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The following is written by a scholar named James Kurth. Very briefly, in

his essay he outlined what is what he considers the causes that are

hastening the decline and eventual destruction of Western civilization.

This is really worth a read, because his description of the decline of the

West is in many ways an analog for the possible demise of ISKCON.

 

 

 

The Real Clash.

 

by James Kurth

 

 

WHAT WILL BE the central conflicts of world politics in our future? That is

the question that dominates the current debates about international affairs.

The most comprehensive, and most controversial, answer has been given by

Samuel Huntington, whose concept of "the clash of civilizations" has

provoked its own major clash of authors.

 

I intend to engage in this clashing. I will first review the current clash

of definitions over the nature of the new era in international affairs. I

will then review Huntington's central argument bearing on potential

conflicts between Western civilization and other ones, particularly between

the West and a grand alliance of the Islamic and the Confucian

civilizations. I will conclude, however, by arguing that the real clash of

civilizations, the one most pregnant with significance, will not be between

the West and the rest, but one that is already underway within the West

itself, particularly within its central power, the United States. This is a

clash between Western civilization and a different grand alliance, one

composed of the multicultural and the feminist movements. It is, in short, a

clash between Western and post-Western civilizations.

 

The Clash of Definitions

 

IN THE FIRST few years after the Second World War, it was common for people

to refer to the time that they were living through as the post-war period.

But a post-war or post-anything period cannot last long, and eventually an

era will assume a characteristic name of its own. This began to happen as

early as 1947 and was largely completed by 1949. The post-war period had

become the Cold War era.

 

There has been no such development yet in our time of transition. Until

recently, it was common to speak of the post-Cold-War era, but to continue

to refer to the current period in this way--fully five years after the end

of the Cold War--does seem to be stretching things a bit. To speak of the

current period as the post-post-Cold-War era, however, clearly would sound

ridiculous. And yet there is just as clearly no commonly accepted

designation for this indisputably new era that we are now in. The lack of a

common term for the era is an outer manifestation of the lack of a common

interpretation of the international situation and a common basis for foreign

policies, as is every day illustrated by the vacillating and reckless

foreign policies of the Clinton administration, the first completely

post-post-Cold-War presidency.

 

The problem is not that there are no reasonable contending definitions of

the new era but rather that there are too many of them. Indeed, by 1993,

there had developed at least four major candidates for the definition of the

post-Cold War central axis of international conflict. Analogous to the

war-centered definitions of past eras, these were: (1) trade wars,

particularly between the United States, Japan, and Western Europe; (2)

religious wars, particularly involving Islam; (3) ethnic wars, particularly

within the former Soviet Union, the former Yugoslavia, and the "failed

states" of Africa; and (4) renewed cold wars, particularly involving Russia

or China. And then along came Samuel Huntington, who published a now-famous

article, which in large measure subsumed the four different kinds of wars

into "the clash of civilizations."(1)

 

Trade wars: In the immediate aftermath of the collapse of the Soviet Union

and its communism, it was natural for some analysts to focus on the triumph

of liberal capitalism and the spread of the global economy as the central

features of the new era. But it was also natural to think, in continuity or

analogy with past eras, that the major actors in international politics

would be the great powers, except that they would now be what Richard

Rosecrance has christened "trading states" rather than "military-political

states." The great powers would be the great economies, i.e., the United

States, Japan, and Western Europe, led by newly-united Germany.

International conflict within the world would principally take the form of

economic conflict or trade wars.

 

Religious wars: Other analysts found a different dimension of continuity or

analogy with past eras, that of ideologies or world-views. With the collapse

of communism, it was reasonable to think that there would be a new conflict

with another radical ideology, or at least theology, that would take its

place, i.e., Islamic fundamentalism. (The term Islamism is a better one,

connoting the distinctive combination of traditional Islam and modern

ideology.)

 

To become truly powerful in international politics, an ideology or

world-view needs its "defender of the faith," an "idea-bearing state" that

serves as its core country. For communism, that role had been performed

principally by the Soviet Union. So too, for Islamism, the role of the core

country or idea-bearing state would be taken, albeit imperfectly, by Iran.

As it happened, however, it was Iran's much more secular adversary, Iraq,

that stepped forward to briefly fill this role in 1990. Subsequently,

however, Iran has again appeared as the core country of Islamism. With the

growing strength of the Islamist movement in the Sudan, Algeria, and even

Egypt, there appear to be good reasons to argue that conflicts involving

Islamism will be the defining feature of the new era.

