Experts Debate Limit of Human Life Span

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EXPERTS DEBATE OLD FART AGE LIMIT

Wired

July 20, 2003

 

http://www.wired.com/news/medtech/0,1286,59697,00.html

 

SAN FRANCISCO -- Fancy living another 100 years, or more? Some experts said

on Saturday that scientific advances will one day enable humans to last

decades beyond what is now seen as the natural limit of the human life span.

 

" I think we are knocking at the door of immortality, " said Michael Zey, a

Montclair State University business professor and author of two books on the

future. " I think by 2075 we will see it and that's a conservative estimate. "

 

Zey spoke on the sidelines of the annual conference of the World Future

Society, a group that ponders how the future will look across many different

aspects of society.

 

In a presentation at the meeting in San Francisco, Donald Louria, a

professor at New Jersey Medical School in Newark said advances in

manipulating cells and genes as well as nanotechnology make it likely humans

will live in the future beyond what has been possible in the past.

 

" What was science fiction a decade ago is no longer science fiction, " he

said.

 

" There is a dramatic and intensive push so that people can live from 120 to

180 years, " he said. " Some have suggested that there is no limit and that

people could live to 200 or 300 or 500 years. "

 

Outside the conference, many scientists who specialize in aging are

skeptical of such claims and say the human body is just not designed to last

past about 120 years. Even with healthier lifestyles and less disease, they

say failure of the brain and other organs will eventually condemn all

humans.

 

" These people spout off as though a large part of the population is going to

be able to do something like this. It's just way beyond reality, " said

Thomas Perls, who leads the New England Centenarian Study, the largest such

analysis of the oldest of the old. " It's just pure science fiction. "

 

" We are fast approaching what our bodies are capable of achieving, " he said

in a telephone interview. " To get even the average person to be 100 or to

get them to 180 is like trying to get a space shuttle to Pluto. "

 

Any dramatic extension of the human life span would depend on altering the

onset of disabilities that accompany the aging process by changing one's

genetic make up, said Harvey Cohen, director of the Center for the Study of

Aging and Human Development at Duke University Medical Center.

 

" It's certainly unlikely any time in the near future, " he said in an

interview. " Sure there is a possibility but there is no data currently

available to suggest ways that would happen. "

 

Scientists also differ on what kind of life the super aged might live.

 

" It remains to be seen if you pass the threshold of say 120, you know; could

you be healthy enough to have good quality of life? " said Leonard Poon,

director of the University of Georgia Gerontology Center. " Currently people

who could get to that point are not in good health at all. "

 

Poon, who leads a study of more than 150 centenarians in Georgia, cited the

case of Jeanne Louise Calment of France, the oldest person on record who

died at age 122 in 1997.

 

" At 122 she was fairly debilitated. I visited her when she was 119 in France

and at that time she was pretty much blind and having very much difficulty

hearing, " he said.

 

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