Guest guest Posted December 14, 2003 Report Share Posted December 14, 2003 Regardless of the truth and reality of the following prediction. Every family should have at least a quart of Total Tonic on hand. A large family should have a gallon of the stuff. It wouldn't hurt to have a pint of Echinacea and a half a litre of DMSO either just to have all eventualities covered either. Like the "Boy Scouts" It is always best to be prepared. Love, Doc Ian "Doc" Shillington N.D.505-772-5889Dr.IanShillington Scientists Predict Worldwide Flu Outbreak ComingBy Malcolm Ritter AP Science Writer 12-13-3 NEW YORK (AP) -- As bad as this year's flu season is, it hasn't brought the worldwide outbreak known as a pandemic. But experts warn that a pandemic is coming, it's just a question of when. "It's going to happen," said Dr. Greg Poland of the Mayo Clinic. "For the American public in particular, I think it will be horrific." Many Americans haven't experienced the overwhelming crush of patients at hospitals and doctors' offices and the widespread fear a flu pandemic could bring. And by historical pattern, Poland said it's about time for the next one. There have been three in the past 100 years, igniting in 1918, 1957 and 1968. There's no way to predict when the next one will appear, but the pattern does give experts pause. It's all up to a virus that is variable and fickle, constantly changing its genetic makeup, and the time when it hits upon a combination that lets it take off worldwide is a "roll of the genetic dice," said Dr. William Schaffner of Vanderbilt University. So the lack of a pandemic in the past 35 years basically means "the genetic dice haven't been rolled that way," Schaffner said. "While we're grateful for that, it makes us nervous." There's plenty to be nervous about. It's estimated that in the industrialized nations alone, the next pandemic is likely to send 1 million to 2.3 million people to the hospital and kill 280,000 to 650,000, according to the World Health Organization. Its impact will probably be greatest in developing countries. As a practical matter, flu shots probably could not be counted on to prevent a pandemic. For one thing, pandemic virus strains emerge unexpectedly, and there would probably not be enough time to recognize the threat and then provide vaccines that target them, Schaffner said. What's more, many countries outside the United States wouldn't have the means to give enough flu shots to stop the spread, Poland said. Dr. Robert Couch of the Baylor College of Medicine noted that health authorities are making major efforts to prepare for controlling a pandemic, including putting an emphasis on developing and manufacturing vaccines faster and in greater quantities. The pandemic of 1918-19, known as the Spanish flu, sickened an estimated 20 percent to 40 percent of the worldwide population, with a death toll believed to exceed 20 million. In the United States alone, some 500,000 people died. An ordinary flu epidemic kills an average of 36,000 Americans. The next pandemic, the Asian flu of 1957-58, killed about 70,000 in the United States, while the 1968-69 Hong Kong flu led to about 34,000 deaths in the United States. New strains of the flu virus, and so potential pandemics, get their start in rural Asia, where the various strains that infect chickens and other birds, pigs and humans can mingle. That gives them a chance to swap genetic information as well as mutate on their own. The potential spark for a pandemic occurs when that environment produces a new virus that infects people and bears surface proteins that people's bodies have never seen before. That means people have no natural defense against it. In contrast, ordinary outbreaks like this year's come from a virus that has changed only slightly from previous ones, so that the population it enters still has some natural immunity from encounters with the previous germs. But the genetic shift alone is not enough to launch a pandemic. In addition, the new virus must acquire the ability to pass easily from person to person, either by random genetic change or by picking up genetic material from a previous human flu virus. The world has had some close calls in the past few years, says Richard Webby of St. Jude's Children's Research Hospital in Memphis. In 1997, a bird flu in Hong Kong jumped to people, killing six. But the virus never developed the ability to pass easily from person to person, Webby said. Hong Kong authorities slaughtered 1.4 million chickens to end the threat. Just this year, authorities became alarmed when a father and son in Hong Kong were hospitalized because of a bird flu virus, and when flu virus infected some workers in the Netherlands who had slaughtered infected chickens. The Netherlands outbreak was contained by anti-flu drugs and fast vaccination, and slaughter of the poultry, Webby said. Scientists have been noticing a lot of flu virus in chickens and pigs globally, and a lot of variety in the strains, which is worrisome, Webby said. It's impractical to develop vaccines against all the animal strains in case they jump to humans, and there's no reliable way to identify the most hazardous ones, he said. When the next pandemic shows up, experts say, it will find a population with many more vulnerable people like the elderly, infirm and those with weakened natural defenses than were living 35 years ago. It will also find a trimmed-down hospital system with fewer beds to handle a surge of patients. And while today's anti-flu drugs will probably attack the new strain, that's not yet clear. Supplies of the drugs and vaccines would be strained. But still, with the improvements in health care since the last pandemic, might the next one be less serious? "I want to believe that," Poland said, "but we won't know until it happens." 2003 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AP News report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press. http://story.news./news?tmpl=story & cid=541 & ncid=751 & e=1 & u=/ap/20031213/ap_on_he_me/flu_the_big_one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted December 14, 2003 Report Share Posted December 14, 2003 Under articles. DMSODMSO is Dimethylsulfoxide and is processed from pine trees. Commercial grade is used as a solvent and works wonderfully that way. The pharmaceutical grade has been used very successfully with Down Syndrome children, Cancer patients, glaucoma, cataracts, and just about any other ill we humans have mocked up. It is a catalyst second to none as it has the ability to permeate any cell wall existing, including bone and external eye tissue. You can put a drop on your big toe and taste it in your mouth in anywhere from 8 to 12 seconds. Amazing stuff. One of its greatest characteristics is the ability to take herbal biochemicals with it when it passes through these cell walls. This gets the 'goodies' where they are needed fast. It also happens to be a free radical fighter without peer and bonds to free radical hydrogen, oxygen, and carbon atoms and neutralizes them instantly. Most exciting to me is that it also happens to help realign DNA back to the original blueprint. The above are the main reasons it is in my anti-plague formulation. There are over 75 different sulfur compounds in Garlic which is a main ingredient in the Total Tonic Formula. Garlic is "Nature's antibiotic" and used with the DMSO will get in there and knock off bacteria, viruses, and fungi at a tremendous rate. You should be able to get the USP Pharmaceutical Grade at your local drug store or possibly at your local Heathfood store. If you can't, give me a call or e-mail me privately. A lot of "healthfood stores" carry a very inferior brand in plastic. Do not buy this type. DMSO will eventually dissolve plastic over a long period of time. The USP Pharmaceutical grade is stored in brown glass with either a teflon or wax top. This is the variety that is used by the Sierra Clinic to inject into Down Syndrome children to correct that condition. Copyright © 2001 by Ian 'Doc' Shillington. All rights reserved New Photos - easier uploading and sharing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted December 16, 2003 Report Share Posted December 16, 2003 Dear Riki, Just type "Sierra Clinic" into your google search engine, and you'll get more than you wished for. ;o) Love, Doc PS. Do you think we could forgo the fancy background and fonts and picture etc. It makes it time consuming when trying to respond. Ian "Doc" Shillington N.D.505-772-5889Dr.IanShillington - Riki herbal remedies Monday, December 15, 2003 5:26 PM Re: [herbal remedies] Might Happen???+ Really? I have a niece with Down's Syndrome - please point me in the direction to find further information. Thank you! Blessings, Riki Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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