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Manuscripts 'treated as fossils'

 

By Julianna Kettlewell

BBC News science reporter

 

A palaeontologist has come up with a novel way of studying historical

manuscripts, by treating them as fossils from an extinct species.

John Cisne, writing in Science magazine, says manuscripts from the

Middle Ages have a lot in common with animal populations.

For this reason, he claims, he can work out how many copies of a

manuscript once existed and how regularly they were destroyed, simply

by applying a biological model.

Ancient texts

An ancient text can tell a historian fascinating stories about the

people and the culture that created it.

But there are some secrets that are not written on its pages. For

example, it is tricky for historians to work out how prevalent a

particular text was, and how many didn't make it through the perils

of time.

It is with these problems that John Cisne, from Cornell University,

US, believes he can help.

He took a small number of medieval scientific manuscripts, such as

Bede's De Temporum Ratione from AD 725, and examined them as if they

were fossils from an extinct population.

By applying models usually used for explaining population dynamics in

the animal kingdom, he says he can estimate the size and durability

of an extinct " population " of manuscripts.

In very simplistic terms, he would take some copies of a manuscript

and work out their age range (for example, 10 might have been from AD

800, five might have been from AD 750, and one might have been from

AD 700).

From that information, he would determine how many manuscripts were

probably around at any one time, what their rate of " population

growth " was and how often they were destroyed.

" By using this technique, you can get at the likelihood of a

manuscript being destroyed - how likely it was that it would be

burned in a fire or eaten by rats, " he told the BBC News website.

" When you look at the age distribution of the manuscripts - how many

survived from which century - you can get an idea of the balance

between the likelihood of a manuscript being copied -

or 'reproducing' - versus the probability of the individual being

destroyed - or 'dying'. "

Prototype approach

Dr Cisne knows he is wading into foreign waters; it is very unusual

for academics to stray into other academics' territories. And it is

particularly rare when that crossover is between the arts and the

sciences.

" I've always specialised in the nooks and crannies between

disciplines, " he said. " I just got interested in what proportion of

manuscripts would survive to the present. I wanted to know how good

our connection is with the past. "

Dr Cisne does not claim his technique perfect - it still needs some

polish. He would like to see it as a prototype, a suggested avenue

for further research.

Some historians might be indignant at this bold intrusion into their

field, but others, like Eliza Glaze, are willing to give Dr Cisne a

chance.

" Having a visual population chart relating to a text can be extremely

helpful when explaining to students what cultural factors led to the

changes, " Dr Glaze said.

" It's a peculiarity and at first I thought it was very bizarre, but

sometimes some of the most innovative ideas come from people outside

the field. "

However, Dr Glaze is keen to point out what she regards as some

pretty major difficulties in Dr Cisne's technique.

In order to apply a mathematical model to something, you need to make

certain assumptions; and Dr Glaze believes some of Dr Cisne's are

wrong.

For example, she objects to his assumption that none of the texts

were being imported from, or exported to, other countries.

" My chief criticism is probably that some of his assumptions are

flawed, " she said. " The assumption that there was no immigration or

emigration of texts is a serious problem if you are talking about the

Middle Ages.

" If he had teamed up with a historian in the first place, he could

have written a much better essay. "

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I can't help thinking that he's missed the fact that manuscripts have a

tendency not to follow the same breeding patterns as animals! :-)

 

BB

Peter

 

>

>

> Manuscripts 'treated as fossils'

>

> By Julianna Kettlewell

> BBC News science reporter

>

> A palaeontologist has come up with a novel way of studying historical

> manuscripts, by treating them as fossils from an extinct species.

> John Cisne, writing in Science magazine, says manuscripts from the

> Middle Ages have a lot in common with animal populations.

> For this reason, he claims, he can work out how many copies of a

> manuscript once existed and how regularly they were destroyed, simply

> by applying a biological model.

> Ancient texts

> An ancient text can tell a historian fascinating stories about the

> people and the culture that created it.

> But there are some secrets that are not written on its pages. For

> example, it is tricky for historians to work out how prevalent a

> particular text was, and how many didn't make it through the perils

> of time.

> It is with these problems that John Cisne, from Cornell University,

> US, believes he can help.

> He took a small number of medieval scientific manuscripts, such as

> Bede's De Temporum Ratione from AD 725, and examined them as if they

> were fossils from an extinct population.

> By applying models usually used for explaining population dynamics in

> the animal kingdom, he says he can estimate the size and durability

> of an extinct " population " of manuscripts.

> In very simplistic terms, he would take some copies of a manuscript

> and work out their age range (for example, 10 might have been from AD

> 800, five might have been from AD 750, and one might have been from

> AD 700).

> From that information, he would determine how many manuscripts were

> probably around at any one time, what their rate of " population

> growth " was and how often they were destroyed.

> " By using this technique, you can get at the likelihood of a

> manuscript being destroyed - how likely it was that it would be

> burned in a fire or eaten by rats, " he told the BBC News website.

> " When you look at the age distribution of the manuscripts - how many

> survived from which century - you can get an idea of the balance

> between the likelihood of a manuscript being copied -

> or 'reproducing' - versus the probability of the individual being

> destroyed - or 'dying'. "

> Prototype approach

> Dr Cisne knows he is wading into foreign waters; it is very unusual

> for academics to stray into other academics' territories. And it is

> particularly rare when that crossover is between the arts and the

> sciences.

