Guest guest Posted February 23, 2007 Report Share Posted February 23, 2007 Dear list members, The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be down in coming weeks and months. Best wishes, Thor U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat By Nick Baker Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may spread. Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR FADES. ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago. Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer resigned. The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent, to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95. Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc. lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and homebuilders. Weekly Scorecard This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89 percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent. A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year. About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1 percent less than the same period a week ago. Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since Jan. 25. Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month said profits may suffer as more loans go sour. `Obvious Problems' ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York. Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today, sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February. Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week. Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent, falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 23, 2007 Report Share Posted February 23, 2007 Dear Thor, Thanks. On Me... The weakness of Mercury, general significator for markets, staying longer in afflicted H8 until April 6 with it's lord afflicted, afflicting, and frequently weak, gives even greater concern. Best regards, Vyas Munidas - " cosmologer " <cosmologer <SAMVA > Friday, February 23, 2007 12:37 PM Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear list members, The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be down in coming weeks and months. Best wishes, Thor U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat By Nick Baker Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may spread. Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR FADES. ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago. Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer resigned. The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent, to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95. Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc. lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and homebuilders. Weekly Scorecard This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89 percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent. A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year. About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1 percent less than the same period a week ago. Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since Jan. 25. Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month said profits may suffer as more loans go sour. `Obvious Problems' ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York. Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today, sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February. Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week. Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent, falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 24, 2007 Report Share Posted February 24, 2007 Dear Vyas,Thanks for drawing out the special role of Mercury as karaka or general significator for commerce, including the stock market. With regard to that, let me quote from page 101 in the 3rd ed. of the Systems' Approach for Interpreting Horoscopes:"The strength of karakas is of secondary importance to the lord of the house or lord of the ascendant of the concerned divisional chart if a moolatrikona sign exists in a particular house in the rasi chart."In the SAMVA USA chart it is the lord of the second house of wealth, the Sun, that is ofspecial importance with regard to the value of wealth. The Sun is placed in the seventh house suggesting that the US develops assets in the following fields. On page 207 of the same book it says "The seventh house rules with cabinet and internal affairs, pleasure and amusement resorts, tourism, bond of relationships amongst masses and business establishments, foreign affairs and agreements." One indication of this is the spread of multinational companies to the far corners of the globe. However, as Saturn as eighth lord natally afflicts the Sun, there are obstacles and endings involved. There may also be some easy gains for the wealth, also as Saturn is natally placed in the fifth house of speculation.In the Hora chart, the sign Leo rises with Sun and Saturn placed in this sign. This means that during periods of Sun and Saturn, the conditions are more favoured for the wealth.Of secondary importance are the rulers of the moolatrikona signs of Virgo in the third house and Libra in the fourth house for the development of the wealth, and thus the stock market. Mercury as third lord is placed in the seventh house, slightly combust the Sun. Mercury rules "strategists, advisors to head of state and intellectuals," while the third house "rules with the communication of the Government with the public, means of communications in the country including transport, media, telecommunications and information technology. It governs the authors, philosophers, philosophical thought, literature and literary persons, education and infrastructural facilities in the country besides governing democracy and peace talks." We also know the third house rules initiative and courage, both important for the new business development. Mercury thus plays a special role with regard to the stock market in theSAMVA USA chart. As third lord of enterprise and new businessinitiative, transportation and communication, as well as analysis andhigh technology areas, it is more strongly linked to share prices ofcompanies characterized by that, such as the Nasdaq market or the DowJone Transportation Average.Venus is placed in the sixth house, giving problems with regard to fixed assets and communal harmony. In Mundane SA Venus rules "Resources, hotels, women folk, cinema industry, arts and leisure industry," while the fourth house has to do with "the nation's natural resources, agriculture, mines, minerals, landed properties, peace, general and political stability, natural calamities, educational institutions, law and order, housing and communal harmony." Venus is placed in the sixth house of "public amity, relations with neighbors, general health of the public, political stability, financial solvency of the nation, litigations, judicial functioning, communal harmony in the country and labour relations." This suggests problems of the nature of the sixth house with regard to the general and functional significations carried by Venus. Moreover, as Ketu afflicts the fourth house and it rules "Natural calamities, violent actions or events" this can be further making the life difficult with regard to the functional indications of the fourth house.There are two other houses of importance, the eleventh house and fifth house. With the chart lord, Moon, strongly placed in the eleventh house, the nation places an importance on "Income, gains and future plans". This placement is also important for "the reputation, valor and [the countries] position in the world." The fifth house rules "intellectuals, emotional stability, communal harmony, speculative nature of the people, investments, stock exchange, children, population, universities, morals and values of the people." This house contains Jupiter as sixth lord of conflict, Mars lord of the tenth house of foreign trade and executive power and Saturn as lord of eighth house of obstacles, endings and easy gains. There is therefore also considerable importance placed on speculative and creative activity. Even more so, as Jupiter and Mars are in mutual opposition aspect to the Moon, increasing the connection between these two fields of activity.So, Americans would have a vibrant business culture involving the placements of the Sun and Mercury, both establishing themselves abroad and attracting business to their shores. The stock market would be the beneficiary and it would be expected to rise over time. The people would place an importance on income and speculation, but would be likely to have periodic problems related to these activities, both through being combative, having temporary setbacks to the value of the wealth and then experiencing conflict over the net assets, including housing.In the SAMVA USA Chart.the transit affliction of the Sun by stationary Saturn, as ruler of the eighth house of obstacles and endings, that is expected to result in a significant influence on share prices at this time. This is especially so as Saturn natally afflicts the Sun from the fifth house. Moreover, the Saturn is afflicted in transit by Jupiter as lord of the sixth house of opposition. In conclusion the second house is of primary importance for the wealth and its progress in the stock market, but also third house and fourth house of fixed assets.As you point out, dear Vyas, the fact that Sun and Mercury are transiting the eighth house at this time is not helpful at all. That said, we should keep in mind that Sun and Mercury pass through this house every year without necessarily pulling down share prices too strongly. However, this time around there is a special factor to consider. With Rahu stationary at 22° Aquarius and the eighth house, when the Sun and Mercury pass over this point, it could lead to news that result in a setback for the stock market. The Sun passes over this point on 6-7 March and Mercury passes over it on 1-2 April.All things considered, the coming weeks and months should offer a decisive test of the SAMVA USA chart with respect to the prediction that the US will have a temporary setback to the share price developments at that time.Best wishes,ThorSAMVA , "Vyas Munidas" <muni> wrote:>> Dear Thor,> > Thanks.> > On Me...> The weakness of Mercury, general significator for markets, staying longer in > afflicted H8 until April 6 with it's lord afflicted, afflicting, and > frequently weak, gives even greater concern.> > > Best regards,> > Vyas Munidas> > > - > "cosmologer" cosmologer SAMVA > Friday, February 23, 2007 12:37 PM> Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions> > > Dear list members,> > The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a> whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with> the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2> Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is> hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be> down in coming weeks and months.> > Best wishes,> > Thor> > U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat> By Nick Baker> > Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted> by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the> fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may spread.> > Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the> retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most> in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM> THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF> OF THE YEAR FADES.> > ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every> financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said> David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at> Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago.> > Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit> City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's> second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer> resigned.> > The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New> York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent,> to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its> value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95.> > Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest> retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc.> lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and homebuilders.> > Weekly Scorecard> > This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89> percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent.> > A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest> home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling> further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and> Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year.> > About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock> Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1> percent less than the same period a week ago.> > Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since> Jan. 25.> > Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker> home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to> repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century> Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month> said profits may suffer as more loans go sour.> > `Obvious Problems'> ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening> expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower,> said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at> Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York.> > Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today,> sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's> biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February.> > Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the> subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae> Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went> bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week.> > Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent,> falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder> by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27.> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 24, 2007 Report Share Posted February 24, 2007 Dear Thor, Thanks for your valuable analysis. Regarding your second paragraph, no MTH in H5 brings a check of D5 for an MTH ASC. In D5, we can note the strong position of Venus, LO1, placed in H2. Going back to the rashi chart, the natal promise of Ve isn't so good and this takes precedence. As discussed, the strength and placements of planets in 5/11Hs gives huge interest in speculative investments and gains, driven further by the Sun in H7. It's close to the MEP with the general significator for markets, Me, placed there. Considering the transits, there is some shor lived relief in the next few months. Helpful is the transit of the Sun and Me (though deb) through H9, but the transit through H10 can be troublesome as the ruler Mars will be in afflicted H8 and both Sa and Ke closely aspect H10. Best regards, Vyas Munidas - " cosmologer " <cosmologer <SAMVA > Saturday, February 24, 2007 4:22 AM Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear Vyas, Thanks for drawing out the special role of Mercury as karaka or general significator for commerce, including the stock market. With regard to that, let me quote from page 101 in the 3rd ed. of the Systems' Approach for Interpreting Horoscopes: " The strength of karakas is of secondary importance to the lord of the house or lord of the ascendant of the concerned divisional chart if a moolatrikona sign exists in a particular house in the rasi chart. " In the SAMVA USA chart it is the lord of the second house of wealth, the Sun, that is ofspecial importance with regard to the value of wealth. The Sun is placed in the seventh house suggesting that the US develops assets in the following fields. On page 207 of the same book it says " The seventh house rules with cabinet and internal affairs, pleasure and amusement resorts, tourism, bond of relationships amongst masses and business establishments, foreign affairs and agreements. " One indication of this is the spread of multinational companies to the far corners of the globe. However, as Saturn as eighth lord natally afflicts the Sun, there are obstacles and endings involved. There may also be some easy gains for the wealth, also as Saturn is natally placed in the fifth house of speculation. In the Hora chart, the sign Leo rises with Sun and Saturn placed in this sign. This means that during periods of Sun and Saturn, the conditions are more favoured for the wealth. Of secondary importance are the rulers of the moolatrikona signs of Virgo in the third house and Libra in the fourth house for the development of the wealth, and thus the stock market. Mercury as third lord is placed in the seventh house, slightly combust the Sun. Mercury rules " strategists, advisors to head of state and intellectuals, " while the third house " rules with the communication of the Government with the public, means of communications in the country including transport, media, telecommunications and information technology. It governs the authors, philosophers, philosophical thought, literature and literary persons, education and infrastructural facilities in the country besides governing democracy and peace talks. " We also know the third house rules initiative and courage, both important for the new business development. Mercury thus plays a special role with regard to the stock market in theSAMVA USA chart. As third lord of enterprise and new businessinitiative, transportation and communication, as well as analysis andhigh technology areas, it is more strongly linked to share prices ofcompanies characterized by that, such as the Nasdaq market or the DowJone Transportation Average. Venus is placed in the sixth house, giving problems with regard to fixed assets and communal harmony. In Mundane SA Venus rules " Resources, hotels, women folk, cinema industry, arts and leisure industry, " while the fourth house has to do with " the nation's natural resources, agriculture, mines, minerals, landed properties, peace, general and political stability, natural calamities, educational institutions, law and order, housing and communal harmony. " Venus is placed in the sixth house of " public amity, relations with neighbors, general health of the public, political stability, financial solvency of the nation, litigations, judicial functioning, communal harmony in the country and labour relations. " This suggests problems of the nature of the sixth house with regard to the general and functional significations carried by Venus. Moreover, as Ketu afflicts the fourth house and it rules " Natural calamities, violent actions or events " this can be further making the life difficult with regard to the functional indications of the fourth house. There are two other houses of importance, the eleventh house and fifth house. With the chart lord, Moon, strongly placed in the eleventh house, the nation places an importance on " Income, gains and future plans " . This placement is also important for " the reputation, valor and [the countries] position in the world. " The fifth house rules " intellectuals, emotional stability, communal harmony, speculative nature of the people, investments, stock exchange, children, population, universities, morals and values of the people. " This house contains Jupiter as sixth lord of conflict, Mars lord of the tenth house of foreign trade and executive power and Saturn as lord of eighth house of obstacles, endings and easy gains. There is therefore also considerable importance placed on speculative and creative activity. Even more so, as Jupiter and Mars are in mutual opposition aspect to the Moon, increasing the connection between these two fields of activity. So, Americans would have a vibrant business culture involving the placements of the Sun and Mercury, both establishing themselves abroad and attracting business to their shores. The stock market would be the beneficiary and it would be expected to rise over time. The people would place an importance on income and speculation, but would be likely to have periodic problems related to these activities, both through being combative, having temporary setbacks to the value of the wealth and then experiencing conflict over the net assets, including housing. In the SAMVA USA Chart.the transit affliction of the Sun by stationary Saturn, as ruler of the eighth house of obstacles and endings, that is expected to result in a significant influence on share prices at this time. This is especially so as Saturn natally afflicts the Sun from the fifth house. Moreover, the Saturn is afflicted in transit by Jupiter as lord of the sixth house of opposition. In conclusion the second house is of primary importance for the wealth and its progress in the stock market, but also third house and fourth house of fixed assets. As you point out, dear Vyas, the fact that Sun and Mercury are transiting the eighth house at this time is not helpful at all. That said, we should keep in mind that Sun and Mercury pass through this house every year without necessarily pulling down share prices too strongly. However, this time around there is a special factor to consider. With Rahu stationary at 22° Aquarius and the eighth house, when the Sun and Mercury pass over this point, it could lead to news that result in a setback for the stock market. The Sun passes over this point on 6-7 March and Mercury passes over it on 1-2 April. All things considered, the coming weeks and months should offer a decisive test of the SAMVA USA chart with respect to the prediction that the US will have a temporary setback to the share price developments at that time. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor, > > Thanks. > > On Me... > The weakness of Mercury, general significator for markets, staying longer in > afflicted H8 until April 6 with it's lord afflicted, afflicting, and > frequently weak, gives even greater concern. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " cosmologer > SAMVA > Friday, February 23, 2007 12:37 PM > Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear list members, > > The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a > whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with > the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 > Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is > hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be > down in coming weeks and months. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat > By Nick Baker > > Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted > by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the > fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may spread. > > Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the > retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most > in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM > THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF > OF THE YEAR FADES. > > ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every > financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said > David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at > Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago. > > Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit > City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's > second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer > resigned. > > The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New > York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent, > to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its > value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95. > > Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest > retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc. > lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and homebuilders. > > Weekly Scorecard > > This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89 > percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent. > > A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest > home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling > further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and > Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year. > > About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock > Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1 > percent less than the same period a week ago. > > Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since > Jan. 25. > > Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker > home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century > Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month > said profits may suffer as more loans go sour. > > `Obvious Problems' > ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening > expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, > said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at > Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York. > > Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today, > sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's > biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February. > > Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the > subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae > Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went > bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week. > > Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent, > falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder > by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 24, 2007 Report Share Posted February 24, 2007 Dear Vyas, The analytical points raised by you are correct. For the purposes of establishing an authentic chart it is sufficient to understand the major afflicting aspects and what type of events they are likely to bring. I am not sure the extent to which the transit of the Sun will contribute or moderate the impact of the major affliction to its natal placement by transit Saturn. It seems to be that it is likely to give some additional influence, but not shape the events produced by the more slow moving aspects. It will be interesting to see how the events in coming weeks unfold with a view to all this analysis. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor, > > Thanks for your valuable analysis. > > Regarding your second paragraph, no MTH in H5 brings a check of D5 for an > MTH ASC. In D5, we can note the strong position of Venus, LO1, placed in H2. > Going back to the rashi chart, the natal promise of Ve isn't so good and > this takes precedence. As discussed, the strength and placements of planets > in 5/11Hs gives huge interest in speculative investments and gains, driven > further by the Sun in H7. It's close to the MEP with the general > significator for markets, Me, placed there. > > Considering the transits, there is some shor lived relief in the next few > months. Helpful is the transit of the Sun and Me (though deb) through H9, > but the transit through H10 can be troublesome as the ruler Mars will be in > afflicted H8 and both Sa and Ke closely aspect H10. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " <cosmologer > <SAMVA > > Saturday, February 24, 2007 4:22 AM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear Vyas, > > Thanks for drawing out the special role of Mercury as karaka or general > significator for commerce, including the stock market. With regard to > that, let me quote from page 101 in the 3rd ed. of the Systems' Approach > for Interpreting Horoscopes: > > " The strength of karakas is of secondary importance to the lord of the > house or lord of the ascendant of the concerned divisional chart if a > moolatrikona sign exists in a particular house in the rasi chart. " > > In the SAMVA USA chart it is the lord of the second house of wealth, > the Sun, that is ofspecial importance with regard to the value of > wealth. The Sun is placed in the seventh house suggesting that the US > develops assets in the following fields. On page 207 of the same book it > says " The seventh house rules with cabinet and internal affairs, > pleasure and amusement resorts, tourism, bond of relationships amongst > masses and business establishments, foreign affairs and agreements. " > One indication of this is the spread of multinational companies to the > far corners of the globe. However, as Saturn as eighth lord natally > afflicts the Sun, there are obstacles and endings involved. There may > also be some easy gains for the wealth, also as Saturn is natally placed > in the fifth house of speculation. > > In the Hora chart, the sign Leo rises with Sun and Saturn placed in this > sign. This means that during periods of Sun and Saturn, the conditions > are more favoured for the wealth. > > Of secondary importance are the rulers of the moolatrikona signs of > Virgo in the third house and Libra in the fourth house for the > development of the wealth, and thus the stock market. > > Mercury as third lord is placed in the seventh house, slightly combust > the Sun. Mercury rules " strategists, advisors to head of state and > intellectuals, " while the third house " rules with the communication of > the Government with the public, means of communications in the country > including transport, media, telecommunications and information > technology. It governs the authors, philosophers, philosophical thought, > literature and literary persons, education and infrastructural > facilities in the country besides governing democracy and peace talks. " > We also know the third house rules initiative and courage, both > important for the new business development. Mercury thus plays a special > role with regard to the stock market in theSAMVA USA chart. As third > lord of enterprise and new businessinitiative, transportation and > communication, as well as analysis andhigh technology areas, it is more > strongly linked to share prices ofcompanies characterized by that, such > as the Nasdaq market or the DowJone Transportation Average. > > Venus is placed in the sixth house, giving problems with regard to fixed > assets and communal harmony. In Mundane SA Venus rules " Resources, > hotels, women folk, cinema industry, arts and leisure industry, " while > the fourth house has to do with " the nation's natural resources, > agriculture, mines, minerals, landed properties, peace, general and > political stability, natural calamities, educational institutions, law > and order, housing and communal harmony. " Venus is placed in the sixth > house of " public amity, relations with neighbors, general health of the > public, political stability, financial solvency of the nation, > litigations, judicial functioning, communal harmony in the country and > labour relations. " This suggests problems of the nature of the sixth > house with regard to the general and functional significations carried > by Venus. Moreover, as Ketu afflicts the fourth house and it rules > " Natural calamities, violent actions or events " this can be further > making the life difficult with regard to the functional indications of > the fourth house. > > There are two other houses of importance, the eleventh house and fifth > house. With the chart lord, Moon, strongly placed in the eleventh house, > the nation places an importance on " Income, gains and future plans " . > This placement is also important for " the reputation, valor and [the > countries] position in the world. " The fifth house rules " intellectuals, > emotional stability, communal harmony, speculative nature of the people, > investments, stock exchange, children, population, universities, morals > and values of the people. " This house contains Jupiter as sixth lord of > conflict, Mars lord of the tenth house of foreign trade and executive > power and Saturn as lord of eighth house of obstacles, endings and easy > gains. There is therefore also considerable importance placed on > speculative and creative activity. Even more so, as Jupiter and Mars are > in mutual opposition aspect to the Moon, increasing the connection > between these two fields of activity. > > So, Americans would have a vibrant business culture involving the > placements of the Sun and Mercury, both establishing themselves abroad > and attracting business to their shores. The stock market would be the > beneficiary and it would be expected to rise over time. The people would > place an importance on income and speculation, but would be likely to > have periodic problems related to these activities, both through being > combative, having temporary setbacks to the value of the wealth and > then experiencing conflict over the net assets, including housing. > > In the SAMVA USA Chart.the transit affliction of the Sun by stationary > Saturn, as ruler of the eighth house of obstacles and endings, that is > expected to result in a significant influence on share prices at this > time. This is especially so as Saturn natally afflicts the Sun from the > fifth house. Moreover, the Saturn is afflicted in transit by Jupiter as > lord of the sixth house of opposition. In conclusion the second house is > of primary importance for the wealth and its progress in the stock > market, but also third house and fourth house of fixed assets. > > As you point out, dear Vyas, the fact that Sun and Mercury are > transiting the eighth house at this time is not helpful at all. That > said, we should keep in mind that Sun and Mercury pass through this > house every year without necessarily pulling down share prices too > strongly. However, this time around there is a special factor to > consider. With Rahu stationary at 22° Aquarius and the eighth house, > when the Sun and Mercury pass over this point, it could lead to news > that result in a setback for the stock market. The Sun passes over this > point on 6-7 March and Mercury passes over it on 1-2 April. > > All things considered, the coming weeks and months should offer a > decisive test of the SAMVA USA chart with respect to the prediction that > the US will have a temporary setback to the share price developments at > that time. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > > > SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <munidas@> wrote: > > > > Dear Thor, > > > > Thanks. > > > > On Me... > > The weakness of Mercury, general significator for markets, staying > longer in > > afflicted H8 until April 6 with it's lord afflicted, afflicting, and > > frequently weak, gives even greater concern. > > > > > > Best regards, > > > > Vyas Munidas > > > > > > - > > " cosmologer " cosmologer@ > > SAMVA > > Friday, February 23, 2007 12:37 PM > > Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > > sessions > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a > > whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with > > the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 > > Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is > > hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be > > down in coming weeks and months. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat > > By Nick Baker > > > > Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted > > by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the > > fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may > spread. > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the > > retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most > > in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM > > THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF > > OF THE YEAR FADES. > > > > ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every > > financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said > > David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at > > Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago. > > > > Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit > > City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's > > second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer > > resigned. > > > > The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New > > York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent, > > to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its > > value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95. > > > > Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest > > retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc. > > lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and > homebuilders. > > > > Weekly Scorecard > > > > This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89 > > percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent. > > > > A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest > > home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling > > further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and > > Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year. > > > > About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock > > Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1 > > percent less than the same period a week ago. > > > > Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since > > Jan. 25. > > > > Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker > > home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century > > Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month > > said profits may suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > `Obvious Problems' > > ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening > > expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, > > said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at > > Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York. > > > > Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today, > > sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's > > biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February. > > > > Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the > > subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae > > Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went > > bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week. > > > > Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent, > > falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder > > by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 24, 2007 Report Share Posted February 24, 2007 Dear Thor, I fully agree. The afflictions would take precedence. Better placement can always help the situation, somewhat. Best regards, Vyas Munidas - " cosmologer " <cosmologer <SAMVA > Saturday, February 24, 2007 1:05 PM Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear Vyas, The analytical points raised by you are correct. For the purposes of establishing an authentic chart it is sufficient to understand the major afflicting aspects and what type of events they are likely to bring. I am not sure the extent to which the transit of the Sun will contribute or moderate the impact of the major affliction to its natal placement by transit Saturn. It seems to be that it is likely to give some additional influence, but not shape the events produced by the more slow moving aspects. It will be interesting to see how the events in coming weeks unfold with a view to all this analysis. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor, > > Thanks for your valuable analysis. > > Regarding your second paragraph, no MTH in H5 brings a check of D5 for an > MTH ASC. In D5, we can note the strong position of Venus, LO1, placed in H2. > Going back to the rashi chart, the natal promise of Ve isn't so good and > this takes precedence. As discussed, the strength and placements of planets > in 5/11Hs gives huge interest in speculative investments and gains, driven > further by the Sun in H7. It's close to the MEP with the general > significator for markets, Me, placed there. > > Considering the transits, there is some shor lived relief in the next few > months. Helpful is the transit of the Sun and Me (though deb) through H9, > but the transit through H10 can be troublesome as the ruler Mars will be in > afflicted H8 and both Sa and Ke closely aspect H10. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " <cosmologer > <SAMVA > > Saturday, February 24, 2007 4:22 AM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear Vyas, > > Thanks for drawing out the special role of Mercury as karaka or general > significator for commerce, including the stock market. With regard to > that, let me quote from page 101 in the 3rd ed. of the Systems' Approach > for Interpreting Horoscopes: > > " The strength of karakas is of secondary importance to the lord of the > house or lord of the ascendant of the concerned divisional chart if a > moolatrikona sign exists in a particular house in the rasi chart. " > > In the SAMVA USA chart it is the lord of the second house of wealth, > the Sun, that is ofspecial importance with regard to the value of > wealth. The Sun is placed in the seventh house suggesting that the US > develops assets in the following fields. On page 207 of the same book it > says " The seventh house rules with cabinet and internal affairs, > pleasure and amusement resorts, tourism, bond of relationships amongst > masses and business establishments, foreign affairs and agreements. " > One indication of this is the spread of multinational companies to the > far corners of the globe. However, as Saturn as eighth lord natally > afflicts the Sun, there are obstacles and endings involved. There may > also be some easy gains for the wealth, also as Saturn is natally placed > in the fifth house of speculation. > > In the Hora chart, the sign Leo rises with Sun and Saturn placed in this > sign. This means that during periods of Sun and Saturn, the conditions > are more favoured for the wealth. > > Of secondary importance are the rulers of the moolatrikona signs of > Virgo in the third house and Libra in the fourth house for the > development of the wealth, and thus the stock market. > > Mercury as third lord is placed in the seventh house, slightly combust > the Sun. Mercury rules " strategists, advisors to head of state and > intellectuals, " while the third house " rules with the communication of > the Government with the public, means of communications in the country > including transport, media, telecommunications and information > technology. It governs the authors, philosophers, philosophical thought, > literature and literary persons, education and infrastructural > facilities in the country besides governing democracy and peace talks. " > We also know the third house rules initiative and courage, both > important for the new business development. Mercury thus plays a special > role with regard to the stock market in theSAMVA USA chart. As third > lord of enterprise and new businessinitiative, transportation and > communication, as well as analysis andhigh technology areas, it is more > strongly linked to share prices ofcompanies characterized by that, such > as the Nasdaq market or the DowJone Transportation Average. > > Venus is placed in the sixth house, giving problems with regard to fixed > assets and communal harmony. In Mundane SA Venus rules " Resources, > hotels, women folk, cinema industry, arts and leisure industry, " while > the fourth house has to do with " the nation's natural resources, > agriculture, mines, minerals, landed properties, peace, general and > political stability, natural calamities, educational institutions, law > and order, housing and communal harmony. " Venus is placed in the sixth > house of " public amity, relations with neighbors, general health of the > public, political stability, financial solvency of the nation, > litigations, judicial functioning, communal harmony in the country and > labour relations. " This suggests problems of the nature of the sixth > house with regard to the general and functional significations carried > by Venus. Moreover, as Ketu afflicts the fourth house and it rules > " Natural calamities, violent actions or events " this can be further > making the life difficult with regard to the functional indications of > the fourth house. > > There are two other houses of importance, the eleventh house and fifth > house. With the chart lord, Moon, strongly placed in the eleventh house, > the nation places an importance on " Income, gains and future plans " . > This placement is also important for " the reputation, valor and [the > countries] position in the world. " The fifth house rules " intellectuals, > emotional stability, communal harmony, speculative nature of the people, > investments, stock exchange, children, population, universities, morals > and values of the people. " This house contains Jupiter as sixth lord of > conflict, Mars lord of the tenth house of foreign trade and executive > power and Saturn as lord of eighth house of obstacles, endings and easy > gains. There is therefore also considerable importance placed on > speculative and creative activity. Even more so, as Jupiter and Mars are > in mutual opposition aspect to the Moon, increasing the connection > between these two fields of activity. > > So, Americans would have a vibrant business culture involving the > placements of the Sun and Mercury, both establishing themselves abroad > and attracting business to their shores. The stock market would be the > beneficiary and it would be expected to rise over time. The people would > place an importance on income and speculation, but would be likely to > have periodic problems related to these activities, both through being > combative, having temporary setbacks to the value of the wealth and > then experiencing conflict over the net assets, including housing. > > In the SAMVA USA Chart.the transit affliction of the Sun by stationary > Saturn, as ruler of the eighth house of obstacles and endings, that is > expected to result in a significant influence on share prices at this > time. This is especially so as Saturn natally afflicts the Sun from the > fifth house. Moreover, the Saturn is afflicted in transit by Jupiter as > lord of the sixth house of opposition. In conclusion the second house is > of primary importance for the wealth and its progress in the stock > market, but also third house and fourth house of fixed assets. > > As you point out, dear Vyas, the fact that Sun and Mercury are > transiting the eighth house at this time is not helpful at all. That > said, we should keep in mind that Sun and Mercury pass through this > house every year without necessarily pulling down share prices too > strongly. However, this time around there is a special factor to > consider. With Rahu stationary at 22° Aquarius and the eighth house, > when the Sun and Mercury pass over this point, it could lead to news > that result in a setback for the stock market. The Sun passes over this > point on 6-7 March and Mercury passes over it on 1-2 April. > > All things considered, the coming weeks and months should offer a > decisive test of the SAMVA USA chart with respect to the prediction that > the US will have a temporary setback to the share price developments at > that time. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > > > SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <munidas@> wrote: > > > > Dear Thor, > > > > Thanks. > > > > On Me... > > The weakness of Mercury, general significator for markets, staying > longer in > > afflicted H8 until April 6 with it's lord afflicted, afflicting, and > > frequently weak, gives even greater concern. > > > > > > Best regards, > > > > Vyas Munidas > > > > > > - > > " cosmologer " cosmologer@ > > SAMVA > > Friday, February 23, 2007 12:37 PM > > Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > > sessions > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with a > > whiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent with > > the major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 > > Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it is > > hard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should be > > down in coming weeks and months. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the Retreat > > By Nick Baker > > > > Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffeted > > by the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the > > fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may > spread. > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led the > > retreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most > > in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISM > > THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALF > > OF THE YEAR FADES. > > > > ``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every > > financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' said > > David Herro, chief investment officer of international equities at > > Harris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago. > > > > Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit > > City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation's > > second-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officer > > resigned. > > > > The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in New > > York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent, > > to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of its > > value from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95. > > > > Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepest > > retreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc. > > lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and > homebuilders. > > > > Weekly Scorecard > > > > This week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89 > > percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent. > > > > A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest > > home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from falling > > further. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated and > > Lowe's said the housing market may pick up this year. > > > > About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock > > Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1 > > percent less than the same period a week ago. > > > > Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss since > > Jan. 25. > > > > Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker > > home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers to > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New Century > > Financial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month > > said profits may suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > `Obvious Problems' > > ``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lessening > > expectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, > > said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director at > > Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York. > > > > Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today, > > sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation's > > biggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February. > > > > Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in the > > subprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae > > Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, went > > bankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week. > > > > Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent, > > falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builder > > by market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 25, 2007 Report Share Posted February 25, 2007 Dear list members, Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since last August. Best wishes, Thor Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments last week by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more investors become risk-averse.'' In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after mergers lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods Market Inc. Iran Concerns Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security said there has been no change in the threat level. Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor Department said on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 percent, the most since June. Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price index and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing costs. The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be jumping too much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said Hemmelgarn. Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' Financial Shares Drop An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped for a third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker home prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the largest U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may suffer as more loans go sour. Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, fell 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. GM Falls General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus Capital Management LP. NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 posted a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage fallout, and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca Raton, Florida. Homebuilders Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the companies down 4.5 percent. Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast and said it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 percent to $27.02. KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. homebuilder by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined to comment. M & A XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal Communications Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on its plan to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying Wild Oats will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 percent to $18.43. Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The maker of chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain since August 2003. Chipmakers Climb Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, climbing 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of improvement.'' A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 percent for the best gain among 24 industry groups. Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the company's growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 percent to $40.82. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 25, 2007 Report Share Posted February 25, 2007 dear thor... i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the stationary position of rahu and ketu. they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary duration through march. best wishes, david hawthorne - cosmologer SAMVA Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear list members,Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market sincelast August.Best wishes,ThorDow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials FallBy Michael Patterson and Eric MartinFeb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had itsbiggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reducedthe odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgagedefaults may reduce profit growth at banks.Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and BearStearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-PackardCo. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world'slargest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins.The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments last weekby Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concernis fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies,which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value.``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have beenconcerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,''said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as presidentof Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create acascading effect. The more people start to default, the more investorsbecome risk-averse.''In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percentto 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug.11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20.The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19.The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after mergerslifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods Market Inc.Iran ConcernsInvestors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a UnitedNations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocksextended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S.might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland Securitysaid there has been no change in the threat level.Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor Department saidon Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 percent, themost since June.Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price indexand a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey byBloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures forAugust showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing costs.The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be jumping toomuch to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' saidHemmelgarn.Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meetingreleased this week showed policy makers discussed dropping theirinclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the ideabecause inflation remained the ``predominant concern.''Financial Shares DropAn S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for itsbiggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1.Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped for athird straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, thefourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500.Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker homeprices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers torepay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the largestU.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit maysuffer as more loans go sour.Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, fell4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them intosecurities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52.GM FallsGeneral Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest dropin the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, hadratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst JamesLeda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of itsmortgages to higher-risk borrowers.GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake inGMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by CerberusCapital Management LP.NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 posteda surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money onits mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002.