Guest guest Posted January 29, 2006 Report Share Posted January 29, 2006 Hello list, The issue of political stability in the Middle East is prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. Earlier today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a number of countries in the region. One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in the region. Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the developments at the present time: - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a regional power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest in abolishing Israel) - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish Israel and establish an Arab state). Also important are - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external pressure and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its political system), - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power in the region) There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are political groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but are likely only peripheral in the drama. Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and functional (for each country as per functional rulership of Saturn). Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries involved. The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional malefic planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through the aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also more for those rising signs where the above three signs become owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, H12 and H6, in natural order of maleficience). For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently in H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in H6. For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could become disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, media and new business start ups could be involved. For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the judicial and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses could be involved. For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and Lebanon), Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal harmony and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general conditions of the country. For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural resources, educational institutions and general and political stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and religious matters could be involved. For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the government communication with the people, communication infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be involved. For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be involved. For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, the outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could be involved. For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional stability could be involved. IRAN In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note that - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in H8. The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, until end March 2006. This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart involving these planets and the afforementioned reading For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. As has mentioned, there is clearly reason for Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for other countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, given the difficult transits. Best regards, C Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. Opec says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown Heather Stewart, economics correspondentSunday January 29, 2006The Observer Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world leaders demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and analysts warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the markets - 5 per cent of the world's supply. Article continues Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a barrel in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely devastating ... I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. She said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned that the result of punitive action against his country would be 'the unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 a barrel because of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose more than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to political shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; it's going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The oil producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas will be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in Nigeria have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. The president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears on Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If Iran decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production because of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages in a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from dropping much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been weak since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, which has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 29, 2006 Report Share Posted January 29, 2006 Dear Cosmologer, Thanks for such a detailed answer to Babu’s question. I have already forwarded it to all the Portuguese SA students… In my previous message of today, I was also trying to show the difficult combination of dasha/transit for some of the involved countries. Best wishes, Jorge SAMVA [sAMVA ] On Behalf Of Dayamaya Ji domingo, 29 de Janeiro de 2006 11:06 samva Saturn, the Middle East and oil Hello list, The issue of political stability in the Middle East is prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. Earlier today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a number of countries in the region. One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in the region. Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the developments at the present time: - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a regional power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest in abolishing Israel) - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish Israel and establish an Arab state). Also important are - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external pressure and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its political system), - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power in the region) There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are political groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but are likely only peripheral in the drama. Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and functional (for each country as per functional rulership of Saturn). Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries involved. The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional malefic planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through the aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also more for those rising signs where the above three signs become owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, H12 and H6, in natural order of maleficience). For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently in H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in H6. For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could become disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, media and new business start ups could be involved. For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the judicial and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses could be involved. For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and Lebanon), Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal harmony and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general conditions of the country. For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural resources, educational institutions and general and political stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and religious matters could be involved. For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the government communication with the people, communication infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be involved. For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be involved. For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, the outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could be involved. For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional stability could be involved. IRAN In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note that - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in H8. The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, until end March 2006. This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart involving these planets and the afforementioned reading For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. As has mentioned, there is clearly reason for Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for other countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, given the difficult transits. Best regards, C Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. Opec says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown Heather Stewart, economics correspondent Sunday January 29, 2006 The Observer Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world leaders demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and analysts warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the markets - 5 per cent of the world's supply. Article continues Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a barrel in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely devastating ... I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. She said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned that the result of punitive action against his country would be 'the unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 a barrel because of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose more than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to political shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; it's going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The oil producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas will be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in Nigeria have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. The president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears on Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If Iran decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production because of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages in a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from dropping much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been weak since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, which has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. Do you ? With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. -- Version: 7.1.375 / Virus Database: 267.14.23/243 - Release 27.01.2006 -- Version: 7.1.375 / Virus Database: 267.14.23/243 - Release 27.01.2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 Hi cosmologer, Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I am net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders reading this should note. There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. Over time... Vyas SAMVA , Dayamaya Ji <cosmologer> wrote: > > Hello list, > > The issue of political stability in the Middle East is prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. Earlier today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a number of countries in the region. > > One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in the region. > > Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the developments at the present time: > - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a regional power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest in abolishing Israel) > - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish Israel and establish an Arab state). > > Also important are > - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external pressure and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its political system), > - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) > - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power in the region) > > There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are political groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but are likely only peripheral in the drama. > > Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and functional (for each country as per functional rulership of Saturn). Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries involved. The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional malefic planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through the aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also more for those rising signs where the above three signs become owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, H12 and H6, in natural > order of maleficience). > > For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently in H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in H6. > > For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could become disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, media and new business start ups could be involved. > > For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the judicial and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. > > For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses could be involved. > > For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and Lebanon), Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal harmony and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general conditions of the country. > > For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. > > For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural resources, educational institutions and general and political stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and religious matters could be involved. > > For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the government communication with the people, communication infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be involved. > > For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be involved. > > For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, the outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could be involved. > > For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional stability could be involved. > > > > IRAN > In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note that > - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. > - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 > - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. > - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in H8. > > The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, until end March 2006. > > > This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart involving these planets and the afforementioned reading > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. > > As has mentioned, there is clearly reason for Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for other countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, given the difficult transits. > > Best regards, > > C > > > > > Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' > > Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. Opec says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown > > Heather Stewart, economics correspondent > Sunday January 29, 2006 > The Observer > > > Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world leaders demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and analysts warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the markets - 5 per cent of the world's supply. Article