 

Ethnic wars: Some analysts focused upon the incidence of actual war itself,

particularly on those associated with the resurgence of nationalist

rivalries characteristic of pre-Cold War eras. The collapse of the Soviet

Union was also the collapse of a multinational empire. The same was true of

the collapse of Yugoslavia, which was in some ways a smaller version of the

Soviet Union. The old communist regimes in the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia

expired with remarkably little effort at violent repression. Once they were

gone, however, there was violence aplenty among the ethnic groups left among

the ruins of the multinational empires of communist parties, just as there

had been at the end of the multinational empires of traditional dynasties,

such as the Habsburgs and the Ottomans.(2) The Yugoslav conflicts in

particular have seemed to many to define the nature of the new era.

 

Renewed cold wars: Other analysts have found a dimension of continuity or

analogy in the military capabilities and political systems that had

characterized the Cold War. The Soviet Union had been a threat because of

its vast size, its military power, and its authoritarian regime. When the

dust settled after the end of the Cold War, Russia was left with a

population that was only half that of the former Soviet Union but that still

made it the largest nation in Europe. It was also left with a territory that

was three-fourths that of the Soviet Union and that still made it the

largest country in the world. Most significantly, Russia was also left with

twenty thousand nuclear warheads, that still made it the only state in the

world that could destroy the United States. A renewed Cold War between

Russia and the United States is a plausible prospect.

 

A variation on this theme of a renewed Cold War is represented by China.

With its vast population and territory, its large army and nuclear weapons,

its booming economy, and its still-communist regime, it has many

capabilities that could be combined into a threat to the United States.

 

Thus, by 1993, there were four major contending definitions of the new era

in international politics. Each was grounded, by continuity and analogy, in

past concepts and experiences and each seemed to be supported by major

events that had recently occurred in 1990-93. With so many reasonable

contenders, there was no consensus on the nature of the new era or the focus

for foreign policies. The Clinton Administration, in particular, has been

torn between these contenders and has been unable to construct a coherent

foreign policy.

 

Enter Huntington

 

IT WAS IN this complex context that Samuel Huntington entered the debate.

With his customary genius at discerning a common underlying pattern in a

mass, and a mess, of disparate phenomena, Huntington argues that the central

axis of conflict in the new era will be between cultures or civilizations.

Although he does not directly address the four contending definitions that

we have identified, his concept of civilizations deals with them all.

 

In regard to trade wars, Huntington implies that these might occur but that

they will not be central. The United States and Western Europe are parts of

the same Western civilization, and conflicts between them will be marginal

and manageable. Japan is another matter, however, because, according to

Huntington, Japan is its own distinct civilization. This is why, he

observes, the economic conflict between the United States and Japan has been

more acrimonious than that between the U.S. and Europe. Overall, however,

Huntington sees Japan to be close enough in interests to the West to also

make conflicts between them manageable.

 

Conversely, the conflict between the United States and Islamism becomes

central and perennial in Huntington's view. It is the perfect example of a

clash of civilizations.

 

Ethnic wars are also central in Huntington's scheme. He notes that the most

prominent of these conflicts have occurred on the "fault lines" of

civilizations. The most obvious is the conflict between Muslims, Serbs, and

Groats in Yugoslavia, which represents a conflict between Islamic, Orthodox,

and Western civilizations. Similarly, the conflicts within and among the

successor states of the former Soviet Union have been not just between

different ethnic groups but between different civilization groups, e.g., the

Muslim Azeris and the Orthodox Armenians. Conversely, there has been almost

no violence at all between different groups within the same Slavic-Orthodox

civilization, e.g., Russians and Ukrainians.(3)

 

Finally, from the Huntington perspective, one would expect renewed conflict

between the United States and Russia or between the United States and China.

The United States represents Western civilization, Russia represents

Orthodox civilization, and China represents Confucian civilization. The

conflict will take different forms than it did during the Cold War, when the

language was ideological. The language of the new conflicts will instead be

cultural. But they will still be conflicts between great powers, and nuclear

powers at that, who represent different world-views and different ways of

life. And although Huntington does not himself say so, they conceivably

would take the form of a cold war, complete with those old and familiar

features of nuclear deterrence and military alliances.

 

The Huntington vision not only subsumes each of the contending definitions

of international conflict, it also orders the relations and the priorities

between them. Given a civilizational perspective, one could see the axis of

conflict to be between Western civilization, which is now dominant, and all

the others, which are now subordinate--"the West and the Rest," as the title

of Kishore Mahbubani's article had it (The National Interest, Summer 1992).

Huntington, however, does not see it this way but rather sees the central

conflict to be between the West and a sort of grand alliance between the

Confucian and the Islamic civilizations, with the Confucian civilization

strong in industrial power and military weaponry, and the Islamic

civilization strong in oil reserves and geographical proximity to the West.

