Greenspan sees 1/3 probability of U.S. recession

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Greenspan sees 1/3 probability of U.S. recession: Bloomberg

Tue Mar 6, 2007 2:24am ET

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan

was quoted as seeing a " one-third probability " of recession in the

United States this year, according to an interview with Bloomberg.

 

" We are in the sixth year of a recovery; imbalances can emerge as a

result, " Bloomberg quoted Greenspan as saying.

 

" Ten-year recoveries have been part of a much broader global

phenomenon, " Greenspan said in the interview.

 

He said the historically normal business cycle was much shorter and

was likely to be this time, the news agency said.

 

Greenspan's outlook contrasts with the views of his successor Ben

Bernanke, who told Congress last week that the economy may strengthen

this year. Bernanke's assessment helped steady stocks markets after a

plunge the day before, Bloomberg said.