continues > > > > > > > Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a barrel in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely devastating ... I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. She said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned that the result of punitive action against his country would be 'the unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 a barrel because > of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose more than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to political shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; it's going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The oil producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas will be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in Nigeria have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately > targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. The president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears on Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If Iran decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production because of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages in a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from dropping much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been weak since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before > coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, which has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. > > > > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 hi Vyas thanx >>One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. which country is toppling which enemy ? >>Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. comeone man get real ! The grass suffers when the elephants fight. vyasmunidas <muni> wrote: Hi cosmologer,Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I am net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders reading this should note.There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. Over time...Vyas With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 Aye, that it does, but it doesn't mean that elephants don't. From an astrological point of view, this Ra/Sa effect with regards to oil can be understood to have alot of deception wrt to increased prices. We can also understand that this gain is phenomenal, but unsustainable. It doesn't mean that we'll see 30/brl right after the effect passes. It may take many, many years to get down and sustain such a price for an extended period of time. My bet is to see above 65/brl for quite a while after we hit that 100 mark. Best regards, Vyas Munidas SAMVA , del iver <deliver1900> wrote: > > hi Vyas > thanx > >>One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. > > which country is toppling which enemy ? > > >>Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. > > comeone man get real ! The grass suffers when the elephants fight. > > vyasmunidas <munidas@r...> wrote: > Hi cosmologer, > > Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I am net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders > reading this should note. > > There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. Over time... > > > Vyas > > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 hi Vyas thanx mate ! i always appreciate your contribution. It would be good for the world if oil prices really went up because that could be the end of oil.I have always maintained that in the West the prices are dependent on supply not demand in such matters. There's always a manipulation of supply. (Richard Ney did an excellent job in US exposing this manipulation of supply in the stockmarket but alas nothing happened.) Deception it may be. But since the yanks have started controlling oil, oil is a long-term buy and thats based on common sense based on the understanding of "power" manipulation abilities of big brothers. Unless I have missed something, haven't seen much in terms of Astro preditions wrt oil. Thankyou for sticking your neck out for astro. PS: it might be worth noting that some of the "poor" countries are oil rich ! vyasmunidas <muni> wrote: Aye, that it does, but it doesn't mean that elephants don't. From an astrological point of view, this Ra/Sa effect with regards to oil can be understood to have alot of deception wrt to increased prices. We can also understand that this gain is phenomenal, but unsustainable. It doesn't mean that we'll see 30/brl right after the effect passes. It may take many, many years to get down and sustain such a price for an extended period of time. My bet is to see above 65/brl for quite a while after we hit that 100 mark.Best regards,Vyas MunidasSAMVA , del iver <deliver1900> wrote:>> hi Vyas > thanx> >>One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. > > which country is toppling which enemy ?> > >>Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles.> > comeone man get real ! The grass suffers when the elephants fight. > > vyasmunidas <munidas@r...> wrote:> Hi cosmologer,> > Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I am net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders > reading this should note.> > There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with participating in global power squabbles. Over time...> > > Vyas> > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail.> Autos. Looking for a sweet ride? Get pricing, reviews, more on new and used cars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 Hello Vyas, It will be interesting to follow the oil price now that Rahu in Pisces is afflicting Saturn in Cancer. The influence of Rahu can be to create volatility in either direction for the oil price. The price could well rise, as you suggest. Certainly, the developments also suggest this direction. But the price could also fall. We should recall that the oil price dropped below $10 per barrel when Rahu in Leo afflicted a debilitated Saturn in Aries for the latter half of 1998. Granted, the current affliction is much less extreme. Whatever happens, it will be interesting to follow the developments in this and other markets as well as for the Middle East and elsewhere. In this regard, we should note that Saturn rules mines in general as well as people that work more for less renumeration (labourers and civil servants). The mine disasters around the world bear witness to the ongoing affliction of Saturn by Rahu. Best regards, C SAMVA , " vyasmunidas " <munidas@r...> wrote: > > Hi cosmologer, > > Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that > 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and > many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I am > net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and > selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders > reading this should note. > > There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really > good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive for > them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with > participating in global power squabbles. Over time... > > > Vyas > > > > SAMVA , Dayamaya Ji <cosmologer> wrote: > > > > Hello list, > > > > The issue of political stability in the Middle East is > prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. Earlier > today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a > number of countries in the region. > > > > One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major > export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached > news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much > higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in the > region. > > > > Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the > developments at the present time: > > - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a regional > power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest in > abolishing Israel) > > - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish Israel > and establish an Arab state). > > > > Also important are > > - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external pressure > and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its > political system), > > - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity > alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab > inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and > oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) > > - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power in > the region) > > > > There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are > believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are political > groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These > countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, > Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim > states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but are > likely only peripheral in the drama. > > > > Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief > indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and > will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu > will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. > During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the > indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and > functional (for each country as per functional rulership of Saturn). > Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries involved. > The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional malefic > planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through the > aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. > Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now > occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also > more for those rising signs where the above three signs become > owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, H12 > and H6, in natural > > order of maleficience). > > > > For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income > developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently in > H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political > stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in H6. > > > > For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the > executive branch of government and foreign trade could become > disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, > media and new business start ups could be involved. > > > > For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the judicial > and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently > in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. > > > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), > Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, > accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in > H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the > world would be involved. > > > > For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, > tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is > currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses > could be involved. > > > > For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and Lebanon), > Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal harmony > and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn is > currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As > Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general > conditions of the country. > > > > For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional > stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is > currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign > trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. > > > > For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural > resources, educational institutions and general and political > stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and > religious matters could be involved. > > > > For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the > government communication with the people, communication > infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is > currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be > involved. > > > > For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national > wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. As > Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be > involved. > > > > For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general > conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, the > outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn > is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could be > involved. > > > > For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence > expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be > harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional > stability could be involved. > > > > > > > > IRAN > > In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note > that > > - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. > > - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 > > - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. > > - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in H8. > > > > The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming > stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, > until end March 2006. > > > > > > This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is > transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart > involving these planets and the afforementioned reading > > > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), > Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, > accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in > H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the > world would be involved. > > > > As has mentioned, there is clearly reason for > Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for other > countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, > there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary > rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn > by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it > will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, > given the difficult transits. > > > > Best regards, > > > > C > > > > > > > > > > Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' > > > > Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. Opec > says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown > > > > Heather Stewart, economics correspondent > > Sunday January 29, 2006 > > The Observer > > > > > > Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world leaders > demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and analysts > warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich > state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic > Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to > the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's > president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by > cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the > markets - 5 per cent of the world's supply. > Article continues > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a barrel > in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and > rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an > already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the > Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a > shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely devastating ... > I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. She > said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil > prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis > escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned > that the result of punitive action against his country would be 'the > unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of > nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest > preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He > has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 a > barrel because > > of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose more > than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase > now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare > capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to political > shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; it's > going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The oil > producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls > from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push > up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas will > be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' > said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the > Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than > fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in Nigeria > have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to > protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately > > targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a > problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between > the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. The > president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears on > Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to > step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If Iran > decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production because > of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play > there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last > autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing > economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages in > a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from dropping > much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been weak > since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi > output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before > > coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, which > has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up > further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, > then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. > > > > > > > > > > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 30, 2006 Report Share Posted January 30, 2006 The debilitation was key to the low price in 98. The planet's strength must be there to derive any benefit from Rahu, otherwise greater fluctuations and losses will occur. In this case, Saturn is relatively strong so we'll see fluctuations, but overall gain will be good. I'm not sure about what Ketu's effect would be if it were in Rahu's position in the present suituation. Care to venture a view? I think we'd see a drop in prices. Best regards, Vyas Munidas PS Thank you for your kind words Iver. SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer> wrote: > > Hello Vyas, > > It will be interesting to follow the oil price now that Rahu in > Pisces is afflicting Saturn in Cancer. The influence of Rahu can be > to create volatility in either direction for the oil price. The > price could well rise, as you suggest. Certainly, the developments > also suggest this direction. But the price could also fall. We > should recall that the oil price dropped below $10 per barrel when > Rahu in Leo afflicted a debilitated Saturn in Aries for the latter > half of 1998. Granted, the current affliction is much less extreme. > Whatever happens, it will be interesting to follow the developments > in this and other markets as well as for the Middle East and > elsewhere. In this regard, we should note that Saturn rules mines in > general as well as people that work more for less renumeration > (labourers and civil servants). The mine disasters around the world > bear witness to the ongoing affliction of Saturn by Rahu. > > Best regards, > > C > > > SAMVA , " vyasmunidas " <munidas@r...> wrote: > > > > Hi cosmologer, > > > > Good points. I believe that oil is destined to hit/test that > > 100/brl. Sentiment is a wonderful thing when it gets rolling, and > > many drums have been beating for this price since last spring. I > am > > net long on oil and will be until April 30 when top picking and > > selling as much as can be filled, is a good idea. Those traders > > reading this should note. > > > > There is another war going on, much like the cold war. One really > > good way to topple an enemy is to make it excessively expensive > for > > them to live and operate. Poor countries are not concerned with > > participating in global power squabbles. Over time... > > > > > > Vyas > > > > > > > > SAMVA , Dayamaya Ji <cosmologer> wrote: > > > > > > Hello list, > > > > > > The issue of political stability in the Middle East is > > prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. > Earlier > > today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a > > number of countries in the region. > > > > > > One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major > > export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached > > news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much > > higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in > the > > region. > > > > > > Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the > > developments at the present time: > > > - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a > regional > > power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest > in > > abolishing Israel) > > > - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish > Israel > > and establish an Arab state). > > > > > > Also important are > > > - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external > pressure > > and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its > > political system), > > > - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity > > alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab > > inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and > > oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) > > > - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power > in > > the region) > > > > > > There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are > > believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are > political > > groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These > > countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, > > Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim > > states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but > are > > likely only peripheral in the drama. > > > > > > Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief > > indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and > > will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu > > will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. > > During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the > > indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and > > functional (for each country as per functional rulership of > Saturn). > > Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries > involved. > > The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional > malefic > > planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through > the > > aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. > > Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now > > occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also > > more for those rising signs where the above three signs become > > owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, > H12 > > and H6, in natural > > > order of maleficience). > > > > > > For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income > > developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently > in > > H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political > > stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in > H6. > > > > > > For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the > > executive branch of government and foreign trade could become > > disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, > > media and new business start ups could be involved. > > > > > > For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the > judicial > > and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is > currently > > in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. > > > > > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), > > Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, > > accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in > > H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the > > world would be involved. > > > > > > For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, > > tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is > > currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses > > could be involved. > > > > > > For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and > Lebanon), > > Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal > harmony > > and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn > is > > currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As > > Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general > > conditions of the country. > > > > > > For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional > > stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is > > currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign > > trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. > > > > > > For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural > > resources, educational institutions and general and political > > stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and > > religious matters could be involved. > > > > > > For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the > > government communication with the people, communication > > infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is > > currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be > > involved. > > > > > > For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national > > wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. > As > > Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be > > involved. > > > > > > For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general > > conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, > the > > outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn > > is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could > be > > involved. > > > > > > For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence > > expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be > > harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional > > stability could be involved. > > > > > > > > > > > > IRAN > > > In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note > > that > > > - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. > > > - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 > > > - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. > > > - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in > H8. > > > > > > The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming > > stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, > > until end March 2006. > > > > > > > > > This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is > > transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart > > involving these planets and the afforementioned reading > > > > > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), > > Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, > > accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in > > H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the > > world would be involved. > > > > > > As has mentioned, there is clearly reason > for > > Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for > other > > countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, > > there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary > > rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn > > by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it > > will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, > > given the difficult transits. > > > > > > Best regards, > > > > > > C > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' > > > > > > Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. > Opec > > says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown > > > > > > Heather Stewart, economics correspondent > > > Sunday January 29, 2006 > > > The Observer > > > > > > > > > Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world > leaders > > demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and > analysts > > warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich > > state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic > > Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to > > the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's > > president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by > > cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the > > markets - 5 per cent of the world's > supply. > > Article continues > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a > barrel > > in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and > > rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an > > already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the > > Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a > > shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely > devastating ... > > I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. > She > > said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil > > prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis > > escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned > > that the result of punitive action against his country would > be 'the > > unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of > > nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest > > preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He > > has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 > a > > barrel because > > > of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose > more > > than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase > > now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare > > capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to > political > > shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; > it's > > going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The > oil > > producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls > > from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push > > up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas > will > > be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' > > said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the > > Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than > > fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in > Nigeria > > have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to > > protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately > > > targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a > > problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between > > the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. > The > > president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears > on > > Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to > > step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If > Iran > > decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production > because > > of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play > > there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last > > autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing > > economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages > in > > a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from > dropping > > much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been > weak > > since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi > > output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before > > > coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, > which > > has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up > > further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, > > then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 12, 2006 Report Share Posted February 12, 2006 Hello list, As