Given a civilizational perspective, the long (really more than thirteen

centuries) conflict between Islam and the West would indicate continuing

conflict for a long time to come. On the other hand, although the conflict

between the West and Confucian civilization is not long (really less than

two centuries, or since the Opium War of 1840-42), it has frequently been

extremely bitter. Furthermore, the booming economies of Confucian countries

now give them the power to think about redressing the old and unequal

balance between them and the West.

 

Conversely, Huntington does not see a central conflict between the West and

the Orthodox civilization. He does not make an extended argument as to why

not, but he does observe that Russia is a "torn country," the most important

torn country in the world (others are Turkey and Mexico). Such a country is

torn between two civilizations, perhaps with the elite and its policy drawn

toward one, and the mass and its history drawn toward the other. Russia has

been a torn country in this sense since Peter the Great or for almost three

centuries--torn between "Westernizers and Slavophils," between Europe and

Eurasia, between the Western and the Orthodox civilizations. Huntington

seems to think that because there is so much of the West within Russia that

a civilizational conflict will not develop between the two. One could just

as easily conclude, however, that a civilizational conflict will develop

within Russia itself and that the torn country will become a traumatized

country, with a resulting rigidity and hostility in its relations with its

repressed other self, the West.

 

Perhaps Huntington also found weighty two historical legacies. First,

Orthodox civilization's most enduring and profound adversary has been

Islamic civilization. Second, Russia's most traumatic sufferings were under

the "Tartar yoke" of Genghis Khan and his successors--hardly Confucian

"civilization" but, from a Russian perspective, much the same thing. If so,

Huntington probably thinks that it would be a foolish West indeed that

allowed its differences with Orthodox civilization to drive Russia into the

arms of its most ancient adversaries. Rather, Russia should be a natural

ally of the West against the grand alliance of Islamic and Confucian

civilizations.

 

Similarly, but more simply, Huntington does not see a central conflict

between the West and Japanese civilization. He explicitly states that the

differences are largely economic and could be sensibly negotiated. It is

also likely that he sees Japanese civilization as an isolated civilization,

caught between Western and Confucian civilizations, and that a wise Western

leadership can readily keep Japan as an ally rather than drive it into

alliance with Confucian civilization. Indeed, a number of Huntington's

critics in East Asia think that is precisely his purpose, to construct a way

by which the West could once again divide and rule East Asia, this time by

setting off an isolated and vulnerable Japanese civilization against a

rising and threatening Confucian one. After all, on the face of it, there

are good reasons and historical precedent to conclude that Japan is a part

of Confucian civilization (or more accurately, that Confucian civilization

is a part of Japan).

 

Huntington versus Huntington

 

HUNTINGTON HAS HAD a long and exceptionally distinguished career as a

political scientist. His distinctive contributions to political science have

focused on political institutions, in particular the state, military

organizations, and political parties. His books on these topics are seminal

works that have made him one of the most read and respected political

scientists in the world.(4) Yet political institutions are virtually absent

from his essay on the clash of civilizations. In fact, however, the origins,

spread, and persistence of civilizations have been intrinsically linked with

political institutions, such as traditional dynastic empires and modern

nation states, and with the power that they have wielded. But different

civilizations have produced different kinds of political institutions, and

this will make for different kinds of clashes and conflicts. A Huntingtonian

attention to political institutions will cause us to amend the Huntingtonian

analysis of civilizational clashes.

 

Islamic civilization: A legacy of weak states: Islamic civilization was

created and spread by military prowess and political power. There were times

when there was a leading Islamic power, most prominently the Ottoman empire

(sometimes known as "the Ottoman Ruling Institution"). The Ottoman empire

was a true civilization-beating state. However, there was never a time when

there was only one strong Islamic power. Even the Ottoman empire had to deal

with other Islamic empires in Persia and in India. Since the Ottomans'

collapse at the end of the First World War, the Islamic civilization has

been fragmented into many conflicting states.

 

The closest approximation today to a core state for the Islamic civilization

is Iran, but it is largely isolated from the rest of the Islamic world by

either its Shi'ite theology or its Persian ethnicity (and, temporarily at

least, also its dismal economy). It is virtually impossible for Iran to

become the core state for the Islamic civilization; it is, however, also

virtually impossible for any other state to become so. The other large

states who might seem to be potential leaders (Egypt, Turkey, Pakistan, and

Indonesia) are so different from, and so contemptuous of, each other that no

concerted policy toward the West or toward the rest (e.g., Orthodox, Hindu,

or Confucian civilizations) is possible. Islam will remain a civilization

without an empire or even a core state to carry out a civilizational foreign

policy. This means that the clash between the West and Islam is not likely

to take place at the level of conventional or even nuclear wars between

Western states and Islamic states. (The Gulf War is the exception that

proves--and strengthens--the rule.) Rather, it will more likely take place

between Western societies and Islamic groups, as a long series of terrorist

actions, border skirmishes, and ethnic wars.