> " I've always specialised in the nooks and crannies between

> disciplines, " he said. " I just got interested in what proportion of

> manuscripts would survive to the present. I wanted to know how good

> our connection is with the past. "

> Dr Cisne does not claim his technique perfect - it still needs some

> polish. He would like to see it as a prototype, a suggested avenue

> for further research.

> Some historians might be indignant at this bold intrusion into their

> field, but others, like Eliza Glaze, are willing to give Dr Cisne a

> chance.

> " Having a visual population chart relating to a text can be extremely

> helpful when explaining to students what cultural factors led to the

> changes, " Dr Glaze said.

> " It's a peculiarity and at first I thought it was very bizarre, but

> sometimes some of the most innovative ideas come from people outside

> the field. "

> However, Dr Glaze is keen to point out what she regards as some

> pretty major difficulties in Dr Cisne's technique.

> In order to apply a mathematical model to something, you need to make

> certain assumptions; and Dr Glaze believes some of Dr Cisne's are

> wrong.

> For example, she objects to his assumption that none of the texts

> were being imported from, or exported to, other countries.

> " My chief criticism is probably that some of his assumptions are

> flawed, " she said. " The assumption that there was no immigration or

> emigration of texts is a serious problem if you are talking about the

> Middle Ages.

> " If he had teamed up with a historian in the first place, he could

> have written a much better essay. "

>

To send an email to -

>

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That was what I thought! It seems a strange article altogether.

 

BB

Jo

 

> I can't help thinking that he's missed the fact that manuscripts have a

> tendency not to follow the same breeding patterns as animals! :-)

>

> BB

> Peter

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Well, neuter the blooming things and he won't have to worry about it <<eg>>

 

Lynda

 

-

Peter

Tuesday, March 08, 2005 10:18 AM

Re: Manuscripts! - BBC website

I can't help thinking that he's missed the fact that manuscripts have atendency not to follow the same breeding patterns as animals! :-)BBPeter>>> Manuscripts 'treated as fossils'>> By Julianna Kettlewell> BBC News science reporter>> A palaeontologist has come up with a novel way of studying historical> manuscripts, by treating them as fossils from an extinct species.> John Cisne, writing in Science magazine, says manuscripts from the> Middle Ages have a lot in common with animal populations.> For this reason, he claims, he can work out how many copies of a> manuscript once existed and how regularly they were destroyed, simply> by applying a biological model.> Ancient texts> An ancient text can tell a historian fascinating stories about the> people and the culture that created it.> But there are some secrets that are not written on its pages. For> example, it is tricky for historians to work out how prevalent a> particular text was, and how many didn't make it through the perils> of time.> It is with these problems that John Cisne, from Cornell University,> US, believes he can help.> He took a small number of medieval scientific manuscripts, such as> Bede's De Temporum Ratione from AD 725, and examined them as if they> were fossils from an extinct population.> By applying models usually used for explaining population dynamics in> the animal kingdom, he says he can estimate the size and durability> of an extinct "population" of manuscripts.> In very simplistic terms, he would take some copies of a manuscript> and work out their age range (for example, 10 might have been from AD> 800, five might have been from AD 750, and one might have been from> AD 700).> From that information, he would determine how many manuscripts were> probably around at any one time, what their rate of "population> growth" was and how often they were destroyed.> "By using this technique, you can get at the likelihood of a> manuscript being destroyed - how likely it was that it would be> burned in a fire or eaten by rats," he told the BBC News website.> "When you look at the age distribution of the manuscripts - how many> survived from which century - you can get an idea of the balance> between the likelihood of a manuscript being copied -> or 'reproducing' - versus the probability of the individual being> destroyed - or 'dying'."> Prototype approach> Dr Cisne knows he is wading into foreign waters; it is very unusual> for academics to stray into other academics' territories. And it is> particularly rare when that crossover is between the arts and the> sciences.> "I've always specialised in the nooks and crannies between> disciplines," he said. "I just got interested in what proportion of> manuscripts would survive to the present. I wanted to know how good> our connection is with the past."> Dr Cisne does not claim his technique perfect - it still needs some> polish. He would like to see it as a prototype, a suggested avenue> for further research.> Some historians might be indignant at this bold intrusion into their> field, but others, like Eliza Glaze, are willing to give Dr Cisne a> chance.> "Having a visual population chart relating to a text can be extremely> helpful when explaining to students what cultural factors led to the> changes," Dr Glaze said.> "It's a peculiarity and at first I thought it was very bizarre, but> sometimes some of the most innovative ideas come from people outside> the field."> However, Dr Glaze is keen to point out what she regards as some> pretty major difficulties in Dr Cisne's technique.> In order to apply a mathematical model to something, you need to make> certain assumptions; and Dr Glaze believes some of Dr Cisne's are> wrong.> For example, she objects to his assumption that none of the texts> were being imported from, or exported to, other countries.> "My chief criticism is probably that some of his assumptions are> flawed," she said. "The assumption that there was no immigration or> emigration of texts is a serious problem if you are talking about the> Middle Ages.> "If he had teamed up with a historian in the first place, he could> have written a much better essay.">>>>>>>> To send an email to - >

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