the attached story shows, the international pressure, notably from the USA, remains high concerning Iran´s plans for developing its nuclear fuel making capability. Many worry the US will resort to military action to prevent those plans being carried out. The rhetoric coming from Iran is not helping to settle the issue. The transits remain difficult for some time now in the 24° Cancer rising chart for the proclamation of the Islamic Republic in Iran, both concerning transit L6 Jupiter and L8 Saturn. Less pressure is seen in the Scorpio rising chart for the USA. Let´s hope cooler heads prevail as has also mentioned (attached below). Meanwhile, the oil price has reverted from earlier highs and is now at around $61 per barrel. However, as the affliction of Rahu is getting closer in coming weeks, the oil price is expected to remain quite volatile. Best regards, C --------- US prepares military blitz against Iran's nuclear sites By Philip Sherwell in Washington (Filed: 12/02/2006) Strategists at the Pentagon are drawing up plans for devastating bombing raids backed by submarine-launched ballistic missile attacks against Iran's nuclear sites as a " last resort " to block Teheran's efforts to develop an atomic bomb. Central Command and Strategic Command planners are identifying targets, assessing weapon-loads and working on logistics for an operation, the Sunday Telegraph has learnt. They are reporting to the office of Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary, as America updates plans for action if the diplomatic offensive fails to thwart the Islamic republic's nuclear bomb ambitions. Teheran claims that it is developing only a civilian energy programme. " This is more than just the standard military contingency assessment, " said a senior Pentagon adviser. " This has taken on much greater urgency in recent months. " The prospect of military action could put Washington at odds with Britain which fears that an attack would spark violence across the Middle East, reprisals in the West and may not cripple Teheran's nuclear programme. But the steady flow of disclosures about Iran's secret nuclear operations and the virulent anti-Israeli threats of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has prompted the fresh assessment of military options by Washington. The most likely strategy would involve aerial bombardment by long-distance B2 bombers, each armed with up to 40,000lb of precision weapons, including the latest bunker-busting devices. They would fly from bases in Missouri with mid-air refuelling. The Bush administration has recently announced plans to add conventional ballistic missiles to the armoury of its nuclear Trident submarines within the next two years. If ready in time, they would also form part of the plan of attack. Teheran has dispersed its nuclear plants, burying some deep underground, and has recently increased its air defences, but Pentagon planners believe that the raids could seriously set back Iran's nuclear programme. Iran was last weekend reported to the United Nations Security Council by the International Atomic Energy Agency for its banned nuclear activities. Teheran reacted by announcing that it would resume full-scale uranium enrichment - producing material that could arm nuclear devices. The White House says that it wants a diplomatic solution to the stand-off, but President George W Bush has refused to rule out military action and reaffirmed last weekend that Iran's nuclear ambitions " will not be tolerated " . Sen John McCain, the Republican front-runner to succeed Mr Bush in 2008, has advocated military strikes as a last resort. He said recently: " There is only only one thing worse than the United States exercising a military option and that is a nuclear-armed Iran. " Senator Joe Lieberman, a Democrat, has made the same case and Mr Bush is expected to be faced by the decision within two years. By then, Iran will be close to acquiring the knowledge to make an atomic bomb, although the construction will take longer. The President will not want to be seen as leaving the White House having allowed Iran's ayatollahs to go atomic. In Teheran yesterday, crowds celebrating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution chanted " Nuclear technology is our inalienable right " and cheered Mr Ahmadinejad when he said that Iran may reconsider membership of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. He was defiant over possible economic sanctions. 11 February 2006: Iran plant 'has restarted its nuclear bomb-making equipment' ---------- On Jan 16, 2006 remarked: " Planetary position currently is unfavorable for Iran at the moment. Transit Jupiter's influence on Transit Mars, Transit Saturn's position in ascendant under the affliction of Rahu does not auger well. Natal Venus in Iran proclamation chart is badly placed in the severely afflicted eighth house. Haste on the part of west would spoil the matter of a peaceful settlement and Iran would also suffer in the process. Iran's own reactions would be detrimental to its own interests. " ------------ SAMVA , Dayamaya Ji <cosmologer wrote on Jan 29, 2006: > > Hello list, > > The issue of political stability in the Middle East is prominently in the news at this time, as many times before. Earlier today, Jorge Angelino has brought out the transit situation in a number of countries in the region. > > One measure of the conditions is the price of oil, a major export commodity for many countries in the region. As the attached news story shows, there are concerns the oil price may climb much higher in coming days, weeks or months, in view of difficulty in the region. > > Two countries are seen as having a large influence on the developments at the present time: > - Iran (a muslim non-Arab state that wants to become a regional power, possibly with nuclear weapons, and has expressed interest in abolishing Israel) > - Palestine (new Hamas party government wants to abolish Israel and establish an Arab state). > > Also important are > - Iraq (an Arab muslim state struggling with external pressure and internal opposition to adopting democratic reforms of its political system), > - Israel (a secular state based on a religion and ethnicity alien to the Arabs, living under continual threat from muslim Arab inhabitants and some neighbouring states after usurping land and oppressing the indigenous muslim Arab people) > - Syria (a covert force for the Arab cause and its own power in the region) > > There are a number of Muslim countries in the region that are believed to be passive in the conflict (even if there are political groups in some of these countries that oppose Israel). These countries are Lebanon, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Turkey and Algeria. Muslim states Somalia, Libya and Yemen may be hostile to Israel but are likely only peripheral in the drama. > > Important in all of this is the affliction of Saturn (chief indicator for oil) by Rahu. This affliction is now within 2° and will become exact in late March until mid April of 2006 when Rahu will be at 10° 40´ Pisces and Saturn will be at 10° 40´ Cancer. During this time, there could be manipulations with regard to the indications of Saturn, both general (for all countries) and functional (for each country as per functional rulership of Saturn). Hence, some manipulations are expected to affect countries involved. The harm could be greater where Saturn is also a functional malefic planet (Cancer, Virgo and Pisces rising charts), notably through the aspect of Saturn in Cancer to Ketu in the sign of Virgo. Importantly, we should also note that the nodes and Saturn now occupy these three signs. At the same time, the problems are also more for those rising signs where the above three signs become owners of Moolatrikona signs falling in the Dusthana houses (H8, H12 and H6, in natural > order of maleficience). > > For Aries rising charts, Saturn becomes L11 and income developments could become matter of concern. Saturn is currently in H4 of the Aries rising chart, so natural resources and political stability could be involved. Note that Rahu is in H12 and Ketu in H6. > > For Taurus rising countries, Saturn is L10 and