 

Confucian civilization--A legacy of a strong state: The story of Confucian

civilization is precisely the opposite of that of Islam. Confucian

civilization has been centered upon a core state for 2200 years, ever since

the time of the Han dynasty. Whereas the history of Islamic civilization has

been marked by long periods of fragmentation, punctuated by brief periods of

unity, the history of Confucian civilization has been marked by long periods

of unity (or at least deference to an imperial center), punctuated by brief

periods of fragmentation.

 

Today, as in the past, Confucian civilization has only one contender for the

role of core state, i.e., China. (Huntington may be wrong in holding that

Japan is not Confucian enough to be a member of Confucian civilization, but

he is right that it is not Confucian enough to be the leader of that

civilization.) All of the other Confucian countries (and they are few and

mostly small--Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore) can be expected to

revolve around, or at least defer to, China. The clash between Confucian

civilization and the West (or the rest--i.e., Orthodox or Hindu

civilizations) will really take the form of a clash between China and some

other state (or states). This means that what happens to the Chinese state

will be crucial to the direction, and the timing, of a clash of

civilizations.

 

Two generations ago, almost no one thought that the Confucian form of

statecraft had any value in the modern world. For all the differences

between Western liberals and Chinese communists, they both agreed about

this. For the past decade or more, however, there has been a broad consensus

that the Confucian societies have created states that are outstanding at

industrial development. These are South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and

(insofar as Confucianism rather than Shintoism or Buddhism should get the

credit) Japan. They are the most successful trading states in the world.

 

The Chinese state must make the great transition from being a communist

state to being a Confucian one. This is not going to be a smooth and easy

process. The ideal Confucian state in the modern era has been the Singapore

of Lee Kuan Yew. Its achievements have been extraordinarily great, but its

size is extraordinarily small. (It is really a city-state, with a population

of only 2.8 million.) The other successful Confucian states have also

governed rather small countries, with the exception of only partly-Confucian

Japan. So there is a crucial question: Will the modern Confucian state be

able to govern 1.2 billion people?

 

There may indeed come a clash between Western and Confucian civilizations,

but sometime soon there will intervene a clash between the communist past

and the Confucian future in China itself. The nature of that internal clash

will largely shape the nature and timing of the external one. A clash of

civilizations that occurred after a long Chinese "time of troubles" would

have different consequences than one that occurred in the near future.

 

In any event, the clash between the Western and Confucian civilizations,

like the clash between Western and Islamic civilizations, is not likely to

take place at the level of conventional or nuclear wars. Rather, it will

more likely take place between Western-style or liberal capitalism and

Confucian-style or state-guided capitalism, as a long series of economic

conflicts, human-rights disputes with an economic dimension, and trade wars.

 

>From Christendom to "the West"

 

A CLOSER LOOK at Huntington's list of major civilizations will raise a

fundamental question about the nature of civilizations and the differences

between them. He identifies "Western, Confucian, Japanese, Islamic, Hindu,

Slavic-Orthodox, Latin American, and possibly African civilization." This

is, on the face of it, a motley collection of terms. Four clearly identify a

civilization with a religion (in Toynbee's term, a universal church).

However, the two civilizations with the most advanced economies--the Western

and the Japanese--are identified in secular terms. We have already noted

that Japanese civilization is a result of a synthesis of three

religions--Confucianism, Shintoism, and Buddhism--so in its case the use of

a national term rather than a religious one seems logical.

 

The real anomaly in Huntington's list is the most powerful and most

pervasive civilization of them all--Western civilization, which is

identified with a term that is only a geographical direction. Instead of

connoting the profound essence of the civilization, the term Western

connotes something bland and even insipid, with no content at all. And

instead of connoting the global sway of the civilization, the term Western

connotes a locus that is limited and confined, with no breadth at all.

 

The problematic quality of Western civilization goes deeper than an

anomalous term, however. It reaches to the most fundamental character of the

civilization, to its definition and its direction.

 

The fact of the matter is that Western civilization is the only civilization

that is explicitly non-religious or post-religious. This is the radical

difference of the West from the other civilizations. It helps to explain why

there are new conflicts between the West and the rest. It predicts that

these conflicts will become more intense in the future. And it also points

to a possible fatal flaw within Western civilization itself.

