Twin studies provide smoking gun on issue of global warming

[Guest guest]

" Zepp " <zepp

 

 

Sat, 19 Feb 2005 08:04:53 -0800

 

 

[Zepps_News] Twin studies provide " smoking gun " on issue of

global warming

 

 

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-1489955,00.html

 

The strongest evidence yet that global warming has been triggered by

human activity has emerged from a major study of rising temperatures in

the world's oceans.

 

The present trend of warmer sea temperatures, which have risen by an

average of half a degree Celsius (0.9F) over the past 40 years, can be

explained only if greenhouse gas emissions are responsible, new

research has revealed.

 

The results are so compelling that they should end controversy about

the causes of climate change, one of the scientists who led the study

said yesterday.

 

" The debate about whether there is a global warming signal now is over,

at least for rational people, " said Tim Barnett, of the Scripps

Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California. " The models got it

right. If a politician stands up and says the uncertainty is too great

to believe these models, that is no longer tenable. "

 

In the study, Dr Barnett's team examined more than seven million

observations of temperature, salinity and other variables in the

world's oceans, collected by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric

Administration, and compared the patterns with those that are predicted

by computer models of various potential causes of climate change.

 

It found that natural variation in the Earth's climate, or changes in

solar activity or volcanic eruptions, which have been suggested as

alternative explanations for rising temperatures, could not explain the

data collected in the real world. Models based on man-made emissions of

greenhouse gases, however, matched the observations almost precisely.

 

" What absolutely nailed it was the greenhouse model, " Dr Barnett told

the American Association for the Advancement of Science conference in

Washington. Two models, one designed in Britain and one here in the US,

got it almost exactly. We were stunned. They did it so well it was

almost unbelieveable. "

 

Climate change has affected the seas in different ways in different

parts of the world: in the Atlantic, for example, rising temperatures

can be observed up to 700 metres below the surface, while in the

Pacific the warming is seen only up to 100m down.

 

Only the greenhouse models replicated the changes that have been

observed in practice. " The fact that this has gone on in different ways

gives us the chance to figure out who did it, " Dr Barnett said.

 

" All the potential culprits have been ruled out except one.

 

" This is perhaps the most compelling evidence yet that global warming

is happening right now, and it shows that we can successfully simulate

its past and its likely future evolution. The statistical significance

of these results is far too strong to be merely dismissed and should

wipe out much of the uncertainty about the reality of global warming. "

[...]

 

 

 

" The debate about whether there is a global warming signal now is over,

at least for rational people. "

Oops! That rules out a lot of conservatives on usenet.

 

--

Election 2004

The Triumph of the Swill

 

 

" The National Government will regard it as its first and foremost

duty to revive in the nation the spirit of unity and cooperation.

It will preserve and defend those basic principles on which our

nation has been built. It regards Christianity as the foundation

of our national morality, and the family as the basis of national

life. "

Adolph Hitler, My New World Order,

Proclamation to the German Nation

at Berlin, February 1, 1933

 

 

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Pay your taxes so the rich don't have to.

 

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