruptions)

that do occur will have minimal impact upon consumers. … (I)t is increasingly

unlikely that the date change will create disruptions in water service."

 

Mr. Koskinen, you need to check with the folks over at the Pentagon. They seem

to have a different opinion. Or is it possible you already know about this

information?

 

The information was obtained from a confidential source of the highest

reliability and integrity. The identity of this source will be staunchly

protected. I don’t have a copy of the detailed assessments of the individual

bases nor do I possess the information on Army or Air Force bases. I am

submitting a request for these documents through the Freedom of Information

Act (FOIA), however. (In fact, I encourage you to help out by submitting your

own FOIA request for these documents.)

 

The information from the bases and other facilities was compiled into an

eight-page spreadsheet that is titled "Utility Master List" and dated June

1999. No other markings appear on the papers. In particular, (and this is of

crucial importance) the document is not stamped or labeled with any national

security classification markings.

 

What You Should Do

 

This information is vital to the well being of tens of millions of American

citizens. The federal government is withholding it from the public. If you’re

concerned about Y2K and frustrated at the way the government’s is dealing with

the crisis, there are several things you can do.

 

Send FOIA requests to the Navy, Army and Air Force requesting their studies on

the anticipated effects of Y2K-related utility failures on US military

facilities. Sample letters can be found at the end of this special report.

 

In short, let’s raise hell.

 

Implications

 

1. One need not be even a mild "doom and gloomer" to realize that failures of

the magnitude indicated in this Navy Department study are potentially

catastrophic. The lives and health of millions of people are at stake. The

national economy is threatened. Our way of life is jeopardized. The national

security is at risk.

 

 

2. That the government is withholding this information from the American

people seems to me a monstrous abandonment of principle. Each of these

military bases has a commanding officer. For large bases this is typically a

Navy Captain or a Marine Colonel. These military leaders have raised their

hands in the air and sworn an oath to support and defend the Constitution. (I

recall this oath clearly having taken it several times during my own naval

career and having administered it numerous times during reenlistment

ceremonies.)

 

 

How can these commissioned officers remotely imagine that keeping this

information from the citizens of this nation is in any way upholding their

duty? I have no doubt they have been instructed by higher authority to

maintain silence about these Y2K risks. How can they look themselves in the

mirror each morning and conceive that what they are doing is right?

 

 

These commanders report to a chain of command of Admirals and Generals

culminating in the Joint Chiefs of Staff. How can these so-called "public

servants" know that 26 million citizens are in such jeopardy and remain

silent?

 

 

In the simplest terms—I stand bitterly ashamed of my former comrades. I cannot

conceive of a blacker mark on the military leadership of the nation.

 

 

3 The government is holding out on its own people. The Navy uses a special

message called an "ALNAV" (meaning all Navy) to communicate information to all

naval personnel at once. On February 10, 1999, the Secretary of the Navy

released such a message telling all officers and enlisted personnel they had

nothing to worry about from Y2K. The message identifier is SECNAV 101715Z FEB

99. Here’s a quote,

 

 

"Speculation that power distribution systems will experience widespread

failures are not based on facts or rational analysis. … Most experts believe

water treatment and distribution should not be greatly affected by the Y2K

problem. … Because of extensive preparation, the effects of the Y2K bug will

be minimal on the lives of you and your family."

 

 

Perhaps the Navy Department had not yet completed their facility Y2K

assessment last February when the ALNAV was promulgated. Now that they

understand their Y2K exposure, I wonder when they will let all those sailors

and their families know about the anticipated utility failures? After all, the

first line in the above mentioned ALNAV states,

 

 

"It is important that we provide our sailors with sound, useful information on

the potential impact of Y2K on their personal and professional lives, as well

as the lives of their families."

 

 

I retired from the Naval Service in 1983 but I still hold a commission as a

regular officer. I am still under oath. In "my" Navy, the highest unwritten

duty of a Naval Officer was to take care of his people. This bit of

traditional wisdom is apparently little practiced today. To each of the Naval

and Marine Corps Officers who has had access to the information described

herein, I lay down a simple challenge. Live up to this duty. Come forth. Tell

us the truth.

 

 

4. If we’re being lied to about this, how can we believe anything the

government tells us about Y2K? How bad is this thing really going to be?

 

Impact on Military Readiness

 

These revelations imply a severe effect on military readiness in the United

States and at several important locations overseas. In this country, for

example the major Marine Corps bases at Quantico, Virginia and Camp LeJeune,

North Carolina are expected to experience utility failures. The latter is of

special personal concern—my son and his family are stationed there.

 

 

Another essential but not widely appreciated Marine Corps facility is at

special risk. The base at Albany, Georgia is the hub of all USMC logistics

activities. The inability of this base to provide services would pose a

devastating threat to the entire US Marine Corps. Albany is one of three

unfortunate cities expected to have utility failures in all four

areas—electricity, water, gas and sewer.

 

 

The US Navy expects serious problems as well. The extensive complex of

facilities at their primary east-coast port at Norfolk/Portsmouth, Virginia is

projected to be without water or natural gas. The Navy Space Command at

Dahlgren, Virginia; is in jeopardy. The Naval Air Stations at North Island,

California; Whidby Island, Washington, Cecil Field, Florida; and Pensacola,

Florida are at risk. The key submarine bases at Kings Bay, Georgia and New

London, Connecticut are on the list. The latter is another of the three

stateside locations expected to have failures of all four types of utilities.

 

 

The facility at Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania is also of special concern. Much

of the US Navy’s logistics support is conducted at this base which is expected

to see both gas and sewer failures.