 

Three hundred years ago, no one knew that there was a Western civilization,

not even those that were living within it. The term then, and the one that

would be parallel to Huntington's terms for the other civilizations, was

Christendom. The story of how Christendom became Western civilization and

how most other civilizations have retained a religious identity is crucial

for understanding the clash of civilizations in the future.

 

Western civilization is, as Huntington notes, the product of a series of

great cultural and historical movements. The featured tableaux in this grand

parade are the Renaissance, the Reformation, the Counter-Reformation, the

Enlightenment, the French Revolution, and the Industrial Revolution.

Huntington's own list does not include the Counter-Reformation. This may be

natural enough for Americans; Europeans, however, have good reasons to

include it.

 

The Enlightenment brought about the secularization of much of the

intellectual class, the idea-bearing class, of what hitherto had been called

Christendom. The civilization was now no longer called that, even though

much of its ordinary population remained Christian. The French Revolution

and the Industrial Revolution spread Enlightenment ideas and secularization

to important parts of this population, but the Christian churches continued

to be a vital force within the civilization. But ever since the

Enlightenment, it has not been possible to refer to the civilization as

Christendom.

 

For a time in the late eighteenth and early nineteenth century, "Europe"

became the preferred term for the civilization. But this was also the very

time that saw the rise of European settlements in the New World to the

status of independent nations. This soon made impossible the term "European

civilization."

 

For a brief and exuberant time in the nineteenth century, when this

civilization seemed to be the only dynamic and growing one and with all the

others in manifest decline and decay, the preferred term was just

"Civilization" itself, since this civilization seemed to be the only one

around. But this term, too, could not be sustained.

 

It was only at the beginning of the twentieth century that the term "Western

civilization" was invented. The term registered the awareness that this

civilization, unlike others, did not place religion at its core. It also

registered the awareness that this civilization was only one among many. It

was a civilization past the enthusiasms of faith and also past the

exuberance of being a civilization so blessed that it was in a class by

itself. In short, the term Western civilization was the product of a high

degree of intellectualism, perhaps even a sickly self-consciousness. The

term was itself a sign of the first appearance of decline. It is no accident

that, almost as soon as it was invented, it began to be used in this

pessimistic context, as in Oswald Spengler's The Decline of the West (1918).

Had the term been left in the hands, or rather the minds, of Europeans

alone, it probably would have had only a short and unhappy life.

 

It was the New World that was called in to redress the pessimism of the Old.

The Americans breathed a new meaning into the term Western civilization,

first as they dealt with the European immigrants in America and then as they

dealt with the European nations in Europe itself. For Americans then, and

for Huntington now, Western civilization was the ideas of "individualism,

liberalism, constitutionalism, human rights, equality, liberty, the rule of

law, democracy, free markets, the separation of church and state."

 

The new content of Western civilization became the American creed.

Conversely, the new context for the American creed became Western

civilization. The combination of American energy and European imagery gave

the idea of Western civilization both power and legitimacy. The power helped

the United States win both the Second World War against Nazi Germany and the

Cold War against the Soviet Union. The legitimacy helped it to order the

long peace within Western Europe that was so much intertwined with that Cold

War. The term Western civilization has experienced, therefore, its own

heroic age.

 

That age, however, is now over. It is over partly because the term no longer

provides the United States legitimacy among the Europeans. Even today,

however, when there is no longer any obvious great power threatening Europe,

the Europeans are often willing to defer to U.S. leadership (as the

successive crises in the Persian Gulf, Bosnia, and Africa have illustrated

in different ways). The main reason why the heroic age of the term is over

is because it no longer provides any energy within the United States itself,

and this is because it no longer has any legitimacy among Americans.

 

The decline of Western civilization is a tale that scholars have been

telling ever since the fin-de-siecle of the nineteenth century. As I have

argued, the rise of the term "Western civilization" was itself a sign of the

first stage of that decline. Now, at the fin-de-siecle of the twentieth

century, the decline of that term is a sign of a much more advanced decline.

The tale of the decline of "Western civilization" as a term is part of the

longer tale of the decline of Western civilization itself. This is connected

with certain transformations within the West that have matured in the 1990s.

 

The Great Transformations

 

ONE BIG EVENT of the 1990s, of course, has been the end of the Cold War.

Many observers naturally see this development to be the most important one

for international affairs, particularly those who focus on international

security and the national interest (and who read The National Interest). But

the 1990s have also seen the maturing of other major developments that will

have major consequences for international security and the national

interest, and that will shape the clash of civilizations: first, there has

been the transformation of the most advanced countries from industrial to

post-industrial economies, and their associated transformation from modern

to post-modern societies; second, there has been the transformation of the

international economy into a truly global one.