``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage fallout,and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said BillyGroeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca Raton,Florida.HomebuildersHomebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the companies down4.5 percent.Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S.luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast and saidit may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted.D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2percent to $27.02.KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. homebuilderby sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors overstock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chiefexecutive officer, people familiar with the matter said.KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment.Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declinedto comment.M & AXM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreedto buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions ofdollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius,will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrustscrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal CommunicationsCommission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74.Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on its planto buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying Wild Oatswill help counter slowing growth at the company, which facedcompetition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery storesselling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to$50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18percent to $18.43.Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The maker ofchips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup ofinventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by someanalysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales.The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain sinceAugust 2003.Chipmakers ClimbOther chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. LinearTechnology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, climbing10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggestmaker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21.National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life inmobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanleyupgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs ofimprovement.''A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 percent forthe best gain among 24 industry groups.Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July afterholiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the company'sgrowth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6percent to $40.82. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 25, 2007 Report Share Posted February 25, 2007 dear sir The predictions given by u r for us stock market.wat is ur opinion abt Indian Stock market in coming days. shall appreciate ur views.any specific industry to have a fall or rise. thanks n regards On 2/23/07, cosmologer <cosmologer wrote: Dear list members,The stock market has been having a tougher time these days with awhiff of more adverse developments in the air. This is consistent withthe major planets being in adverse combinations involving natal L2 Sun, but also with L3 Mercury and L2 Sun transiting H8. While it ishard to predict the stock market on a daily basis, the trend should bedown in coming weeks and months.Best wishes,Thor U.S. Stocks Decline for a 3rd Day; Financials Lead the RetreatBy Nick BakerFeb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined for a third day, buffetedby the biggest drop in financial companies in a month, on concern the fallout from mortgage defaults among the riskiest borrowers may spread.Countrywide Financial Corp. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led theretreat, which pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down by the most in two weeks. THE INDUSTRY HAS ALSO COME UNDER PRESSURE AS OPTIMISMTHAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL REDUCE INTEREST RATES IN THE FIRST HALFOF THE YEAR FADES.``There's going to be some splatter based on the fact that every financial company seems to have some exposure to this area,'' saidDavid Herro, chief investment officer of international equities atHarris Associates LP, which manages $70 billion in Chicago.Airlines retreated as crude oil reached a three-month high. Circuit City Stores Inc. tumbled the most in the S & P 500 as the nation'ssecond-largest electronics retailer said its chief financial officerresigned.The S & P 500 lost 4.18, or 0.3 percent, to 1452.20 at 11:57 a.m. in NewYork. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 29.64, or 0.2 percent,to 12,656.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index, which gets 41 percent of itsvalue from computer shares, declined 6.99, or 0.3 percent, to 2517.95.Stocks dropped yesterday, sending the Dow average to its steepestretreat in almost two weeks. J.C. Penney Co. and Toll Brothers Inc.lowered their earnings forecast, pushing down retailers and homebuilders. Weekly ScorecardThis week, the S & P 500 is down 0.2 percent, the Dow has slipped 0.89percent, while the Nasdaq has advanced 0.9 percent.A rally in shares of Lowe's Cos., the world's second-largest home-improvement retailer, helped keep the market from fallingfurther. The company's profit fell less than analysts anticipated andLowe's said the housing market may pick up this year.About 12 stocks dropped for every five that rose on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 557 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 1.1percent less than the same period a week ago.Financial shares slid 1.3 percent as a group, the steepest loss sinceJan. 25.Defaults on subprime mortgages have been rising nationwide as weaker home prices and higher interest rates made it harder for borrowers torepay. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, and New CenturyFinancial Corp., the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, this month said profits may suffer as more loans go sour.`Obvious Problems'``The obvious problems with subprime mortgages and the lesseningexpectations of a Fed rate cut'' are pushing financial shares lower, said Alan Kral, who oversees $750 million as managing director atTrevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen in New York.Countrywide was the S & P 500 financial gauge's worst performer today,sinking $1.52, or 3.8 percent, to $38.62. Shares of the nation'sbiggest mortgage lender are down 11 percent in February.Lehman Brothers slumped $2.02 to $80.01. Signs that companies in thesubprime-loan industry may go under added to the concern. ResMae Mortgage Corp., which made home loans to people with bad credit, wentbankrupt on Feb. 13 and will be auctioned off next week.Homebuilders also dropped. Those in S & P indexes lost 1.7 percent,falling for the third day. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. builderby market value, decreased 32 cents to $27. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 25, 2007 Report Share Posted February 25, 2007 Dear David, You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if at all. That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also been important for a number of such corrections. For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in the US stock market please go to: SAMVA then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart There you will find the pdf file: " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological analysis " At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier thought. In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the SAMVA USA chart. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david wrote: > > dear thor... > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary duration through march. > > best wishes, > > david hawthorne > - > cosmologer > SAMVA > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions > > > Dear list members, > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since > last August. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments last week > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more investors > become risk-averse.'' > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after mergers > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods Market Inc. > > Iran Concerns > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor Department said > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 percent, the > most since June. > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price index > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing costs. > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be jumping too > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > Hemmelgarn. > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > Financial Shares Drop > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped for a > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker home > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the largest > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > suffer as more loans go sour. > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, fell > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > GM Falls > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > Capital Management LP. > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 posted > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage fallout, > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca Raton, > Florida. > > Homebuilders > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the companies down > 4.5 percent. > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast and said > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > percent to $27.02. > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. homebuilder > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined > to comment. > > M & A > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal Communications > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on its plan > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying Wild Oats > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > percent to $18.43. > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The maker of > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain since > August 2003. > > Chipmakers Climb > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, climbing > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > improvement.'' > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 percent for > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the company's > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 26, 2007 Report Share Posted February 26, 2007 Dear list members, Attached are three news stories which reveal increased concerns about the outlook for the US economy. Story 1: Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession Story 2: US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown Story 3: U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials That said, even if the share prices have declined a bit they are still very high by historical standards. If the SAMVA USA chart is authentic, as I believe it is, this is just the beginning of a much bigger correction... Best wishes, Thor 1. Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession Monday February 26, 8:34 am ET Alan Greenspan Warns That U.S. Economy May Slip Into Recession by End of Year HONG KONG (AP) -- Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned Monday that the American economy might slip into recession by year's end. He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end. " When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that sign, " Greenspan said via satellite link to a business conference in Hong Kong. " For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle. " " While, yes, it is possible we can get a recession in the latter months of 2007, most forecasters are not making that judgment and indeed are projecting forward into 2008 ... with some slowdown, " he said. Greenspan said that while it would be " very precarious " to try to forecast that far into the future, he could not rule out the possibility of a recession late this year. The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.5 percent rate in the fourth quarter of 2006, up from a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. A survey released Monday by the National Association for Business Economics showed that experts predict economic growth of 2.7 percent this year, the slowest rate since a 1.6 percent rise in 2002. Greenspan also warned that the U.S. budget deficit, which for 2006 fell to $247.7 billion, the lowest in four years, remains a concern. " The American budget deficit is clearly a very significant concern for all of us that are trying to evaluate both the American economy's immediate future and that of the rest of the world, " he said via satellite at the VeryGC Global Business Insights 2007 Conference. Greenspan also said he has seen no economic spillover effects from the slowdown in the U.S. housing market. " We are now well into the contraction period and so far we have not had any major, significant spillover effects on the American economy from the contraction in housing, " he said. 2. US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Last Updated: 1:15am GMT 24/02/2007 Panic has begun to sweep the sub-prime mortgage sector in the United States after the bankruptcy of 22 lenders over the past two months, setting off mass liquidation of housing loans packaged as securities. Reduced sign outside house for sale Analysts say the housing bust is pulling America into recession, citing a 14.4pc drop in housing starts The rapid deterioration could not come at a worse time for British bank HSBC, which has set aside $10.5bn (£5.4bn) to cover bad loans in the US. The cost of insuring against default on these loans has rocketed in recent weeks, from 50 basis points over Libor to 1,200, raising fears that a credit crunch could spread to the rest of the property market. Low-grade BBB-rated securities - measured by the ABX index - have crashed from near par of 100 in early November to 72.5 this week. Peter Schiff, head of Euro Pacific Capital, said the sector was in an unstoppable meltdown. " It's a self-perpetuating spiral: as sub-prime companies tighten lending they create even more defaults, " he said. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/02/24/cnusecon24.xml 3. U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials By Eric Martin Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks extended their weeklong slump as persistent concern about mortgage defaults overshadowed the biggest leveraged buyout in history. Citigroup Inc. fell the most since July, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to its longest stretch of declines since August. Moody's Corp. and McGraw-Hill Cos. retreated on speculation their bond rating units will lose business as fewer home loans are turned into securities. Investors are growing increasingly skeptical banks that lend to the riskiest borrowers will achieve profit forecasts after more than a dozen closed or were sold in the past three months. Today, shares of 74 of 88 companies included in the S & P 500 financial index declined. ``Whenever you get any problems in the financial sector, it's a concern,'' said Joseph Williams, who helps manage $11 billion at Commerce Trust Co. in Kansas City, Missouri. ``Some of the brokers and banks possibly have more exposure than we perceive. It's something for the market to worry about.'' The S & P 500 slipped 1.82, or 0.1 percent, to 1449.37 for its fourth day of losses. The Dow average dropped 15.22, or 0.1 percent, to 12,632.26, the lowest since Feb. 12. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 10.58, or 0.4 percent, to 2504.52. Stocks retreated last week, pushing the Dow to its worst weekly decline since August, after a government report showed consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut. Concern that higher rates and weaker home prices will foster mortgage defaults also aided the selloff. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087 & sid=adwPNKQB5Lp0 & refer=home SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer wrote: > > Dear David, > > You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful > especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such > a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not > decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the > nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart > for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if at all. > > That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the > 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart > with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also > important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in > that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also > been important for a number of such corrections. > > For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in > the US stock market please go to: > > SAMVA > > then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart > > There you will find the pdf file: > > " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " > A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological > analysis " > > At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered > houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of > wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, > Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a > strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, > not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real > estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices > declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in > sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the > decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that > interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier > thought. > > In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is > explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, > transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the > natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more > difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in > transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its > conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect > liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been > predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite > adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming > months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the > SAMVA USA chart. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > > > SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david@> wrote: > > > > dear thor... > > > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the > stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some > strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary > duration through march. > > > > best wishes, > > > > david hawthorne > > - > > cosmologer > > SAMVA > > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > trading sessions > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since > > last August. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced > > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear > > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard > > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's > > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. > > > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments last week > > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern > > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' > > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president > > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more investors > > become risk-averse.'' > > > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent > > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. > > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after mergers > > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods > Market Inc. > > > > Iran Concerns > > > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security > > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor Department said > > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 percent, the > > most since June. > > > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price index > > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing > costs. > > > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be jumping too > > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > > Hemmelgarn. > > > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > > > Financial Shares Drop > > > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its > > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped for a > > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker home > > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the largest > > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > > suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, fell > > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 > > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > > > GM Falls > > > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop > > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had > > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James > > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in > > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > > Capital Management LP. > > > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 posted > > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on > > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged > > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage fallout, > > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca Raton, > > Florida. > > > > Homebuilders > > > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the companies down > > 4.5 percent. > > > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast and said > > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > > percent to $27.02. > > > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. homebuilder > > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over > > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. > > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined > > to comment. > > > > M & A > > > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed > > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, > > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal Communications > > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on its plan > > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying Wild Oats > > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores > > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to > > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > > percent to $18.43. > > > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The maker of > > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some > > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. > > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain since > > August 2003. > > > > Chipmakers Climb > > > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear > > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, climbing > > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. > > > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > > improvement.'' > > > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 percent for > > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the company's > > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 > > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 26, 2007 Report Share Posted February 26, 2007 Dear Thor and List, Technically, 12300 DJIA is first level support. Currently it is +600 points higher. Second level support is 11990. Let's see where the next few week finds it. Best regards, Vyas Munidas - " cosmologer " <cosmologer <SAMVA > Monday, February 26, 2007 5:14 PM Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear list members, Attached are three news stories which reveal increased concerns about the outlook for the US economy. Story 1: Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession Story 2: US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown Story 3: U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials That said, even if the share prices have declined a bit they are still very high by historical standards. If the SAMVA USA chart is authentic, as I believe it is, this is just the beginning of a much bigger correction... Best wishes, Thor 1. Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession Monday February 26, 8:34 am ET Alan Greenspan Warns That U.S. Economy May Slip Into Recession by End of Year HONG KONG (AP) -- Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned Monday that the American economy might slip into recession by year's end. He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end. " When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that sign, " Greenspan said via satellite link to a business conference in Hong Kong. " For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle. " " While, yes, it is possible we can get a recession in the latter months of 2007, most forecasters are not making that judgment and indeed are projecting forward into 2008 ... with some slowdown, " he said. Greenspan said that while it would be " very precarious " to try to forecast that far into the future, he could not rule out the possibility of a recession late this year. The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.5 percent rate in the fourth quarter of 2006, up from a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. A survey released Monday by the National Association for Business Economics showed that experts predict economic growth of 2.7 percent this year, the slowest rate since a 1.6 percent rise in 2002. Greenspan also warned that the U.S. budget deficit, which for 2006 fell to $247.7 billion, the lowest in four years, remains a concern. " The American budget deficit is clearly a very significant concern for all of us that are trying to evaluate both the American economy's immediate future and that of the rest of the world, " he said via satellite at the VeryGC Global Business Insights 2007 Conference. Greenspan also said he has seen no economic spillover effects from the slowdown in the U.S. housing market. " We are now well into the contraction period and so far we have not had any major, significant spillover effects on the American economy from the contraction in housing, " he said. 2. US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Last Updated: 1:15am GMT 24/02/2007 Panic has begun to sweep the sub-prime mortgage sector in the United States after the bankruptcy of 22 lenders over the past two months, setting off mass liquidation of housing loans packaged as securities. Reduced sign outside house for sale Analysts say the housing bust is pulling America into recession, citing a 14.4pc drop in housing starts The rapid deterioration could not come at a worse time for British bank HSBC, which has set aside $10.5bn (£5.4bn) to cover bad loans in the US. The cost of insuring against default on these loans has rocketed in recent weeks, from 50 basis points over Libor to 1,200, raising fears that a credit crunch could spread to the rest of the property market. Low-grade BBB-rated securities - measured by the ABX index - have crashed from near par of 100 in early November to 72.5 this week. Peter Schiff, head of Euro Pacific Capital, said the sector was in an unstoppable meltdown. " It's a self-perpetuating spiral: as sub-prime companies tighten lending they create even more defaults, " he said. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/02/24/cnusecon24.xml 3. U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials By Eric Martin Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks extended their weeklong slump as persistent concern about mortgage defaults overshadowed the biggest leveraged buyout in history. Citigroup Inc. fell the most since July, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to its longest stretch of declines since August. Moody's Corp. and McGraw-Hill Cos. retreated on speculation their bond rating units will lose business as fewer home loans are turned into securities. Investors are growing increasingly skeptical banks that lend to the riskiest borrowers will achieve profit forecasts after more than a dozen closed or were sold in the past three months. Today, shares of 74 of 88 companies included in the S & P 500 financial index declined. ``Whenever you get any problems in the financial sector, it's a concern,'' said Joseph Williams, who helps manage $11 billion at Commerce Trust Co. in Kansas City, Missouri. ``Some of the brokers and banks possibly have more exposure than we perceive. It's something for the market to worry about.'' The S & P 500 slipped 1.82, or 0.1 percent, to 1449.37 for its fourth day of losses. The Dow average dropped 15.22, or 0.1 percent, to 12,632.26, the lowest since Feb. 12. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 10.58, or 0.4 percent, to 2504.52. Stocks retreated last week, pushing the Dow to its worst weekly decline since August, after a government report showed consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut. Concern that higher rates and weaker home prices will foster mortgage defaults also aided the selloff. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087 & sid=adwPNKQB5Lp0 & refer=home SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer wrote: > > Dear David, > > You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful > especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such > a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not > decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the > nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart > for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if at all. > > That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the > 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart > with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also > important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in > that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also > been important for a number of such corrections. > > For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in > the US stock market please go to: > > SAMVA > > then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart > > There you will find the pdf file: > > " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " > A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological > analysis " > > At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered > houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of > wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, > Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a > strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, > not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real > estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices > declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in > sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the > decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that > interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier > thought. > > In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is > explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, > transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the > natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more > difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in > transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its > conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect > liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been > predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite > adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming > months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the > SAMVA USA chart. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > > > SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david@> wrote: > > > > dear thor... > > > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the > stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some > strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary > duration through march. > > > > best wishes, > > > > david hawthorne > > - > > cosmologer > > SAMVA > > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > trading sessions > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since > > last August. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced > > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear > > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard > > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's > > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. > > > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments last week > > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern > > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' > > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president > > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more investors > > become risk-averse.'' > > > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent > > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. > > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after mergers > > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods > Market Inc. > > > > Iran Concerns > > > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security > > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor Department said > > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 percent, the > > most since June. > > > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price index > > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing > costs. > > > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be jumping too > > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > > Hemmelgarn. > > > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > > > Financial Shares Drop > > > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its > > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped for a > > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker home > > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the largest > > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > > suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, fell > > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 > > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > > > GM Falls > > > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop > > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had > > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James > > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in > > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > > Capital Management LP. > > > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 posted > > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on > > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged > > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage fallout, > > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca Raton, > > Florida. > > > > Homebuilders > > > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the companies down > > 4.5 percent. > > > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast and said > > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > > percent to $27.02. > > > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. homebuilder > > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over > > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. > > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined > > to comment. > > > > M & A > > > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed > > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, > > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal Communications > > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on its plan > > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying Wild Oats > > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores > > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to > > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > > percent to $18.43. > > > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The maker of > > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some > > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. > > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain since > > August 2003. > > > > Chipmakers Climb > > > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear > > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, climbing > > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. > > > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > > improvement.'' > > > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 percent for > > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the company's > > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 > > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 27, 2007 Report Share Posted February 27, 2007 Dear Vyas, Thanks for the insight. The support levels are usually based on some moving averages, and something traders put up as sign posts to evaluate the strength of movement in financial asset prices. When the prices without a perceptible reason move through support levels it reduces the confidence in the asset and can encourage selling and further decline. The DJIA closed at 12632 yesterday, so it is roughly 300 points over the first support level. It is also possible that the transits in the SAMVA USA chart manifest as a dramatic turn of events that surprise the market and precipitate or accelerate a decline. We'll see. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor and List, > > Technically, 12300 DJIA is first level support. Currently it is +600 points > higher. Second level support is 11990. Let's see where the next few week > finds it. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " <cosmologer > <SAMVA > > Monday, February 26, 2007 5:14 PM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear list members, > > Attached are three news stories which reveal increased concerns about > the outlook for the US economy. > > Story 1: Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > Story 2: US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > Story 3: U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > > That said, even if the share prices have declined a bit they are still > very high by historical standards. If the SAMVA USA chart is > authentic, as I believe it is, this is just the beginning of a much > bigger correction... > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > 1. > Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > Monday February 26, 8:34 am ET > Alan Greenspan Warns That U.S. Economy May Slip Into Recession by End > of Year > > HONG KONG (AP) -- Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan > warned Monday that the American economy might slip into recession by > year's end. > > He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there > are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end. > > " When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build > up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that > sign, " Greenspan said via satellite link to a business conference in > Hong Kong. " For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to > stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle. " > > " While, yes, it is possible we can get a recession in the latter > months of 2007, most forecasters are not making that judgment and > indeed are projecting forward into 2008 ... with some slowdown, " he said. > > Greenspan said that while it would be " very precarious " to try to > forecast that far into the future, he could not rule out the > possibility of a recession late this year. > > The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.5 percent rate in the > fourth quarter of 2006, up from a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. > A survey released Monday by the National Association for Business > Economics showed that experts predict economic growth of 2.7 percent > this year, the slowest rate since a 1.6 percent rise in 2002. > > Greenspan also warned that the U.S. budget deficit, which for 2006 > fell to $247.7 billion, the lowest in four years, remains a concern. > > " The American budget deficit is clearly a very significant concern for > all of us that are trying to evaluate both the American economy's > immediate future and that of the rest of the world, " he said via > satellite at the VeryGC Global Business Insights 2007 Conference. > > Greenspan also said he has seen no economic spillover effects from the > slowdown in the U.S. housing market. > > " We are now well into the contraction period and so far we have not > had any major, significant spillover effects on the American economy > from the contraction in housing, " he said. > > > > 2. > US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard > Last Updated: 1:15am GMT 24/02/2007 > > Panic has begun to sweep the sub-prime mortgage sector in the United > States after the bankruptcy of 22 lenders over the past two months, > setting off mass liquidation of housing loans packaged as securities. > > Reduced sign outside house for sale > Analysts say the housing bust is pulling America into recession, > citing a 14.4pc drop in housing starts > > The rapid deterioration could not come at a worse time for British > bank HSBC, which has set aside $10.5bn (£5.4bn) to cover bad loans in > the US. > > The cost of insuring against default on these loans has rocketed in > recent weeks, from 50 basis points over Libor to 1,200, raising fears > that a credit crunch could spread to the rest of the property market. > > Low-grade BBB-rated securities - measured by the ABX index - have > crashed from near par of 100 in early November to 72.5 this week. > > Peter Schiff, head of Euro Pacific Capital, said the sector was in an > unstoppable meltdown. " It's a self-perpetuating spiral: as sub-prime > companies tighten lending they create even more defaults, " he said. > http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/02/24/cnusecon24.xml > > > 3. > U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > By Eric Martin > > Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks extended their weeklong slump as > persistent concern about mortgage defaults overshadowed the biggest > leveraged buyout in history. > > Citigroup Inc. fell the most since July, sending the Standard & Poor's > 500 Index to its longest stretch of declines since August. Moody's > Corp. and McGraw-Hill Cos. retreated on speculation their bond rating > units will lose business as fewer home loans are turned into securities. > > Investors are growing increasingly skeptical banks that lend to the > riskiest borrowers will achieve profit forecasts after more than a > dozen closed or were sold in the past three months. Today, shares of > 74 of 88 companies included in the S & P 500 financial index declined. > > ``Whenever you get any problems in the financial sector, it's a > concern,'' said Joseph Williams, who helps manage $11 billion at > Commerce Trust Co. in Kansas City, Missouri. ``Some of the brokers and > banks possibly have more exposure than we perceive. It's something for > the market to worry about.'' > > The S & P 500 slipped 1.82, or 0.1 percent, to 1449.37 for its fourth > day of losses. The Dow average dropped 15.22, or 0.1 percent, to > 12,632.26, the lowest since Feb. 12. The Nasdaq Composite Index > decreased 10.58, or 0.4 percent, to 2504.52. > > Stocks retreated last week, pushing the Dow to its worst weekly > decline since August, after a government report showed consumer prices > rose more than expected, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut. > Concern that higher rates and weaker home prices will foster mortgage > defaults also aided the selloff. > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087 & sid=adwPNKQB5Lp0 & refer=home > > > SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer@> wrote: > > > > Dear David, > > > > You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful > > especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such > > a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not > > decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the > > nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart > > for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if > at all. > > > > That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the > > 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart > > with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also > > important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in > > that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also > > been important for a number of such corrections. > > > > For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in > > the US stock market please go to: > > > > SAMVA > > > > then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart > > > > There you will find the pdf file: > > > > " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " > > A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological > > analysis " > > > > At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered > > houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of > > wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, > > Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a > > strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, > > not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real > > estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices > > declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in > > sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the > > decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that > > interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier > > thought. > > > > In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is > > explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, > > transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the > > natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more > > difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in > > transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its > > conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect > > liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been > > predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite > > adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming > > months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the > > SAMVA USA chart. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > > > > > SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david@> wrote: > > > > > > dear thor... > > > > > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the > > stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > > > > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some > > strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary > > duration through march. > > > > > > best wishes, > > > > > > david hawthorne > > > - > > > cosmologer > > > SAMVA > > > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > > trading sessions > > > > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since > > > last August. > > > > > > Best wishes, > > > > > > Thor > > > > > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > > > > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > > > > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > > > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced > > > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > > > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear > > > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > > > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard > > > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's > > > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. > > > > > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments > last week > > > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern > > > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > > > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > > > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > > > > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > > > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' > > > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president > > > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > > > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more > investors > > > become risk-averse.'' > > > > > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent > > > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. > > > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > > > > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > > > > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after > mergers > > > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods > > Market Inc. > > > > > > Iran Concerns > > > > > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > > > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > > > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > > > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland > Security > > > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > > > > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor > Department said > > > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 > percent, the > > > most since June. > > > > > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price > index > > > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > > > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > > > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing > > costs. > > > > > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be > jumping too > > > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > > > Hemmelgarn. > > > > > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > > > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > > > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > > > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > > > > > Financial Shares Drop > > > > > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its > > > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > > > > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped > for a > > > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > > > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > > > > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker > home > > > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the > largest > > > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > > > suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, > fell > > > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 > > > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > > > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > > > > > GM Falls > > > > > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop > > > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had > > > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James > > > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > > > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > > > > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in > > > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > > > Capital Management LP. > > > > > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 > posted > > > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on > > > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged > > > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > > > > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage > fallout, > > > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > > > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca > Raton, > > > Florida. > > > > > > Homebuilders > > > > > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the > companies down > > > 4.5 percent. > > > > > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > > > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast > and said > > > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > > > > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > > > percent to $27.02. > > > > > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. > homebuilder > > > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over > > > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > > > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > > > > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. > > > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined > > > to comment. > > > > > > M & A > > > > > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed > > > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > > > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, > > > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > > > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal > Communications > > > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > > > > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on > its plan > > > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying > Wild Oats > > > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > > > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores > > > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to > > > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > > > percent to $18.43. > > > > > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The > maker of > > > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > > > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > > > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some > > > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. > > > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain > since > > > August 2003. > > > > > > Chipmakers Climb > > > > > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear > > > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, > climbing > > > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > > > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. > > > > > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > > > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > > > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > > > improvement.'' > > > > > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 > percent for > > > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > > > > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > > > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the > company's > > > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 > > > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 27, 2007 Report Share Posted February 27, 2007 Dear Thor, Yes, good correction - not 600, but 300 points above. Thanks! One more thing on financial markets, if the current combinations are the driver for the continued oil and gold gains, and USD losses, it is likely that this intensifies. Previously I had written on the anticipated oil rise by the Ju-Sa asp and planets transiting Aq when it was hovering above the $50 mark. It is certainly possible to see $80 in the coming weeks. In the SAMVA USA chart, with the Sun becoming close to the MEP of H8 under Rahu, and Ju-Sa becoming exact, it will be interesting to see what ceilings can be broken ($70 is next).Comments from OPEC are usually right on que when Rahu is involved in. Best regards, Vyas Munidas - " cosmologer " <cosmologer <SAMVA > Tuesday, February 27, 2007 2:25 AM Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading sessions Dear Vyas, Thanks for the insight. The support levels are usually based on some moving averages, and something traders put up as sign posts to evaluate the strength of movement in financial asset prices. When the prices without a perceptible reason move through support levels it reduces the confidence in the asset and can encourage selling and further decline. The DJIA closed at 12632 yesterday, so it is roughly 300 points over the first support level. It is also possible that the transits in the SAMVA USA chart manifest as a dramatic turn of events that surprise the market and precipitate or accelerate a decline. We'll see. Best wishes, Thor SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor and List, > > Technically, 12300 DJIA is first level support. Currently it is +600 points > higher. Second level support is 11990. Let's see where the next few week > finds it. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " <cosmologer > <SAMVA > > Monday, February 26, 2007 5:14 PM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear list members, > > Attached are three news stories which reveal increased concerns about > the outlook for the US economy. > > Story 1: Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > Story 2: US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > Story 3: U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > > That said, even if the share prices have declined a bit they are still > very high by historical standards. If the SAMVA USA chart is > authentic, as I believe it is, this is just the beginning of a much > bigger correction... > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > 1. > Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > Monday February 26, 8:34 am ET > Alan Greenspan Warns That U.S. Economy May Slip Into Recession by End > of Year > > HONG KONG (AP) -- Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan > warned Monday that the American economy might slip into recession by > year's end. > > He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there > are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end. > > " When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build > up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that > sign, " Greenspan said via satellite link to a business conference in > Hong Kong. " For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to > stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle. " > > " While, yes, it is possible we can get a recession in the latter > months of 2007, most forecasters are not making that judgment and > indeed are projecting forward into 2008 ... with some slowdown, " he said. > > Greenspan said that while it would be " very precarious " to try to > forecast that far into the future, he could not rule out the > possibility of a recession late this year. > > The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.5 percent rate in the > fourth quarter of 2006, up from a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. > A survey released Monday by the National Association for Business > Economics showed that experts predict economic growth of 2.7 percent > this year, the slowest rate since a 1.6 percent rise in 2002. > > Greenspan also warned that the U.S. budget deficit, which for 2006 > fell to $247.7 billion, the lowest in four years, remains a concern. > > " The American budget deficit is clearly a very significant concern for > all of us that are trying to evaluate both the American economy's > immediate future and that of the rest of the world, " he said via > satellite at the VeryGC Global Business Insights 2007 Conference. > > Greenspan also said he has seen no economic spillover effects from the > slowdown in the U.S. housing market. > > " We are now well into the contraction period and so far we have not > had any major, significant spillover effects on the American economy > from the contraction in housing, " he said. > > > > 2. > US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard > Last Updated: 1:15am GMT 24/02/2007 > > Panic has begun to sweep the sub-prime mortgage sector in the United > States after the bankruptcy of 22 lenders over the past two months, > setting off mass liquidation of housing loans packaged as securities. > > Reduced sign outside house for sale > Analysts say the housing bust is pulling America into recession, > citing a 14.4pc drop in housing starts > > The rapid deterioration could not come at a worse time for British > bank HSBC, which has set aside $10.5bn (£5.4bn) to cover bad loans in > the US. > > The cost of insuring against default on these loans has rocketed in > recent weeks, from 50 basis points over Libor to 1,200, raising fears > that a credit crunch could spread to the rest of the property market. > > Low-grade BBB-rated securities - measured by the ABX index - have > crashed from near par of 100 in early November to 72.5 this week. > > Peter Schiff, head of Euro Pacific Capital, said the sector was in an > unstoppable meltdown. " It's a self-perpetuating spiral: as sub-prime > companies tighten lending they create even more defaults, " he said. > http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/02/24/cnusecon24.xml > > > 3. > U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > By Eric Martin > > Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks extended their weeklong slump as > persistent concern about mortgage defaults overshadowed the biggest > leveraged buyout in history. > > Citigroup Inc. fell the most since July, sending the Standard & Poor's > 500 Index to its longest stretch of declines since August. Moody's > Corp. and McGraw-Hill Cos. retreated on speculation their bond rating > units will lose business as fewer home loans are turned into securities. > > Investors are growing increasingly skeptical banks that lend to the > riskiest borrowers will achieve profit forecasts after more than a > dozen closed or were sold in the past three months. Today, shares of > 74 of 88 companies included in the S & P 500 financial index declined. > > ``Whenever you get any problems in the financial sector, it's a > concern,'' said Joseph Williams, who helps manage $11 billion at > Commerce Trust Co. in Kansas City, Missouri. ``Some of the brokers and > banks possibly have more exposure than we perceive. It's something for > the market to worry about.'' > > The S & P 500 slipped 1.82, or 0.1 percent, to 1449.37 for its fourth > day of losses. The Dow average dropped 15.22, or 0.1 percent, to > 12,632.26, the lowest since Feb. 12. The Nasdaq Composite Index > decreased 10.58, or 0.4 percent, to 2504.52. > > Stocks retreated last week, pushing the Dow to its worst weekly > decline since August, after a government report showed consumer prices > rose more than expected, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut. > Concern that higher rates and weaker home prices will foster mortgage > defaults also aided the selloff. > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087 & sid=adwPNKQB5Lp0 & refer=home > > > SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer@> wrote: > > > > Dear David, > > > > You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful > > especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such > > a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not > > decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the > > nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart > > for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if > at all. > > > > That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the > > 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart > > with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also > > important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in > > that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also > > been important for a number of such corrections. > > > > For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in > > the US stock market please go to: > > > > SAMVA > > > > then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart > > > > There you will find the pdf file: > > > > " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " > > A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological > > analysis " > > > > At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered > > houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of > > wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, > > Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a > > strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, > > not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real > > estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices > > declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in > > sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the > > decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that > > interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier > > thought. > > > > In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is > > explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, > > transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the > > natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more > > difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in > > transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its > > conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect > > liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been > > predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite > > adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming > > months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the > > SAMVA USA chart. > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > > > > > SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david@> wrote: > > > > > > dear thor... > > > > > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the > > stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > > > > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some > > strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary > > duration through march. > > > > > > best wishes, > > > > > > david hawthorne > > > - > > > cosmologer > > > SAMVA > > > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > > trading sessions > > > > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market since > > > last August. > > > > > > Best wishes, > > > > > > Thor > > > > > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > > > > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > > > > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > > > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices reduced > > > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > > > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear > > > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > > > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. Hewlett-Packard > > > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the world's > > > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit margins. > > > > > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments > last week > > > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary concern > > > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > > > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > > > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > > > > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > > > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring it,'' > > > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as president > > > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > > > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more > investors > > > become risk-averse.'' > > > > > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 percent > > > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period ended Aug. > > > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > > > > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > > > > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after > mergers > > > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods > > Market Inc. > > > > > > Iran Concerns > > > > > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > > > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > > > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > > > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland > Security > > > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > > > > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor > Department said > > > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 > percent, the > > > most since June. > > > > > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price > index > > > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > > > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > > > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing > > costs. > > > > > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be > jumping too > > > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > > > Hemmelgarn. > > > > > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > > > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > > > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > > > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > > > > > Financial Shares Drop > > > > > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent for its > > > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > > > > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped > for a > > > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > > > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > > > > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker > home > > > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the > largest > > > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > > > suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, > fell > > > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, dropped 3.5 > > > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > > > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > > > > > GM Falls > > > > > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the biggest drop > > > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by GM, had > > > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst James > > > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > > > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > > > > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent stake in > > > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > > > Capital Management LP. > > > > > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 > posted > > > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much money on > > > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares plunged > > > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > > > > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage > fallout, > > > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > > > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca > Raton, > > > Florida. > > > > > > Homebuilders > > > > > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the > companies down > > > 4.5 percent. > > > > > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > > > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast > and said > > > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > > > > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > > > percent to $27.02. > > > > > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. > homebuilder > > > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal prosecutors over > > > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > > > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > > > > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to comment. > > > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also declined > > > to comment. > > > > > > M & A > > > > > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. agreed > > > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > > > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of Sirius, > > > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > > > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal > Communications > > > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > > > > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on > its plan > > > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying > Wild Oats > > > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > > > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery stores > > > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 percent to > > > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > > > percent to $18.43. > > > > > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The > maker of > > > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > > > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > > > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions by some > > > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in sales. > > > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain > since > > > August 2003. > > > > > > Chipmakers Climb > > > > > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. Linear > > > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, > climbing > > > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > > > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to $32.21. > > > > > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > > > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > > > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > > > improvement.'' > > > > > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 > percent for > > > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > > > > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > > > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the > company's > > > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares dropped 4.6 > > > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted February 27, 2007 Report Share Posted February 27, 2007 Dear list members, Decline in the stock market has accelerated at the open of trading. The DJIA has fallen 130 points to 12500. Of course, there is intra- day volatility to contend with, but the decline of the Chinese stock exchange seems to have taken the market by surprise. We will see how the market continues. Best wishes, Thor U.S. Stocks Fall; Qualcomm, Coach Decline After China's Plunge By Marco Bertacche and Eric Martin Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks dropped as a plunge in Chinese shares sparked a global selloff and raised concern that investors will dump equities after a four-year bull market. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index declined the most since November as Qualcomm Inc. and Coach Inc. paced a slide in companies that rely on demand from the world's fastest-growing major economy. China's government approved a special task force to clamp down on illegal share offerings and banned activities after indexes climbed to records. Stocks also fell after durable-goods orders fell more than forecast in January, suggesting a reluctance among companies to invest has carried into 2007. The Commerce Department said orders slumped 7.8 percent following a 2.8 percent gain in December. Orders excluding transportation equipment slid 3.1 percent. ``With some potential signs of cracks, be it China or the durable goods orders, this might be setting us up for a cooling or a pullback in the market,'' said Jason Cooper, who helps manage $2.5 billion at 1st Source Investment Advisors in South Bend, Indiana. ``I'm much more bearish than bullish right now.'' The S & P 500 declined 18, or 1.2 percent, to 1431.37 as of 9:38 a.m. in New York. The benchmark is down for a fifth day, its longest losing streak since March 2004. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 120.49, or 1 percent, to 12,511.77. The Nasdaq Composite Index sank 50.04, or 2 percent, to 2454.48. SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <muni> wrote: > > Dear Thor, > > Yes, good correction - not 600, but 300 points above. Thanks! > > One more thing on financial markets, if the current combinations are the > driver for the continued oil and gold gains, and USD losses, it is likely > that this intensifies. Previously I had written on the anticipated oil rise > by the Ju-Sa asp and planets transiting Aq when it was hovering above the > $50 mark. It is certainly possible to see $80 in the coming weeks. > > In the SAMVA USA chart, with the Sun becoming close to the MEP of H8 under > Rahu, and Ju-Sa becoming exact, it will be interesting to see what ceilings > can be broken ($70 is next).Comments from OPEC are usually right on que when > Rahu is involved in. > > > Best regards, > > Vyas Munidas > > > - > " cosmologer " <cosmologer > <SAMVA > > Tuesday, February 27, 2007 2:25 AM > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three trading > sessions > > > Dear Vyas, > > Thanks for the insight. The support levels are usually based on some > moving averages, and something traders put up as sign posts to > evaluate the strength of movement in financial asset prices. When the > prices without a perceptible reason move through support levels it > reduces the confidence in the asset and can encourage selling and > further decline. The DJIA closed at 12632 yesterday, so it is roughly > 300 points over the first support level. It is also possible that the > transits in the SAMVA USA chart manifest as a dramatic turn of events > that surprise the market and precipitate or accelerate a decline. > We'll see. > > Best wishes, > > Thor > > > SAMVA , " Vyas Munidas " <munidas@> wrote: > > > > Dear Thor and List, > > > > Technically, 12300 DJIA is first level support. Currently it is +600 > points > > higher. Second level support is 11990. Let's see where the next few > week > > finds it. > > > > > > Best regards, > > > > Vyas Munidas > > > > > > - > > " cosmologer " <cosmologer@> > > <SAMVA > > > Monday, February 26, 2007 5:14 PM > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > trading > > sessions > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > Attached are three news stories which reveal increased concerns about > > the outlook for the US economy. > > > > Story 1: Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > > Story 2: US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > > Story 3: U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > > > > That said, even if the share prices have declined a bit they are still > > very high by historical standards. If the SAMVA USA chart is > > authentic, as I believe it is, this is just the beginning of a much > > bigger correction... > > > > Best wishes, > > > > Thor > > > > 1. > > Greenspan Warns of Likely U.S. Recession > > Monday February 26, 8:34 am ET > > Alan Greenspan Warns That U.S. Economy May Slip Into Recession by End > > of Year > > > > HONG KONG (AP) -- Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan > > warned Monday that the American economy might slip into recession by > > year's end. > > > > He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there > > are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end. > > > > " When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build > > up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that > > sign, " Greenspan said via satellite link to a business conference in > > Hong Kong. " For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to > > stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a > cycle. " > > > > " While, yes, it is possible we can get a recession in the latter > > months of 2007, most forecasters are not making that judgment and > > indeed are projecting forward into 2008 ... with some slowdown, " he > said. > > > > Greenspan said that while it would be " very precarious " to try to > > forecast that far into the future, he could not rule out the > > possibility of a recession late this year. > > > > The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.5 percent rate in the > > fourth quarter of 2006, up from a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. > > A survey released Monday by the National Association for Business > > Economics showed that experts predict economic growth of 2.7 percent > > this year, the slowest rate since a 1.6 percent rise in 2002. > > > > Greenspan also warned that the U.S. budget deficit, which for 2006 > > fell to $247.7 billion, the lowest in four years, remains a concern. > > > > " The American budget deficit is clearly a very significant concern for > > all of us that are trying to evaluate both the American economy's > > immediate future and that of the rest of the world, " he said via > > satellite at the VeryGC Global Business Insights 2007 Conference. > > > > Greenspan also said he has seen no economic spillover effects from the > > slowdown in the U.S. housing market. > > > > " We are now well into the contraction period and so far we have not > > had any major, significant spillover effects on the American economy > > from the contraction in housing, " he said. > > > > > > > > 2. > > US mortgage crisis goes into meltdown > > By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard > > Last Updated: 1:15am GMT 24/02/2007 > > > > Panic has begun to sweep the sub-prime mortgage sector in the United > > States after the bankruptcy of 22 lenders over the past two months, > > setting off mass liquidation of housing loans packaged as securities. > > > > Reduced sign outside house for sale > > Analysts say the housing bust is pulling America into recession, > > citing a 14.4pc drop in housing starts > > > > The rapid deterioration could not come at a worse time for British > > bank HSBC, which has set aside $10.5bn (£5.4bn) to cover bad loans in > > the US. > > > > The cost of insuring against default on these loans has rocketed in > > recent weeks, from 50 basis points over Libor to 1,200, raising fears > > that a credit crunch could spread to the rest of the property market. > > > > Low-grade BBB-rated securities - measured by the ABX index - have > > crashed from near par of 100 in early November to 72.5 this week. > > > > Peter Schiff, head of Euro Pacific Capital, said the sector was in an > > unstoppable meltdown. " It's a self-perpetuating spiral: as sub- prime > > companies tighten lending they create even more defaults, " he said. > > > http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml? xml=/money/2007/02/24/cnusecon24.xml > > > > > > 3. > > U.S. Stocks Fall as S & P 500 Drops a 4th Day, Led by Financials > > By Eric Martin > > > > Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks extended their weeklong slump as > > persistent concern about mortgage defaults overshadowed the biggest > > leveraged buyout in history. > > > > Citigroup Inc. fell the most since July, sending the Standard & Poor's > > 500 Index to its longest stretch of declines since August. Moody's > > Corp. and McGraw-Hill Cos. retreated on speculation their bond rating > > units will lose business as fewer home loans are turned into securities. > > > > Investors are growing increasingly skeptical banks that lend to the > > riskiest borrowers will achieve profit forecasts after more than a > > dozen closed or were sold in the past three months. Today, shares of > > 74 of 88 companies included in the S & P 500 financial index declined. > > > > ``Whenever you get any problems in the financial sector, it's a > > concern,'' said Joseph Williams, who helps manage $11 billion at > > Commerce Trust Co. in Kansas City, Missouri. ``Some of the brokers and > > banks possibly have more exposure than we perceive. It's something for > > the market to worry about.'' > > > > The S & P 500 slipped 1.82, or 0.1 percent, to 1449.37 for its fourth > > day of losses. The Dow average dropped 15.22, or 0.1 percent, to > > 12,632.26, the lowest since Feb. 12. The Nasdaq Composite Index > > decreased 10.58, or 0.4 percent, to 2504.52. > > > > Stocks retreated last week, pushing the Dow to its worst weekly > > decline since August, after a government report showed consumer prices > > rose more than expected, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut. > > Concern that higher rates and weaker home prices will foster mortgage > > defaults also aided the selloff. > > > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news? pid=20601087 & sid=adwPNKQB5Lp0 & refer=home > > > > > > SAMVA , " cosmologer " <cosmologer@> wrote: > > > > > > Dear David, > > > > > > You are right, the station of the nodes is potentially harmful > > > especially if it is affecting a sensitive natal position. Without such > > > a contact, the impact would be far less and share prices might not > > > decline. In fact, if the SAMVA USA chart was not authentic and the > > > nodes were not afflicting in the so far undiscovered authentic chart > > > for the USA, then share prices should not really come down much if > > at all. > > > > > > That said, the analysis of the onset of the Great Depression of the > > > 1930s offered a resounding match with regard to the SAMVA USA chart > > > with regard to the influence of the nodes. The nodes were also > > > important for many other such drops. However, as the summary table in > > > that article shows, the influence of L8 Saturn and L6 Jupiter has also > > > been important for a number of such corrections. > > > > > > For a review of that market crash and around ten other major drops in > > > the US stock market please go to: > > > > > > SAMVA > > > > > > then go to the folder: SAMVA USA chart > > > > > > There you will find the pdf file: > > > > > > " SAMVA USA chart and major corrections on Wall Street " > > > A 25 page paper: " Major Corrections on Wall Street - an astrological > > > analysis " > > > > > > At the present time, the nodal station is affecting the even numbered > > > houses, with Rahu on H8 MEP and Ketu on the H2 MEP. The houses of > > > wealth and easy gains are therefore directly being stressed. Moreover, > > > Ketu afflicts H6 and L4 Venus placed therein. This would place a > > > strain on financial stability and fixed assets and communal harmony, > > > not least as Rahu is also afflicting H4. Indeed, we know the real > > > estate market is under a lot of pressure with housing prices > > > declining. As a result, financial institutions that have engaged in > > > sub-prime (risky) lending are going bankrupt. This explains the > > > decline in the stock market in the past week, along with concerns that > > > interest rates are not expected to come down as quickly as earlier > > > thought. > > > > > > In short, you are very correct dear David, that the nodal station is > > > explaining a lot of the pressure. What is more, at the present time, > > > transit L8 Saturn in H1 is also coming into opposition aspect of the > > > natal L2 Sun in H7, which rules the wealth. Making the situation more > > > difficult is the fact that Saturn is being afflicted by L6 Jupiter in > > > transit. Transit Jupiter is also mutually afflicting due to its > > > conjunction to natal Saturn in H5. This situation will likely affect > > > liquidity in the market and pull share prices down as has been > > > predicted on the basis of this chart. The indications are quite > > > adverse and the market should decline quite significantly in coming > > > months as a result. This prediction may be viewed a key test of the > > > SAMVA USA chart. > > > > > > Best wishes, > > > > > > Thor > > > > > > > > > > > > SAMVA , " David Hawthorne " <david@> wrote: > > > > > > > > dear thor... > > > > > > > > i wonder if the stock market problem is due in part to the > > > stationary position of rahu and ketu. > > > > > > > > they have been stationary for about a month, and this may cause some > > > strain and tension, which may intensify throughout the stationary > > > duration through march. > > > > > > > > best wishes, > > > > > > > > david hawthorne > > > > - > > > > cosmologer > > > > SAMVA > > > > Sunday, February 25, 2007 7:17 AM > > > > Re: Stocks have declined moderately in past three > > > trading sessions > > > > > > > > > > > > Dear list members, > > > > > > > > Last week turned out to be the worst week in the stock market > since > > > > last August. > > > > > > > > Best wishes, > > > > > > > > Thor > > > > > > > > Dow Average Has Worst Weekly Drop Since August; Financials Fall > > > > > > > > By Michael Patterson and Eric Martin > > > > > > > > Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its > > > > biggest weekly slide since August as rising consumer prices > reduced > > > > the odds of an interest rate cut and concern mounted that mortgage > > > > defaults may reduce profit growth at banks. > > > > > > > > Countrywide Financial Corp., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and > Bear > > > > Stearns Cos. pushed a gauge of financial shares in the Standard & > > > > Poor's 500 Index to its biggest decline in 12 weeks. > Hewlett-Packard > > > > Co. helped drag down the Dow average from a record after the > world's > > > > largest personal-computer maker said price cuts hurt profit > margins. > > > > > > > > The government's latest inflation report reinforced comments > > last week > > > > by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that his primary > concern > > > > is fighting inflation. A rise in loan delinquencies among riskier > > > > ``subprime'' borrowers may reduce earnings at financial companies, > > > > which account for 22 percent of the S & P 500 index's value. > > > > > > > > ``The subprime issue has been something a lot of people have been > > > > concerned about, but investors for a while were just ignoring > it,'' > > > > said Edward Hemmelgarn, who oversees about $400 million as > president > > > > of Shaker Investments Inc. in Cleveland. ``It tends to create a > > > > cascading effect. The more people start to default, the more > > investors > > > > become risk-averse.'' > > > > > > > > In a holiday-shortened week, the Dow industrials dropped 0.9 > percent > > > > to 12,647.48, the biggest weekly decline since the period > ended Aug. > > > > 11. The index reached a record 12,786.64 on Feb. 20. > > > > > > > > The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 1451.19. > > > > > > > > The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.8 percent to 2515.10 after > > mergers > > > > lifted shares XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. and Whole Foods > > > Market Inc. > > > > > > > > Iran Concerns > > > > > > > > Investors were also chilled by reports that Iran defied a United > > > > Nations Security Council demand to halt its atomic work. Stocks > > > > extended their declines on Feb. 22 as traders speculated the U.S. > > > > might raise its terror alert. The U.S. Department of Homeland > > Security > > > > said there has been no change in the threat level. > > > > > > > > Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in January, the Labor > > Department said > > > > on Feb. 21. Prices excluding food and energy climbed 0.3 > > percent, the > > > > most since June. > > > > > > > > Economists had forecast a 0.1 percent rise in the consumer price > > index > > > > and a 0.2 percent gain in the so-called core CPI, a survey by > > > > Bloomberg News showed. After the report, interest-rate futures for > > > > August showed traders pared their bets the Fed will cut borrowing > > > costs. > > > > > > > > The price report ``told people they probably shouldn't be > > jumping too > > > > much to the conclusion that the Fed might be cutting rates,'' said > > > > Hemmelgarn. > > > > > > > > Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's January meeting > > > > released this week showed policy makers discussed dropping their > > > > inclination to raise interest rates, and then rejected the idea > > > > because inflation remained the ``predominant concern.'' > > > > > > > > Financial Shares Drop > > > > > > > > An S & P 500 gauge of financial companies dropped 1.2 percent > for its > > > > biggest weekly decline since the period ended Dec. 1. > > > > > > > > Countrywide Financial, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, dropped > > for a > > > > third straight week. The shares fell 5.7 percent to $39.33, the > > > > fourth-biggest decline in the S & P 500. > > > > > > > > Subprime-mortgage defaults have been rising nationwide as weaker > > home > > > > prices and higher interest rates make it harder for borrowers to > > > > repay. HSBC Holdings Plc and New Century Financial Corp., the > > largest > > > > U.S. lenders to the riskiest borrowers, this month said profit may > > > > suffer as more loans go sour. > > > > > > > > Lehman, the fourth-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, > > fell > > > > 4.3 percent to $79.04. Bear Stearns, the sixth- biggest, > dropped 3.5 > > > > percent to $161.29. Both banks make loans and repackage them into > > > > securities. New Century's shares tumbled 20 percent to $15.52. > > > > > > > > GM Falls > > > > > > > > General Motors Corp. fell 5.7 percent to $34.26 for the > biggest drop > > > > in the Dow industrials. GMAC LLC, the lender partly owned by > GM, had > > > > ratings on some senior notes lowered by Merrill Lynch analyst > James > > > > Leda, who cited ``the potential for increased volatility'' of its > > > > mortgages to higher-risk borrowers. > > > > > > > > GM, the world's biggest automaker, still owns a 49 percent > stake in > > > > GMAC after selling a majority interest to a group led by Cerberus > > > > Capital Management LP. > > > > > > > > NovaStar Financial Inc., a subprime mortgage lender, on Feb. 20 > > posted > > > > a surprise fourth-quarter loss and said it won't make much > money on > > > > its mortgage investments for the next five years. The shares > plunged > > > > 51 percent to $8.48, a level not seen since February 2002. > > > > > > > > ``Everybody is going to try to cash out before this mortgage > > fallout, > > > > and financials are going to be the first to get hit,'' said Billy > > > > Groeneveld, equity markets head trader at vFinance Inc. in Boca > > Raton, > > > > Florida. > > > > > > > > Homebuilders > > > > > > > > Homebuilders also declined, pushing an S & P gauge of the > > companies down > > > > 4.5 percent. > > > > > > > > Toll Brothers Inc. dropped 4.5 percent to $31.60. The largest U.S. > > > > luxury-home builder lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast > > and said > > > > it may deliver fewer homes than it previously predicted. > > > > > > > > D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, dropped 4.2 > > > > percent to $27.02. > > > > > > > > KB Home fell 4.8 percent to $51.60. The fifth-largest U.S. > > homebuilder > > > > by sales is under criminal investigation by federal > prosecutors over > > > > stock-options backdating that led to the resignation of its chief > > > > executive officer, people familiar with the matter said. > > > > > > > > KB Home Associate General Counsel David Simons declined to > comment. > > > > Assistant U.S. Attorney Alex Bustamante in Los Angeles also > declined > > > > to comment. > > > > > > > > M & A > > > > > > > > XM increased 8 percent to $15.10. Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. > agreed > > > > to buy its pay-radio rival for $4.57 billion to stem billions of > > > > dollars in losses. Mel Karmazin, chief executive officer of > Sirius, > > > > will be CEO of the combined company. The deal will face antitrust > > > > scrutiny and must also be approved by the U.S. Federal > > Communications > > > > Commission. Sirius shares gained 1.1 percent to $3.74. > > > > > > > > Whole Foods, the biggest U.S. natural-foods grocer, surged on > > its plan > > > > to buy rival Wild Oats Markets Inc. for $565 million. Buying > > Wild Oats > > > > will help counter slowing growth at the company, which faced > > > > competition from Safeway Inc., Trader Joe's and other grocery > stores > > > > selling organic and prepared food. Whole Foods gained 8.7 > percent to > > > > $50.47, its best weekly advance since August. Wild Oats jumped 18 > > > > percent to $18.43. > > > > > > > > Analog Devices Inc. had the biggest gain in the S & P 500. The > > maker of > > > > chips used in mobile phones and cars said January orders were > > > > ``encouraging'' after slowing demand had led to a buildup of > > > > inventory. The strengthening in orders countered predictions > by some > > > > analysts that the company would forecast further declines in > sales. > > > > The shares jumped 12 percent to $36.95, the biggest weekly gain > > since > > > > August 2003. > > > > > > > > Chipmakers Climb > > > > > > > > Other chipmakers also jumped after Analog Devices' forecast. > Linear > > > > Technology Corp. had the second-best advance in the S & P 500, > > climbing > > > > 10 percent to $34.46. Texas Instruments Inc., the world's biggest > > > > maker of processors for mobile phones, gained 4.7 percent to > $32.21. > > > > > > > > National Semiconductor Corp., whose chips extend battery life in > > > > mobile phones, climbed 9.3 percent to $25.50 after Morgan Stanley > > > > upgraded the stock on optimism earnings will show ``solid signs of > > > > improvement.'' > > > > > > > > A gauge of semiconductor companies in the S & P 500 rose 1.7 > > percent for > > > > the best gain among 24 industry groups. > > > > > > > > Hewlett-Packard had its biggest weekly decline since July after > > > > holiday price cuts on PCs weighed on profit margins and the > > company's > > > > growth forecast disappointed some investors. The shares > dropped 4.6 > > > > percent to $40.82. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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