 

 

Overseas, critical bases at Rota, Spain; Sigonella and Naples, Italy;

(headquarters of the Mediterranean (6th) Fleet); Bahrain; Guam; Puerto Rico;

and Okinawa are impacted. Of the ten facilities listed in the United Kingdom,

all (mostly in London) were expected to experience failures of all four

utilities.

 

Potential Repercussions

 

I don’t imagine the government (the Navy Department in particular) is going to

be very pleased that this information has made its way into the sunlight. If

we all do our job, they are going to come under some pretty intense scrutiny.

Several people who have seen this report opined that I could be in financial,

legal or even physical jeopardy. Quite frankly, that kind of stuff is of

little concern to me. I could not withhold this information and live with

myself. No person of honor and integrity could.

 

This stuff needs to see the light of day. I intend to do everything in my

power to make that happen. Besides, you the reader are the best protection I

could have. The more of you there are, the safer I become. Do your part and

get this critical information into the hands of as many people as you can.

Help keep Jim Lord out of jail (grin).

 

Electric Utility Failures

 

Somebody needs to let the North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC)

know about the Navy study. For their benefit and yours, here is a list of 29

electrical utilities the Navy expects to fail. Read over this list carefully.

Some of the Navy facilities are quite small but the electric company that

provides their service has a very large customer base. If your electrical

company is included, you need to raise hell with them and find out if they

know how the Navy feels about them.

 

 

Electrical Utilities Expected to Fail

 

Baldwin EMC, Milton FL

 

Bessemer Utilities, Bessemer AL

 

Central Louisiana Electric, Slidell LA

 

City of Albany GA

 

City of Key West FL

 

City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX

 

Clay Electric Cooperative, Jacksonville FL

 

Coastal Electric Members, Jacksonville FL

 

Daviess Martin County Rural Elect, Crane IN

 

Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH

 

El Paso Electric Co., El Paso TX

 

Escambia River Elec Co., Milton FL, Pensacola FL

 

Florida Power and Light, Canaveral FL, Ft Lauderdale FL

 

Florida Power Corp, Clearwater FL

 

Gulf States Utilities, Orange City FL

 

JEA, Atlantic Beach FL, Jacksonville FL

 

Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN

 

Middle Georgia Elec, Hawkinsville GA

 

Mississippi Power and Light, Gulfport MS

 

Northeast Utilities, New London CT

 

Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL

 

Port of Seattle WA

 

Riviera Utilities, Milton FL

 

Sierra Electric Cooperative, Truth or Conseq. NM

 

South Central Power, Columbus OH

 

Southern Pine Elec Coop, Milton FL

 

Southwest Arkansas Electric, Lewisville AR

 

Southwest Louisiana Electric, Broussard LA

 

Southwestern Public Services, Amarillo TX

 

Twin County Electric, Hollandale MS

 

 

 

Gas Company Failures

 

This is a list of forty gas companies the Navy Department expects to fail.

Some of the cities mentioned are quite small but the service area for the

utility mentioned has a very large customer base. Check this list carefully to

see if your gas company is included.

 

 

Gas Utilities Expected to Fail

 

Alabama Gas Corp, Bessemer AL

 

Atlanta Gas Light Co., Atlanta GA

 

Baltimore Gas & Electric, Annapolis MD

 

Boston Gas, Weymouth MA

 

City of Albany GA

 

City of Bethlehem PA

 

City of Bossier City LA

 

City of Buffalo, NY

 

City of Great Falls MT

 

City of Pascagoula MS

 

City of Pensacola FL

 

City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX

 

Columbia Gas of Virginia, Portsmouth VA, Quantico VA

 

Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH

 

Energas Co, Amarillo TX

 

Interenergy Corp, Charleston SC

 

Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN

 

Louisiana Gas Service, New Orleans LA

 

Mobile Gas Service Corp, Mobile AL

 

Mountaineer Gas, Sugar Grove WV

 

Nashville Gas Service, Nashville TN

 

New Jersey Natural Gas, Earl NJ

 

New York State El, New London CT

 

Niagra Mohawk, Watertown NY

 

NorAm Energy Management, Pensacola FL

 

North Carolina Gas, Morehead City NC

 

Northern Utilities, Portsmouth NH

 

Okaloosa Gas District, Milton FL

 

Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL

 

PECO Energy, Warminster PA

 

Penn Gas & Water, Avoca PA, Williamsport PA

 

Philadelphia Gas, Philadelphia PA

 

Providence Energy, Newport RI

 

PSE&G, Kearney NJ

 

Rochester Gas & Electric, Rochester NY

 

UGI Corp, Mechanicsburg PA

 

United Cities Gas Co, Columbia SC

 

Virginia Natural Gas, Newport News VA, Norfolk VA, Yorktown VA

 

Washington Gas Co., Arlington VA, Bethesda MD, Carderock MD, Lexington Park

MD, Washington DC

 

West Florida Natural Gas, Panama City FL

 

 

 

A Y2K Protest

 

Thirty years ago, the Pentagon Papers revealed widespread government deceit in

the prosecution of the Vietnam War. The papers and the resultant protests

eventually rooted out the truth and changed United States policy. Today, this

Navy Department study could accomplish the same objectives. We can perhaps use

it to force the government to come clean on Y2K. Our opportunity comes just in

the nick of time. If we act fast.

 

 

I recently gave an hour-long speech titled "Y2K Surprises—Why It Won’t Turn

Out Like You Think." It was the first time the Navy Department survey

information was revealed in public. In the speech, I discussed why I don’t

think the national electrical grids will fail and why I believe water is a

much greater utility risk than electricity. (Incidentally, this supposition is

clearly supported by the Navy Department survey.)

 

 

I also showed why an electronic run on the banking system is a greater danger

than a cash panic. I went on to explain why January 2000 will not be the peak

of the Year 2000 Crisis and why the real peak is 9-18 months down the road.