 

The transformation from industrial to post-industrial economy: At the most

obvious level, this means the replacement of industrial production with

service processes. These changes have been noted and discussed for more than

a generation, at least since Daniel Bell published his seminal The Coming of

Post-Industrial Society (1973). It will prove useful for our purposes,

however, to emphasize one dimension of this transformation--that of gender.

 

The agricultural economy was one that employed both men and women. They

were, it is true, employed at different tasks, but they worked at the same

place, the farm, which was also the home. The industrial economy largely

employed men. They worked both at different tasks from those of women and at

a different place, the factory, which was away from the home. The service

economy is like the agricultural economy in that it employs both men and

women. But it employs them at much the same tasks and at the same place, the

office. Like the industrial economy, that place is away from the home. These

simple differences in tasks and place have had and will continue to have

enormous consequences for society.

 

The greatest movement of the second half of the nineteenth century was the

movement of men from the farm to the factory. Out of that movement arose

many of the political movements that shaped the history of the

time--socialism and anti-socialism, revolutions, and civil wars. The full

consequences of this movement from the farm to the factory culminated in the

first half of the twentieth century with the Communist revolution in Russia,

the National Socialist reaction in Germany, and the Second World War that

included the great struggle between the two.

 

The greatest movement of the second half of the twentieth century has been

the movement of women from the home to the office. Out of that movement

there have already arisen political movements that are beginning to shape

the history of our own time. One is feminism, with its political demands

ranging from equal opportunity to academic deconstructionism to abortion

rights. Feminism has in turn produced a new form of conservatism. These new

conservatives speak of "family values;" their adversaries call them "the

religious right."

 

The full consequences of this movement from the home to the office will only

culminate in the first half of the twenty-first century. They may not take

the form of revolutions, civil wars, and world wars, as did the earlier

movement of men from the farm to the factory. Feminists have constructed

elaborate theories about how women are far less violent than men. But there

are other factors at work.

 

The movement from farm to factory in large measure brought about the

replacement of the extended family with the nuclear family. The movement

from home to office is carrying this process one step further. It separates

the parents from the children, as well as enabling the wife to separate

herself from the husband. By splitting the nuclear family, it is helping to

bring about the replacement of the nuclear family with the non-family

("non-traditional" family, as seen by feminists; no family at all, as seen

by conservatives). The splitting of the family's nucleus, like the splitting

of the atom's nucleus, will release an enormous amount of energy (which

feminists see as liberating and conservatives see as simply destructive).

 

Some indication of that energy, and its direction, may be gleaned from the

behavior of the children of split families or single-parent families,

especially where they have reached a critical mass forming more than half

the population, as in the large cities of America. In such locales, there is

not much evidence of "Western civilization" or even of civility. For

thousands of years, the city was the source of civilization. In contemporary

America, however, it has become the source of barbarism.

 

The transformation of the international economy into a global one: At the

most obvious level, this means the replacement of national production that

is engaged in international trade with global production that is engaged in

a world-wide market in trade, investment, and technology. These changes too

have been noted and discussed for a generation, ever since Raymond Vernon

published his seminal Sovereignty at Bay (1971). But their maturity has only

come in the past decade, as Vernon has recently discussed in his Defense and

Dependence in the Global Economy (1992). We will only note one of these

aspects. The globalization of production means the relocation of industrial

production from high-wage and high-skill advanced-industrial countries to

low-wage but high-skill newly-industrial countries (NICs). This is the

de-industrialization of the advanced countries, the dark half of the

post-industrial transformation that we discussed above. The two

transformations--from industrial to post-industrial and from international

to global--are intimately connected.

 

The conjunction of two processes--the de-industrialization of the advanced

countries and the industrialization of the less-advanced countries--means

that the most advanced countries are becoming less modern (i.e.

post-modern), while the less advanced countries are becoming more modern.

Or, viewing it from a civilizational perspective, the West is becoming less

modern and the rest, especially Confucian civilization, are becoming more

modern.

 

Americanization vs. Multiculturalism

 

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT development for Western civilization, however, has

occurred within its leading power, which was once its "defender of the

faith." Increasingly, the political and intellectual elites of the United

States no longer think of America as the leader, or even a member, of

Western civilization. Western civilization means nothing to many of them.

And in the academic world, Western civilization is seen as an oppressive

hegemony that should be overturned.

 

The American political and intellectual class instead thinks of America as a

multicultural society. The preferred cultures are those of African

Americans, Latino Americans, and Asian Americans. These cultures are derived

from the African, Latin American, Confucian, and Islamic civilizations

rather than from the Western one. Together, they form a sort of series of

beachheads or even colonies of these civilizations on the North American

continent, and are now contesting the hegemony there of Western

civilization.