hence, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could become disturbed. Saturn is currently in H3, so government communication, media and new business start ups could be involved. > > For Gemini rising countries, Saturn is L9 and hence the judicial and religious affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H2, the national wealth and status could be involved. > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. > > For Leo rising countries, Saturn is L7 and hence the cabinet, tourism and foreign affairs could become disturbed. As Saturn is currently in H12, expenditures, foreign debt and financial losses could be involved. > > For Virgo rising countries (e.g. Israel, Palestine and Lebanon), Saturn is L6 and hence relations with neighbors and communal harmony and political and financial stability would be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H11, income matters and gains could be involved. As Ketu is in H1, the malefic aspect of Saturn involves the general conditions of the country. > > For Libra rising countries, Saturn is L5 and hence emotional stability, speculation and children could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H10, the executive branch of government and foreign trade could be involed. Note that Rahu is in H6 and Ketu in H12. > > For Scorpio rising countries, Saturn is L4 and hence natural resources, educational institutions and general and political stability could be harmed. As Saturn is in H9, the judicial and religious matters could be involved. > > For Sagittarius rising countries, Saturn is L3 and hence the government communication with the people, communication infrastructure and literary persons could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H8, delays, accidents and obstructions could be involved. > > For Capricorn rising countries, Saturn is L2 and national wealth, status and relationships with neighbours could be harmed. As Saturn is currently in H7, tourism and foreign affairs could be involved. > > For Aquarius rising countries, Saturn is L1 and general conditions of the country as a whole, its position in the world, the outlook of the people and law and order could be harmed. As Saturn is in H6, enemity, (ill) health and financial (in)stability could be involved. > > For Pisces rising countries, Saturn is L12 and hence expenditures, foreign debt, wars and hospitalisation could be harmed. As Saturn is in H5, speculation, children and emotional stability could be involved. > > > > IRAN > In the 24° 24´Cancer rising chart for Iran, we could note that > - Jupiter is strong by degree and exaltation in H1. > - Rahu is natally afflicting H2, H6, H8 and H10 > - Ketu is likewise afflicting H8, H12, H2 and H4. > - L8 Saturn natally afflicts L1 Moon in H11 and L4 Venus in H8. > > The transit picture shows that L6 Jupiter is now becoming stationary where it will closely afflict H4 and H8, H10 and H12, until end March 2006. > > > This affliction is happening at the same time that Saturn is transit afflicted by Rahu. Given the afflictions in the chart involving these planets and the afforementioned reading > > For Cancer rising countries (e.g. Iran, Jordan and Syria), Saturn is L8 and Most Malefic Planet (MMP) and hence obstructions, accidents and calamities could be seen. As Saturn is currently in H1, the general conditions of the country and its position in the world would be involved. > > As has mentioned, there is clearly reason for Iranian politicians to behave responsibly at this time and for other countries to be patient when dealing with the country now. If so, there may be disturbance and tension in the region, with temporary rise in the oil price (as seen in the transit affliction of Saturn by Rahu), but no permanent setback for the country. That said, it will be interesting to follow the developments in coming months, given the difficult transits. > > Best regards, > > C > > > > > Iran crisis 'could drive oil over $90' > > Prices climb ahead of critical week as nuclear row escalates. Opec says it won't increase quotas to cover for production shutdown > > Heather Stewart, economics correspondent > Sunday January 29, 2006 > The Observer > > > Oil markets are braced for a nail-biting week, as world leaders demand action against Iran over its nuclear ambitions, and analysts warn that crude prices could reach $90 a barrel if the oil-rich state retaliates by blocking supplies. The International Atomic Energy Agency meets on Thursday to decide whether to refer Iran to the United Nations Security Council. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran's president, has threatened to respond to any punitive action by cutting off the 2.6 million barrels of oil a day it pumps into the markets - 5 per cent of the world's supply. Article continues > > > > > > > Jittery investors sent the price of Brent crude to $67.76 a barrel in New York on Friday night, as fears about the Iranian crisis and rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria rocked confidence in an already tight market. Kona Haque, commodities editor at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said the worst case scenario of a shutdown of supplies from Iran would be 'absolutely devastating ... I wouldn't be surprised to see the price go over $90 a barrel'. She said fears about Iran are already adding a $10 risk premium to oil prices, which could remain in place for months as the crisis escalates. Davoud Danesh-Jafari, Iran's oil minister, has warned that the result of punitive action against his country would be 'the unleashing of a crisis in the oil sector'. 'The resumption of nuclear research by Iran is currently the market's largest preoccupation,' said BNP Paribas oil analyst Eoin O'Callaghan. He has pushed up his forecast for average oil prices this year to $65 a barrel because > of geopolitical risk. He points out that the oil price rose more than 60 per cent in the run-up to the Iraq war; a similar increase now would take prices to $94. Haque said that with little spare capacity in the market, prices are much more vulnerable to political shocks: 'We need a lot more supply capacity to have a cushion; it's going to take another couple of years until that happens.' The oil producers' organisation Opec meets in Vienna on Tuesday amid calls from some members, including Iran, to cut back production and push up prices further. But most analysts believe production quotas will be left unchanged. 'There's no pressure on Opec to do anything,' said Rob Laughlin, oil analyst at Man Financial. He said the Nigerian situation could potentially be worse for oil prices than fears about a supply squeeze from Iran. Production levels in Nigeria have already been lowered by 200,000 barrels a day in an effort to protect facilities from the rebels, who have deliberately > targeted foreign oil companies. 'Nigeria is probably as big a problem as Iran for us. We're pretty politically squeezed, between the Nigerian rebels and the Iranian president,' said Laughlin. The president of Opec, Nigeria's Edmund Daukoru, fuelled market fears on Friday when he told Reuters that his organisation was unlikely to step in with extra supplies if the Iranian crisis worsened. 'If Iran decides to stop production, or is forced to stop production because of a sanction, I don't think Opec necessarily has a role to play there,' he said. Crude peaked at just over $70 a barrel last autumn after hurricane Katrina, but demand from fast-growing economies such as China and India, together with supply shortages in a number of producing countries, has prevented prices from dropping much below $60. Investment in Russian oil production has been weak since President Putin's tax raid on the oil giant Yukos, and Iraqi output is well below the levels Washington hoped for before > coalition tanks rolled into Baghdad. A cold snap in the US, which has so far had an unusually warm winter, could push prices up further in the weeks ahead. 'Should cold weather return to the US, then we'll really be in trouble,' said Laughlin. > > > > > > With a free 1 GB, there's more in store with Mail. > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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