 

The United States, however, has always had a large African American

population, and it has long had a large Latino American one. Conversely,

although the U.S. Asian American population has more than doubled since the

changes brought by the immigration law of 1965, Asian Americans still

represent only three percent of the U.S. population. The gross demographics

of the United States are still much the same as they have been for decades.

Something else had to be added to convert a long-existing multiracial

demography into a multicultural ideology, establishing a multicultural

society.

 

It is not merely the addition of large numbers of immigrants from different

cultures in recent years. This is not the first time that the United States

has experienced large numbers of immigrants from different cultures, with

prospects for their acceptance of the dominant culture seemingly

problematic. A similar condition existed a century ago, particularly from

the 1880s to the 1920s, when the culture formed within the U.S. by Western

Europeans (principally by those of British descent) had to confront large

numbers of immigrants from Eastern and Southern Europe (principally Poles,

Jews, and Italians). These immigrants were all from Western civilization,

but this was no consolation to the Americans who were already here. Most of

these "old-stock" Americans did not even know that they were part of Western

civilization (the concept had hardly been invented yet), but rather thought

of themselves in terms of religious, national, or (spurious) racial

identities.

 

The reaction of the political and intellectual elites of that time to their

multicultural reality was precisely the opposite of that of the political

and intellectual elites of today. They did not rejoice in multicultural

society and dedicate themselves to making it even more multicultural.

Rather, they undertook a massive and systematic program of Americanization,

imposing on the new immigrants and on their children the English language,

Anglo-American history, and American civics (what Robert Bellah would later

term the American "civil religion" and what Huntington has elsewhere termed

the "American Creed"). The Anglo-American elite was aided in its grand

project of Americanization by the booming U.S. economy during this period,

which gave immigrants ample economic reasons to assimilate, and by the

restrictive immigration law of 1924, which essentially halted immigration

from Eastern and Southern Europe and allowed the Americanization process to

operate upon and shape a settled mass.

 

This grand project of Americanization was relentless and even ruthless. Many

individuals were oppressed and victimized by it, and many rich and

meaningful cultural islands were swept away. But the achievements of that

project were awesome, as well as awful. In particular, when the United

States entered into its greatest struggles of the twentieth century, first

the Second World War and then the Cold War, it did so as a national state,

rather than as a multicultural society. (Hitler consistently underestimated

the United States because he thought it was the latter rather than the

former; he was thinking that the U.S. was still what it was at the time of

the First World War.) It was because of the Americanization project that the

United States could become the leader and the defender of Western

civilization.

 

Indeed, one of the consequences of this grand project of Americanization was

the spread within the American academic elite of the concept of the Western

civilization. The political elite remained comfortable with Americanization

of the mass population. The academic elite (particularly at Harvard, Yale,

Columbia, and Princeton), however, was in the business of teaching the elite

of the future. For this purpose, simple Americanization was too rough and

primitive. Rather than imposing Americanization unilaterally on people who

were in some sense both European and American, it would be better to find a

new common denominator for both Europeans and Americans. This became

"Western civilization." As we have seen, very little in this Western

civilization happened to contradict the American creed. All of the elements

that Huntington identifies as being the elements of Western civilization

were in the American creed also.

 

Deconstructing the West

 

THE PRESENCE OF African Americans, Latino Americans, and Asian Americans

might have been sufficient to create a multicultural ideology in the 1980s

and 1990s. But these three groups alone probably would not have been

sufficient to have that ideology adopted by much of the American political

and intellectual elites, or to have it translated into policies aimed at

establishing a multicultural society. Even a grand coalition between them

would not have been grand enough to take power and make policy. A truly

grand coalition had to include, indeed had to have as its core, a group that

was much closer in social and educational background to the existing elite

and much more central to the emerging post-industrial economy. That group,

which was not really a group but a majority, was women. We have already

noted the importance of women in the post-industrial economy and the

consequent importance of feminism in post-modern politics.

 

The feminist movement is central to the multicultural coalition and its

project. It provides the numbers, having reached a central mass first in

academia and now in the media and the law. It promotes the theories, such as

deconstructionism and post-modernism. And it provides much of the energy,

the leadership, and the political clout.

 

The multicultural coalition and its feminist core despise the European

versions of Western civilization, which they see as the work of "dead white

European males." They also despise the American version or the American

creed, particularly liberalism, constitutionalism, the rule of law, and free

markets. (They also in practice reject the separation of church and state,

because they want to use the state against the church, especially to attack

a male-dominated clergy as a violation of equal opportunity and to attack

the refusal of church hospitals to perform abortions as a violation of

women's rights.) The multicultural project has already succeeded in

marginalizing Western civilization in its very intellectual core, the

universities and the media of America.

 

The Real Clash

 

THE IDEAS of the Enlightenment were invented in Britain in the aftermath of

the religious wars of the seventeenth century. They were then adopted by the

intellectual elite of the greatest power of the eighteenth century, France,

which then proceeded to spread them throughout Europe. The ideas of the

post-Enlightenment were invented in France in the aftermath of the

ideological wars of the mid-twentieth century. They were then adopted by the

intellectual elite of the greatest power of the late twentieth-century, the

United States, which is beginning to spread them throughout Western

civilization.

 

The overthrow of the Enlightenment by the post-Enlightenment is also the

overthrow of the modern by the post-modern and therefore of the Western by

the post-Western. At the very moment of its greatest triumph, its defeat of

the last great power opposing it, Western civilization is becoming

non-Western. One reason is that it has become global and therefore

extra-Western. But the real, and the fatal, reason is that it has become

post-modern and therefore post-Western.

 

The real clash of civilizations will not be between the West and one or more

of the Rest. It will be between the West and the post-West, within the West

itself. This clash has already taken place within the brain of Western

civilization, the American intellectual class. It is now spreading from that

brain to the American body politic.

 

The 1990s have seen another great transformation, this time in the liberal

and the conservative movements that have long defined American politics and

that, whatever their differences, had both believed in the modern ideas

represented by the American creed. Among liberals, the political energy is

now found among multicultural activists. Liberalism is ceasing to be modern

and is becoming post-modern. Among conservatives, the political energy is

now found among religious believers. Conservatism is ceasing to be modern

and is becoming pre-modern. Neither these liberals nor these conservatives

are believers in Western civilization. The liberals identify with

multicultural society or a post-Western civilization (such as it is). The

conservatives identify with Christianity or a pre-Western civilization. A

question thus arises about who, in the United States of the future, will

still believe in Western civilization. Most practically, who will believe in

it enough to fight, kill, and die for it in a clash of civilizations?

 

IT IS HISTORICALLY fitting that Samuel Huntington has issued a call to

Western civilization and to Americans within it. In the seventeenth century,

the first Huntingtons arrived in America, as Puritans and as founders of the

Massachusetts Bay Colony. In the eighteenth century, Samuel Huntington of

Connecticut was a signer of the Declaration of Independence and a lender to

General George Washington of the funds necessary to sustain his army at

Valley Forge. In the nineteenth century, Collis P. Huntington was a builder

of the transcontinental railroad. In the twentieth century, Samuel P.

Huntington has been, for more than forty years, the most consistently

brilliant and creative political scientist in the United States. Huntingtons

have been present at the creation for most of the great events of American

history, which in turn have been linked up with great movements of Western

civilization--the Reformation, the Enlightenment, the French Revolution, and

the Industrial Revolution. It is fitting indeed that, in our century, Samuel

Huntington has been not just an analyst of Western civilization but an

exemplar of its creative intelligence.

 

The American intellectual class of our time is present at the deconstruction

of Western civilization. When that civilization is in ruins, however, it

will be its glories, and not multiculturalism's barbarities, that will be

remembered. And when that intellectual class has also passed away, it will

be the brilliant achievements of Samuel Huntington, and not the boring

cliches of the deconstructionists, that will be remembered also.

 

1 Samuel P. Huntington, "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs

(Summer 1993), pp. 22-49. The tide included a question mark, which was both

inconsistent with the article's strong assertions and with Huntington's

customary style. A debate between Huntington and his critics followed in the

next two issues of Foreign Affairs.

 

2 See my "Eastern Question, Western Answer," The National Interest (Winter

1993-94), pp. 96-101.

 

3 There have, however, been violent clashes in Moldova, between Orthodox

Slavs and Orthodox Rumanians. When the civilization is defined as

Slavic-Orthodox, rather than the more obvious Orthodox alone, this anomaly

can be overlooked.

 

4 Especially The Soldier and the State (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University

Press, 1957); The Common Defense (New York: Columbia University Press,

1961); Political Order in Changing Societies (New Haven: Yale University

Press, 1968); and American Politics: The Promise of Disharmony (Cambridge,

MA: Harvard University Press, 1981).

 

James Kurth is professor of political science at Swarthmore College.

 

-1-

 

 

 

----------

 

Publication Information: Article Title: The Real Clash. Contributors: James

Kurth - author. Magazine Title: The National Interest. Issue: 37.

Publication Fall 1994. Page Number: 3+. COPYRIGHT 1994 The National

Affairs, Inc.; COPYRIGHT 2002 Gale Group

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